I’d considered doing an update here about every 10 games or so, but that was before the point-Sochan experiment commenced. Then he was moved back to PF about a quarter of the season in, and I thought, well let’s see how this works. With more data now available, I want to look back and forward about everything from drafting to roster to lineups to starters, etc.
Before the season started, there was lots of talk in Spurs fandom about who would be moved to the bench with Wemby’s arrival, an obvious starter. I thought it would be between Sochan or Keldon, the former because he plays Wemby’s position and was only 50 games into his pro career having missed around 30 games to injury and rest. And Keldon because his D overall is poor. But he has become a better scorer each season, and is our longest tenured Spur, so perhaps not. He did signal that he was willing to do anything that was best for the team. Great.
Now 27 games in, Sochan and Keldon have two* bench games between them. Interesting, that. They, along with Tre, started the most games for us last season. *More on it later.
Even though Tre started last season, regardless of who we’ve started this season, it hasn’t been him. We know what we have in him, especially with his 3s efficiency remaining low. Clearly we’ve designated him as the backup PG, and in this role he’s averaging about six fewer minutes per game, four fewer shots per game, almost the same efficiency, but slightly worse from the 3 (and it was already poor) on the same number of attempts, with 1.5 assists fewer per game. But both he and Wemby average under 28% from 3, a huge hindrance at crucial 1 and 5 positions.
ROSTER AND VETS - Our current starting five comprises of all our own draftees with various levels of experience: Devin and Malaki in the back court, Keldon, Sochan, and Wemby, with another draftee, Tre, as first off the bench. On paper, the starting group has shooters around Wemby who can score at three levels.
Here are our top eight players in minutes per game this season: Keldon, Wemby, Devin, Sochan, Zach, Tre, Branham, and Cedi.
The majority of the roster (9 of 16 players) now comprises of our own draftees or undrafted signings (ie/ Dom). The returning non-Spurs drafted players from last season are Zach, Doug, Graham, Mamu, Julian, and Charles, and from the various trades we made, we only kept Cedi, a terrific vet.
After acquiring them in trades, we released vets Lamar Stevens (F) and Cameron Payne (PG).
Last season, our top eight in minutes were played by, in order: Keldon, Devin (38 games), Tre, Graham (20 games after we acquired him), Jakob, Sochan, JRich, and Branham, and if Graham’s number of games aren’t enough to be included, then the Zach slots in just after Branham.
Even though our slotted starting five played only eighteen games together last season, we had several vets that contributed: Jakob played and started 46 games before we traded him; JRich played 42 games (started 6) before we traded him; Diop played 67 games (started 42) and left in UFA; Langford played 43 games (started 21) and left in UFA; Isaiah Roby played 42 games (started 2) before we waived him in March; Gorgui Dieng played 31 games (started 1) and is now part of our FO as Basketball Operations Representative; Stanley Johnson played 30 games before we waived him in February.
Say what you will about all of them, but collectively they did provide solid vet presence (Jakob, Jrich and Dieng in particular), some scoring punch (Jrich) and two-way stability (Jakob, JRich, Diop). Collectively, Jakob (12.1) Jrich (11.5), Diop (9.7), and Langford (6.9) (top four vets in MPG who departed) were contributing over 40PPG. I know it’s not the case for every game, but the point is that we had steady, seasoned, reliable contributions and more choices 1 through 5, players who were more knowledgeable about their positions rather than growing into them.
We clearly chose to streamline and do so with mostly our own draftees supported by selected players returning from last season, and only one brand new addition. So far, only Branham and Julian have been slotted in as starters most consistently (sometimes due to starter injuries, but the point stands. To emphasize it, Cedi has so far filled in but one game as starter).
Graham has played far more sparingly compared to last season, as have Blake and Dom, the latter two getting steady minutes in Austin. Graham is widely regarded as a positive vet influence and Doug is a steady pro’s pro (drama free). Mamu and Bassey were waiver pick ups we chose to retain (again, all effort and no drama). And Zach is coming off his first real stretch as starter (26 games last season; 22 this season) after we traded Jakob so it’s a lot to get used to for him as well.
We do have some vets, but I suspect we expected some of our younger up and coming players to step up and fill the leadership void of the departed ones. That’s one area we are still feeling the dearth of and working on filling in its space. I can’t say it has been a steady show of resilience, but Keldon, Devin, and Tre have come up with great vets before them, and it’s a necessary step for them to take on and grow into. Whether or not they do and to what extent is part of what this season is for.
