Who's picking top 5 next year?

Draft talk all year round

Moderators: Duke4life831, Marcus

User avatar
clyde21
RealGM
Posts: 63,579
And1: 70,006
Joined: Aug 20, 2014
     

Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#1 » by clyde21 » Fri Jul 1, 2022 1:23 am

don't see teams like Houston and OKC picking top 5 again, who'll be in the mix next year?

looks like Spurs are trying to tank, do have a Brooklyn top 5 dark horse if they trade both KD and Irving? Wizards need to get a top 5 pick. Charlotte again. maybe Utah if they trade D-Mitch and go the rebuild route?
جُنْد فِلَسْطِيْن
User avatar
baldur
RealGM
Posts: 11,026
And1: 13,524
Joined: Jul 12, 2015
Location: Melbourne, Australia
     

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#2 » by baldur » Fri Jul 1, 2022 1:26 am

Houston and okc come to mind first to be honest. Plus spurs, Indiana and Detroit.
User avatar
baldur
RealGM
Posts: 11,026
And1: 13,524
Joined: Jul 12, 2015
Location: Melbourne, Australia
     

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#3 » by baldur » Fri Jul 1, 2022 1:40 am

clyde21 wrote:don't see teams like Houston and OKC picking top 5 again, who'll be in the mix next year?

looks like Spurs are trying to tank, do have a Brooklyn top 5 dark horse if they trade both KD and Irving? Wizards need to get a top 5 pick. Charlotte again. maybe Utah if they trade D-Mitch and go the rebuild route?


Wizards and charlotte are too talented to bottom. But you never know with the lottery balls.
Big J
RealGM
Posts: 11,625
And1: 8,749
Joined: May 26, 2020

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#4 » by Big J » Fri Jul 1, 2022 1:47 am

OKC is going to be trash again because they are shameless tankers.
namlede
Junior
Posts: 285
And1: 164
Joined: Nov 08, 2020

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#5 » by namlede » Fri Jul 1, 2022 2:27 am

If Chet plays any significant minutes, OKC won't be near the bottom. Chet will raise the defense immediately.

Sent from my Pixel 5a using RealGM mobile app
User avatar
The Moose
General Manager
Posts: 9,291
And1: 5,259
Joined: Apr 18, 2012
Location: Australia
 

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#6 » by The Moose » Fri Jul 1, 2022 2:44 am

baldur wrote:Houston and okc come to mind first to be honest. Plus spurs, Indiana and Detroit.


yep, Spurs/Indy/Detroit/Houston/OKC/Orl in any order will be the bottom 6 imo

There was a pretty major gap between the bottom 5 teams (Hou/Orl/Det/OKC/Indy) and the rest of the teams last season. The bottom 4 teams were the exact same for the past 2 seasons, and I wouldn't be shocked if its the same 4 teams

Indy in 5th spot was 8 games behind the Lakers in 8th. The two teams in the 6th and 7th, the Blazers and the Kings have both improved and are aiming for the postseason.

I don't see many of those teams above that mark finishing 10+ games worse this season outside of the spurs, which is why I would put them in that bottom 6 group.
Maybe the Hornets depending on the Bridges situation? Nets wont tank as Houston owns their picks
Image
Big J
RealGM
Posts: 11,625
And1: 8,749
Joined: May 26, 2020

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#7 » by Big J » Fri Jul 1, 2022 2:48 am

namlede wrote:If Chet plays any significant minutes, OKC won't be near the bottom. Chet will raise the defense immediately.

Sent from my Pixel 5a using RealGM mobile app


Lol, no. Chet is a 20 year old rookie that weighs 175 dripping wet. He's going to get bent in half this year. He won't be a factor until his metabolism slows and he starts pounding 20 muscle mass shakes a day.
User avatar
thelead
RealGM
Posts: 46,173
And1: 29,913
Joined: Apr 08, 2008
 

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#8 » by thelead » Fri Jul 1, 2022 3:10 am

The Moose wrote:
baldur wrote:Houston and okc come to mind first to be honest. Plus spurs, Indiana and Detroit.


yep, Spurs/Indy/Detroit/Houston/OKC/Orl in any order will be the bottom 6 imo

There was a pretty major gap between the bottom 5 teams (Hou/Orl/Det/OKC/Indy) and the rest of the teams last season. The bottom 4 teams were the exact same for the past 2 seasons, and I wouldn't be shocked if its the same 4 teams

Indy in 5th spot was 8 games behind the Lakers in 8th. The two teams in the 6th and 7th, the Blazers and the Kings have both improved and are aiming for the postseason.

