daoneandonly wrote:The-Power wrote:Let's do it. List the names of the players you believe will end up outplaying their draft spot and who will turn out to have been drafted too high.
You're one of the most respected members here, would love to see yours
Always tough because you're playing the odds, but to me Sexton and Knox are picks made by teams that were victims of freshmen-fever and therefore reaches who are more likely to disappoint than to play up to or exceed their draft position. Bamba was a reach for me as well, and I would be really surprised if Bagley becomes the second best player in this draft – that would take either an extremely unlikely development or a really disappointing draft class. I'd also add Zhaire Smith who I'm just not high on. A couple guys I wouldn't have taken as high as they went, of course, but nothing I'd really consider an unreasonable reach either. Jerome Robinson stands out as a somewhat unexpectedly high pick but I'll refrain from judgement until I see what the Clippers have planned with him.
To my surprise, most players that I expected to be picked clearly below where I have them have been picked surprisingly high. I fully believe Mikal Bridges will be better than the 10th best player in this draft, and that a bunch of guys ahead of him will turn out to be worse when it comes to impact on winning teams. Walker and Williams are gambles, but gambles well worth for where they were drafted imo – even if both could easily fail to leave their mark, their chances to become good players are higher than the position they were picked in suggests. Same is true for Mitchell Robinson and Melton. Huerter could easily be picked ahead by a good team but I don't like him that much on a bad team, so I wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't develop as well as he could have. Lastly, I had Khyri Thomas as a clear first-round pick and Gary Clark – shout-out to @eminence – should have been drafted.