Part of it is modelling by action, and to that extent, Tre has been our best example of what to bring every game; he is ultimate floor stabilizer and team mate aligner. Keldon has probably been our most consistent energy and example setter from the starters. To be honest, I’d expected more of it from Devin, if not through being vocal then through consistent energy shifting level of play. Considering he’s our second best player, a two-way, three-level scorer, he’s had passive games, whether it’s settling for too many outside shots rather than initiating downhill play or making impactful defensive plays when the shot’s not falling. Work in progress. Yes we have to figure things out together, but we will also see who will step up as leaders, not just with their games, but with sacrifice and selflessness for the best for the team which is huge for a young team figuring out how to play together to maximize strengths.
DRAFTING - We’ve been drafting a ‘type’ of player that Tre doesn’t fit physically, but given his overall package, we couldn’t help but select him. It was a good choice.
I want to look at our drafting since Brian Wright became the GM, going back to 2019 when, even though RC was I think still the official GM, Wright did the bulk of the work in the DD made. We got Jakob, DD, and the 29th pick which we used to draft Keldon. Given the late first round slot, he’s been a terrific selection, even if the D is still wanting.
We also had picks 19 which we used on Luka Samanic and 49 for Quinndary Weatherspoon. Mopey Samanic, a prototypical modern PF mold on paper, didn’t pan out because of emo/lack of hustle issues. Whether that was RC’s or Wright’s ultimate decision, we were right to cut him, but not to draft him. By 2021 Quinn was elsewhere. He is currently on the LAL G-League team. 1/3
2020 – we selected Devin at 11 and Tre at 41. Excellent. At the time of our 11 selection, we had a choice between Devin or Haliburton. The latter has obviously exploded on O. But at the time of the draft he/his camp were signalling that he wanted to be drafted by the Kings at 12 (in other words, he didn’t want other teams to draft him, an early manoeuvring that was a bit off putting, but who wants a malcontent to start off his career) and considering we had Murray and White, we obliged, thrilled with Devin. I was a huge Patrick Williams fan but he went at 4! I love Devin. And I love Tre. 2/2
2021 – 12 - Primo and 41 – Wieskamp. Again, you can see the prototype, but uuugh huge misses, both. The former **** up, the latter we waived by 2022. He just couldn’t put together in the pros what he was doing in college. He continues on various G-League teams. 0/2
2022 – at 9 we picked Sochan, at 20 – Branham, at 25 – Wesley. At the time, I recall liking Dyson Daniels (went 8th), one of the Williams players that went to OKC, and I was intrigued by Tari Eason. When we draft Sochan, I felt kind of meh about it, going to the Draft Forum here wanting some insight into a raw player with potential, a jack of all trades, master of none, good build and strength and **** disturber with solid D. He eventually won me over with that solid D, all out hustle, and great looks on passes to cutters and to the weak side. Some D and some heart and some good vision went a long way. TBD
2023 – 1- Wemby; 44 – Sidy. 2/2
So the type is big, thick, guards and forwards; leaning more towards a base of strong versatile defenders who grow into well-rounded potential; modern forwards who are switchable and less position dependant. We seldom choose older players and seldom with one dominant skill already emerging.
We have previously acquired players to that type as well (Carroll, Morris, Thad Young, Langford). None have worked out yet we continue the trend in the draft (Keldon, Quinn, Primo, Sochan, Sidy).
We are bigger in terms of length, we do have some guys with wiry strength, and we have more talent (some through growth, but mostly with Wemby and Sidy – I have high hopes for him) but we are still getting tossed around a lot by bigger teams. Some of it is our young players needing to mature physically, some of it is experience in using more speed and better positioning as counters to bigger opponents.
THE 2023-2024 EXPERIMENT - I was surprised to hear we were going with point-Sochan and my first thought at the time was Brett Brown who coached the more skilled but still poor shooting Simmons. Pop has said that lots of discussions have been going into decisions for this and other roster looks. In an interview with Tony, Manu confirmed that when he was at a Spurs coaching retreat this summer, Pop was strong in his stances but that he was also amenable to other paths if others made good arguments for them. Regardless of who suggested it, the discussions for and against point-Sochan were had and the final decision rests with Pop. After 20% of the season, he rightly moved on from ‘the 2023-2024 experiment’.
This season Sochan came with an improving FTs percentage (started last season), and better percentage from 3. Ok. We we fortunate to draft a generational talent at his previous position and so it presented a Sochan conundrum. I can see why we tried point-Sochan given our poor D last season but even this experiment did not improve it. Ironically what did help the last couple of weeks or so was moving Sochan back to PF.:
But even at PF Sochan continues to make maddeningly poor decisions with the ball, and being with the ball too much is also bad.