I don't see many of those teams above that mark finishing 10+ games worse this season outside of the spurs, which is why I would put them in that bottom 6 group.
Maybe the Hornets depending on the Bridges situation? Nets wont tank as Houston owns their picks

Spurs and Indy for sure and it's very likely that Detroit, Houston, OKC, and Orlando will be in the mix unless one them is the surprise Cavs team of 22-23.
Image
User avatar
K_chile22
RealGM
Posts: 16,726
And1: 8,620
Joined: Jul 15, 2015
   

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#9 » by K_chile22 » Fri Jul 1, 2022 3:32 am

Houston is definitely going for another top five spot. Even if you like the young guys, the roster is almost entirely 1st and second year players with Jae'Sean Tate, EG (for now) and Boban mixed in. Plus it's the last year to tank before the pick obligation to OKC


Them, OKC, Orlando, SA, Detroit are my guess for bottom 5 teams
Upperclass
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,862
And1: 2,199
Joined: Aug 09, 2005

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#10 » by Upperclass » Fri Jul 1, 2022 5:18 am

Wont be Orlando.. they're a 9/10 seed.. likely some 5 of nets, wiz, pacers, pistons, spurs, rockets
User avatar
clyde21
RealGM
Posts: 63,579
And1: 70,006
Joined: Aug 20, 2014
     

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#11 » by clyde21 » Fri Jul 1, 2022 6:18 am

thelead wrote:
The Moose wrote:
baldur wrote:Houston and okc come to mind first to be honest. Plus spurs, Indiana and Detroit.


yep, Spurs/Indy/Detroit/Houston/OKC/Orl in any order will be the bottom 6 imo

There was a pretty major gap between the bottom 5 teams (Hou/Orl/Det/OKC/Indy) and the rest of the teams last season. The bottom 4 teams were the exact same for the past 2 seasons, and I wouldn't be shocked if its the same 4 teams

Indy in 5th spot was 8 games behind the Lakers in 8th. The two teams in the 6th and 7th, the Blazers and the Kings have both improved and are aiming for the postseason.

I don't see many of those teams above that mark finishing 10+ games worse this season outside of the spurs, which is why I would put them in that bottom 6 group.
Maybe the Hornets depending on the Bridges situation? Nets wont tank as Houston owns their picks

Spurs and Indy for sure and it's very likely that Detroit, Houston, OKC, and Orlando will be in the mix unless one them is the surprise Cavs team of 22-23.


there are always surprise teams that do better than people expect, and vice versa teams that do much worse than people expect. Cleveland for example, on the other side no one saw Portland picking 7th before the season until Dame got hurt, Toronto went from picking 4th to being a PO team, and the Lakers missed the POs completely and ended up giving New Orleans a top10 pick, etc.
جُنْد فِلَسْطِيْن
User avatar
thelead
RealGM
Posts: 46,173
And1: 29,913
Joined: Apr 08, 2008
 

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#12 » by thelead » Fri Jul 1, 2022 6:22 am

Upperclass wrote:Wont be Orlando.. they're a 9/10 seed.. likely some 5 of nets, wiz, pacers, pistons, spurs, rockets

As a Magic fan, I’m VERY interested to see how we do next year. We absolutely tanked games last year and dealt with a crazy amount of injuries too. If we’re relatively healthy and the better young guys play to their potential, I could see the Magic being a surprise play-in team. I wouldn’t put money on it but it wouldn’t shock me either.
Image
Big J
RealGM
Posts: 11,625
And1: 8,749
Joined: May 26, 2020

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#13 » by Big J » Fri Jul 1, 2022 6:01 pm

thelead wrote:
Upperclass wrote:Wont be Orlando.. they're a 9/10 seed.. likely some 5 of nets, wiz, pacers, pistons, spurs, rockets

As a Magic fan, I’m VERY interested to see how we do next year. We absolutely tanked games last year and dealt with a crazy amount of injuries too. If we’re relatively healthy and the better young guys play to their potential, I could see the Magic being a surprise play-in team. I wouldn’t put money on it but it wouldn’t shock me either.


