Tyler Tanner probably should be a top 30 pick

[CptCrunch]

Check his game logs, check his advanced stats, very productive for a sophomore guard.

Plays in SEC so there is plenty of tough games this year with explosive scoring, solid passer with good ball security.

Rapid development between freshman and sophomore year

Raw aggregate scores


Game trends


Downside is super undersized. Supposedly 5'11" without shoes, with 6'4" wingspan but listed pretty heavy at 173 lbs.

Oh this is likely not a bad defender. This man is a finalist for the Naismith Defensive Player of the Year. Don't think he will be Tony Allen, but surely he will be much better than the average 6 foot guards in the league. If this kid was 6'2", he would be a lotto pick, if he was 6'6", he would be top 3.

[EMG518]

What does his role in the league look like to you?

[CptCrunch]

What does his role in the league look like to you?

Lead guards, if he can hang on defense, he will be a starter. If he is just too small, he is a bench 6th man guard.

This kid is not materially different from Flemings in real upside. He is just way too damn small resulting in bad downsides.

We have a lengthy post about Flemings, Philon, Acuff and Brown. I don't see this kid as any less talented than any of them, just much smaller in size.

If he measures well with a 6'4" wingspan and plays well in scrims, someone is gonna take him in the late lotto. A positive defender is a rare thing to find for a young and small guard. He goes to the Reed Sheppard school of gambling for steals, but his defensive fundamentals are much better.

SEC All-Defensive Team (2026)

Naismith National Defensive Player of the Year Top 15 Finalist

He is also a younger player with a Feb birthday, so he is about 6 months older than the average normal aged Freshman.

[Caneman786]

This guy's more like Chris Paul than Darius Acuff Jr. is, that's for sure.

He does have a decent chance to be selected top 30, though as of now he's on the "bubble" for that.

Tanner's been hovering around that for a while. As per ESPN Analytics Aggregate prospect rankings, that collect draft boards across the internet to find consensus:

Ranked 31 to 33 in late January (by my recollection)

Ranked 27 on February 21
Ranked 30 on February 27
Ranked 28 on March 17

Two weeks ago, Sam Vecenie, one of the most respected and premier draft experts, had him going at 29 to Dallas via OKC on his 2026 draft guide, so that seems to be where consensus is right now.

Added this thread to the Draft Thread Directory: Linked here

[BigGargamel]

I have him at the end of the first round. Which goes to show you how highly I think of him. That size is just too hard to ignore. The track record for guys his size is pretty much non-existent. Stinks for him, but that's just the cutthroat nature of the NBA.

[JMAC3]

Averaged 5 ppg last year as a freshman, that is a big difference between Acuff, Fleming and Brown for me. Also the size, also seems like he relies heavy on getting fouled which I doubt he gets that whistle at 6 foot in the NBA as an end of the first round talent.

Lower volume three point shooter as well.

[BlazersBroncos]

Late R1 guy who has a, IMO, guaranteed high floor as a backup PG. A team like DEN could use the hell out of him.

Reminds me of the Jones brothers, but more athletic.

I think he is the type to give reasonably productive minutes early, cause alot of people to freak and call him a huge steal, then sorta plateau out as a solid but unspectacular backup type.

[Upperclass]

Extremely quick and one of the best guard finishers in the country along with Acuff and Philon..has GREAT touch in the paint.. also a very good passer with great vision, looks to have a long wingspan.. Plays like Tony Parker with a better 3 ball but could also be Seth Curry.. I think he's a FRP either way

[CptCrunch]

The more I look into the kid, the more I like him. He has incredible finishing rates in the restricted area — finishing 70% of his restricted area field goals at high volumes. He has an extreme right hand bias driving right but shooting much better from the left.

[JMAC3]

The more I look into the kid, the more I like him. He has incredible finishing rates in the restricted area — finishing 70% of his restricted area field goals at high volumes. He has an extreme right hand bias driving right but shooting much better from the left.

I could also see him going back to school and turning into an elite college point guard but really topping out at just that, eventually getting drafted in 2 years as a 2nd round stab.

He is just less impressive when compared to the freshman guards imo, if Acuff came back to school or Fleming they would take a huge jump. Anderson and Tanner were just not impactful freshman and to me that matters.

[CptCrunch]

The more I look into the kid, the more I like him. He has incredible finishing rates in the restricted area — finishing 70% of his restricted area field goals at high volumes. He has an extreme right hand bias driving right but shooting much better from the left.

I could also see him going back to school and turning into an elite college point guard but really topping out at just that, eventually getting drafted in 2 years as a 2nd round stab.

He is just less impressive when compared to the freshman guards imo, if Acuff came back to school or Fleming they would take a huge jump. Anderson and Tanner were just not impactful freshman and to me that matters.

He can improve his stock, but he has enough draft stock to get drafted. No one develops more in college than in the NBA.

His hard limit is his size, which is 2 inches smaller than the other guards. We are drafting him at a discount here at end of first round at this point while the other guards are all project lottery, with 3 of them being projected in top 7. I would argue that he is statistically not worse than any/most of the consensus top 4 point guards + Wagler, but is discounted too harshly because of size.

[JMAC3]

The more I look into the kid, the more I like him. He has incredible finishing rates in the restricted area — finishing 70% of his restricted area field goals at high volumes. He has an extreme right hand bias driving right but shooting much better from the left.

I could also see him going back to school and turning into an elite college point guard but really topping out at just that, eventually getting drafted in 2 years as a 2nd round stab.

He is just less impressive when compared to the freshman guards imo, if Acuff came back to school or Fleming they would take a huge jump. Anderson and Tanner were just not impactful freshman and to me that matters.

He can improve his stock, but he has enough draft stock to get drafted. No one develops more in college than in the NBA.

His hard limit is his size, which is 2 inches smaller than the other guards. We are drafting him at a discount here at end of first round at this point while the other guards are all project lottery, with 3 of them being projected in top 7. I would argue that he is statistically not worse than one of the consensus top 4 point guards + Wagler, but is discounted too harshly because of size.

Yeah but you are missing the point that he will have 3+ million in NIL money offers to stay in college so unless he is a top 20 guaranteed pick those offers will look really good. Especially since he will be a huge name in college basketball instead of developing in the Gleague for a random NBA team.

[CptCrunch]

I could also see him going back to school and turning into an elite college point guard but really topping out at just that, eventually getting drafted in 2 years as a 2nd round stab.

He is just less impressive when compared to the freshman guards imo, if Acuff came back to school or Fleming they would take a huge jump. Anderson and Tanner were just not impactful freshman and to me that matters.

He can improve his stock, but he has enough draft stock to get drafted. No one develops more in college than in the NBA.

His hard limit is his size, which is 2 inches smaller than the other guards. We are drafting him at a discount here at end of first round at this point while the other guards are all project lottery, with 3 of them being projected in top 7. I would argue that he is statistically not worse than one of the consensus top 4 point guards + Wagler, but is discounted too harshly because of size.

Yeah but you are missing the point that he will have 3+ million in NIL money offers to stay in college so unless he is a top 20 guaranteed pick those offers will look really good. Especially since he will be a huge name in college basketball instead of developing in the Gleague for a random NBA team.

You are right. End of first round players guaranteed to be college stars are better off in college for money.

[JMAC3]

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[babyjax13]

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I think they all can but Peat is a first round pick so he should declare. The rest, some may be firsts but no guarantee, IMO. Especially Condon.