RealGM

Which 1st rounders do you guys think will be out of the league after their rookie contracts run out? Even in strong drafts like in 03 and 04, theres always an average about 6-10 guys drafted in the 1st round that can't hang on, and usually at least 1 lotto pick as well. Feel free to go with nbadraft.net or draftexpress.com projections.

My guesses (based on nbadraft.net's first round):
Robin Lopez
Darren Collison
Mario Chalmers
Ryan Anderson
Kyle Weaver
Earl Clark
Jason Thompson
Tyler Smith
Probably one of the foreigners but I can't comment.

Obviously Chalmers. I had him not getting drafted before the tournament and though he was great against Memphis, that didn't change my mind. I could see any UNC player in the first round out of the league by the end of their deal, as could Kevin Love. Not saying its gonna happen, but tell me how is he and Michael Sweetney so different besides the fact Love can outlet pass?

Deandre Jordan if he lands on the wrong team .

bill curley II wrote:Which 1st rounders do you guys think will be out of the league after their rookie contracts run out? Even in strong drafts like in 03 and 04, theres always an average about 6-10 guys drafted in the 1st round that can't hang on, and usually at least 1 lotto pick as well. Feel free to go with nbadraft.net or draftexpress.com projections.

My guesses (based on nbadraft.net's first round):
Robin Lopez
Darren Collison
Mario Chalmers
Ryan Anderson
Kyle Weaver
Earl Clark
Jason Thompson
Tyler Smith
Probably one of the foreigners but I can't comment.

Really? He's a 7 foot center with good length and mobility, who plays tough d, blocks shots, and generally works hard - there's always a spot in the league for guys like this. His offense may never get to the point where he's good enough to start, but he seems like one of the safer picks in the draft, and should at least be a backup C.

ponder276 wrote:-= original quote snipped =-


Really? He's a 7 foot center with good length and mobility, who plays tough d, blocks shots, and generally works hard - there's always a spot in the league for guys like this. His offense may never get to the point where he's good enough to start, but he seems like one of the safer picks in the draft, and should at least be a backup C.

Definitely Robin has the tools to be at least Kwame Brown level (I mean that in a semi-good way). But he's also a bit of a hothead, and unlike his brother or a guy like Joakim Noah, I don't think he's going to be a high enough pick for teams to put up with any type crap.

bill curley II wrote:Which 1st rounders do you guys think will be out of the league after their rookie contracts run out? Even in strong drafts like in 03 and 04, theres always an average about 6-10 guys drafted in the 1st round that can't hang on, and usually at least 1 lotto pick as well. Feel free to go with nbadraft.net or draftexpress.com projections.

My guesses (based on nbadraft.net's first round):
Robin Lopez

I don't know about that. If Anderson Varejao can get a giant contract from the Cavs I don't see why Lopez who IMO is a better version of Varejao can't at least stick in the NBA. Robin definitely seems like the more grounded and harder working of the two Lopez brothers and he's already basically doing a role players job at Stanford so it's a lot less likely that he'll have a big transition to make (as a role player) in the NBA.

He's mobile and energetic 7 footer that plays defense. He should have no problem finding a team to sign him after his rookie contract is up.

Darren Collison

I think Collison will be find and be able to find a niche for himself as a backup PG or if in the right situation as a starting PG.

Mario Chalmers

Chalmers is somewhat borderline. He's definitely won't be able to start at PG in the NBA and might even be somewhat questionnable as a backup PG if you're looking for someone to play major minutes and handle a good deal of the traditional PG role but he might be fine as a end of the bench guy because of the energy he plays with and the defensive intensity. He's a scrappy player that seems to hav a pretty good feel for them game. Won't break the bank but should still be able to latch on as a role player.

Ryan Anderson
Kyle Weaver
Earl Clark
Jason Thompson
Tyler Smith
Probably one of the foreigners but I can't comment.

More likely from the bunch you mentioned above.