Yea, I could see Paulo taking Orlando on a Carmelo esque rookie campaign and leading them to the playoffs.
User avatar
Roger Murdock
RealGM
Posts: 12,459
And1: 5,801
Joined: Aug 12, 2008
 

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#14 » by Roger Murdock » Fri Jul 1, 2022 6:32 pm

Detroit and Houston aren’t talented enough, that’s 2

Washington top to bottom looks pretty uninspired

Indiana, SA, LAL, Sacramento, etc

I’ll guess bottom 5 is

Pistons, Rockets, Spurs, Wizards, Hornets in order
User avatar
baldur
RealGM
Posts: 11,026
And1: 13,524
Joined: Jul 12, 2015
Location: Melbourne, Australia
     

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#15 » by baldur » Fri Jul 1, 2022 10:39 pm

Utah and Brooklyn might be added to the mix. We will see in the next few days I guess.
Upperclass
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,862
And1: 2,199
Joined: Aug 09, 2005

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#16 » by Upperclass » Sat Jul 2, 2022 3:53 am

thelead wrote:
Upperclass wrote:Wont be Orlando.. they're a 9/10 seed.. likely some 5 of nets, wiz, pacers, pistons, spurs, rockets

As a Magic fan, I’m VERY interested to see how we do next year. We absolutely tanked games last year and dealt with a crazy amount of injuries too. If we’re relatively healthy and the better young guys play to their potential, I could see the Magic being a surprise play-in team. I wouldn’t put money on it but it wouldn’t shock me either.


Magic were a playoff team this year.. they just chose not to be.. was fairly obvious how they approached games all season long.. Mosely seems like a pretty good coach too
User avatar
baldur
RealGM
Posts: 11,026
And1: 13,524
Joined: Jul 12, 2015
Location: Melbourne, Australia
     

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#17 » by baldur » Sat Jul 2, 2022 3:59 am

Magic is only better than Detroit and maybe Indiana on paper, If not equal. They can perhaps outrun wizards and hornets too. They aren't making the playoffs.
User avatar
clyde21
RealGM
Posts: 63,579
And1: 70,006
Joined: Aug 20, 2014
     

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#18 » by clyde21 » Sat Jul 2, 2022 4:17 am

baldur wrote:Magic is only better than Detroit and maybe Indiana on paper, If not equal. They can perhaps outrun wizards and hornets too. They aren't making the playoffs.


we'll see what happens with Brooklyn but after the top 4-5 teams the EC is pretty shallow

Philly
Milly
Miami
Boston
Atlanta

then u can put I guess Chicago and Toronto, that's 7 teams...then imo you have Cleveland, New York, Magic

not crazy if you told me today Magic would be a play-in team, assuming guys like Isaac and Fultz stay healthy.
جُنْد فِلَسْطِيْن
User avatar
Chuck Everett
RealGM
Posts: 19,114
And1: 21,886
Joined: May 28, 2004
Location: Los Angeles
   

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#19 » by Chuck Everett » Sat Jul 2, 2022 6:15 am

1. Utah
2. San Antonio
3. Indiana
4. Orlando
5. Houston
"Kill 'em with Grindness."
User avatar
thelead
RealGM
Posts: 46,173
And1: 29,913
Joined: Apr 08, 2008
 

Re: Who's picking top 5 next year? 

Post#20 » by thelead » Sat Jul 2, 2022 6:22 am

baldur wrote:Magic is only better than Detroit and maybe Indiana on paper, If not equal. They can perhaps outrun wizards and hornets too. They aren't making the playoffs.

That’s basically enough to be a play-in team though. This is what *might* happen if the Magic are healthy and don’t decide to tank:

Playoffs:
Boston
Bucks
Philly
Heat
Atlanta
Toronto

Play-ins:
Bulls
Cavs

Possibly in the mix for the remaining 2 play-in teams:
Nets (who knows about them at this point though)
Knicks
Hornets (no Bridges will hurt)
Magic (much more likely to be in the mix for a top 5 pick but this is possible if JI is healthy and Paolo was worth the #1 pick)
Wiz

Likely lotto:
Detroit
Indy

All that said, I have them pegged at around ~28 wins right now. I think the front office wants one more year of roster tinkering, experimentation, and a good shot at a top pick in next year’s draft before committing 100% to winning the following year.
Image

Return to NBA Draft