RealGM

I've been going through a bunch of drafts just to see how many all-stars good/great drafts typically produce. It seems like very good drafts produce 5-6 all-stars, and great/outlier drafts, 7-10. Obviously, the quality of these all-stars matters for strength, too, but let's just assume this is a very good draft that produces 6 all-stars, and use 2014 as a model. That means:

Lottery (ish): 4 all-stars
After the lottery: 2 all-stars (at least 1 in the second round)

Based on your current projections, who are your 4 lottery picks who become all-stars, and who are your two non-lottery players (including 1-second rounder)?

Lottery:
1. Victor Wembenyama
2. Scoot Henderson
3. Brandon Miller
4. Anthony Black

Non-lottery:
1. Keyonte George (if he goes lottery, put Dariq Whitehead here)

Second:
1. Ben Sheppard (may be rising, in which case...Kobe Brown?)

Wemby
Scoot
Amen
Keyonte

+Gueye
+Bufkin

Nnaji/Lively as a possible 7th depending on what the 5 looks like going forward

Don't think we'll get any from the 2nd. Maybe Jaylen Clark, Kevin Obanor, Kobe Brown

for lotto:
Wemby
Scoot
AB
Keyonte

outside lotto:
DWH

2nd:
Amari Bailey

In chances of happening in descending order
Wemby
Black
Scoot
Whitmore

Outside of lotto but in first round:
Whitehead
GG Jackson

Second round hail mary:
Julian Phillips

Just based on this, it seems like (if teams think in this way & agree w/assessments here), Keyonte, Black, and Whitehead are likely being undermocked a bit (which is why I thought it was interesting to do this now).

Wembanyama
Scott
Miller
A Thompson Twin

GG Jackson
Leonard Miller

Wemby
Miller
Scoot
Bufkin


Hawkins

Thats it.

Wemby
Scoot
Bufkin
B. Miller
Whitehead
Brice

I would be surprised if there are 4 all stars from this lotto, I think its pretty weak, but if I had to:

Lotto:
Wemby
Scoot
Jarace
Miller

non lotto:
Sensabaugh

2nd longshot:
Podz

Lotto:
- Victor
- Brandon Miller
- Bilal Coulibaly
- Grady Dick

Non-Lotto:
- Leonard Miller

2nd:
- Marcus Sasser

I think this is a really interesting topic.

So I went through all of the NBA drafts from 2007 to 2019 and I noted where each all star was selected.



2019 Draft Allstars Selection Number:
1, 2, 5

2018 Draft Allstars Selection Number:
3, 4, 5, 11

2017 Draft Allstars Selection Number:
3, 5, 7, 13, 14, 22

2016 Draft Allstars Selection Number:
1, 2, 3, 11, 27, 29, Undrafted

2015 Draft Allstars Selection Number:
1, 2, 4, 13

2014 Draft Allstars Selection Number:
1, 3, 7, 13, 41

2013 Draft Allstars Selection Number:
2, 15, 27

2012 Draft Allstars Selection Number:
1, 3, 6, 9, 35, 39

2011 Draft Allstars Selection Number:
1, 9, 11, 15, 16, 30, 60

2010 Draft Allstars Selection Number:
1, 5, 9, 10

2009 Draft Allstars Selection Number:
1, 3, 7, 9, 17, 19

2008 Draft Allstars Selection Number:
1, 4, 5, 10, 17, 35, 45

2007 Draft Allstars Selection Number:
2, 3, 4, 47



Edited to add FVV to 2016

Victor
Jarace
Anthony Black
Scoot Henderson
Grady Dick

No love for the twins here...Keyonte pretty high around here

Vic, Scoot, Miller, Hendricks, Gradey, Jett

Top 6 on my board, so they get the top 6 All-Star picks

Wembanyama
Scoot
Hendricks
Coulibaly
Whitehead
Smith Jr

EvanZ wrote:Vic, Scoot, Miller, Hendricks, Gradey, Jett

Top 6 on my board, so they get the top 6 All-Star picks

the topic isn't post your top 6 prospects

EvanZ wrote:Vic, Scoot, Miller, Hendricks, Gradey, Jett

Top 6 on my board, so they get the top 6 All-Star picks

Is your board strictly based on potential to make an all-star game?

Colbinii wrote:

EvanZ wrote:Vic, Scoot, Miller, Hendricks, Gradey, Jett

Top 6 on my board, so they get the top 6 All-Star picks

Is your board strictly based on potential to make an all-star game?

Not really. But I see no reason to dip lower than these 6.

clyde21 wrote:

EvanZ wrote:Vic, Scoot, Miller, Hendricks, Gradey, Jett

Top 6 on my board, so they get the top 6 All-Star picks

the topic isn't post your top 6 prospects

It's close enough for me. I'd be interested who Evan thinks could be an all star later in the draft, like if you were told one guy in the second round made it and if you guess right you get a million dollars, who do you pick?