Sochan provides good D, is switchable and strong, has better instincts on that end, but when he so consistently looks off Wemby, there’s a price to pay. Right now it’s the team that is paying it because he stubbornly keeps repeating the same moves – over dribbling to the point that players ahead out on wings get covered rather than get the pass in transition. To the point that he dribbles all the way to a player and makes a DHO (Why?!). To the point that he goes into post-up positioning against defenders regardless of where he is on the O court because he can’t face up with his dribble. To the point that he looks off anyone else in end of Q situations regardless of whether they are more open. To the point that he drives into the paint with multiple defenders waiting. To the point that he picks up his dribble too early waiting for team mates to bail him out. To the point where he keeps going up against much bigger Cs down low to the same bad results.
On ball, he can drive and kick and he can DHO. That’s it. His overall efficiency is somehow worse despite better efficiency from 3s and FTs, takes the same number of FGAs, has a slightly lower PPG, same rebounds, 1.5 more assists per game, very similar blocks, steals, and PFs, with more TOs in three more minutes per game. Simply put, he can have these same numbers, even with more on ball action and asserting himself with more 3s. But the shutting out of Wemby is a big problem.
Last season, Sochan was getting points the workmanlike way, giving way to more experienced team mates. I think there’s some carry-over mentality to this. Wemby is the rookie and the sense is that he isn’t going to get his reps ahead of others who came before him. There is a sense of guys using their PT to manoeuvre their way into re-establishing a pecking order to the detriment of the team in the way it is being done.
Wemby is 14th in usage in the league at 28.1% (basketball-reference.com lists it at 29.3 which leads our team by a good margin) among players who have played at least 25 games.
He leads us in FGAs per game at 15.9, leads us with overall FGAs attempted at 398, and leads us with 173 made FGs. He leads the team in PPG, RPG, BPG, SPG. Ridiculous contributions on O already, this with incredible D presence:
Sochan ranks second with 4.1 assists per game after Tre’s 5 assists per game and they are also in the same order in total assists made at 114 and 111.
And based on data so far, our top three players – Wemby, Devin, Keldon - do indeed rank in the top three in the major O categories we want them to.
So what’s the problem? Well we rank second last on O based on that Goldsberry link above. And while the overall stats have the right players in the right rankings, we don’t have enough games of the three of them being top three, particularly with Wemby leading the way. And by leading the way, it’s not just about just the numbers per game, but maximizing optimal opportunities.
Regardless of whether it’s point-Sochan or at PF, look up Sochan on social media after ANY game this season and you get samples of him missing Wemby in favour plays like this below. I thought it would curb when he went back to PF but nope, here we are. From the 27th game game:
So he missed Wemby twice on one play in favour of a contested J in the paint versus multiple defenders. Brilliant.
This one has also been making the rounds:
A SKIP pass OVER Wemby. **** hell.
But it’s not just Sochan. Here’s Keldon doing it:
And here’s Julian with another terrible read in a previous game:
It’s gotten to the point where Wemby jumps for they would-be play as if to emphasize the OBVIOUS right play.
And it’s not just bad passes to Wemby that get missed. Here’s the tail end of a play in which Sochan dribbles down the middle in transition, Branham ahead to the left already, and the result is Branham doesn’t get the pass because Sochan keeps dribbling instead:
Any one play can get magnified. And these are getting more attention because this keeps happening over and over and over again.
So even if Wemby has the same amount of FGAs per game, it’s HOW we are setting him up and how we are not that is a huge issue.
WEMBY IS OPTION #1
But this is how it’s coming across more and more. These away commentators picked up on it two games in while we’ve had a whole season to witness it:
Again, it’s about making the RIGHT play, not just passing it to Wemby and Wemby only. And that’s how we have to sell it to players who think there’s some other pecking order, which is how it appears to more eyes.
Devin and Keldon before him had more experienced players ahead of them and they got to ease their way through mistakes while earning their way to more playing time. Sochan happened to have come onto our team while we were in Year 1 of a deep rebuild and he got to start. We simply didn’t have anyone else there. We’d previously started Keldon and Doug at the 4. So Sochan got used to the PF role and a starting one at that. There is no real earning minutes like others previously have had to.
Put another way, had we drafted Wemby first and then drafted Sochan and the latter was putting up the exact same defensive results but making the exact same O mistakes or choices that result in Wemby getting looked off, would Sochan still be starting next to Wemby? Does the way he plays on O this season offset his D enough to justify the starting role? Would he at least be getting subbed out in repeating these mistakes?
Even Chuckasaurus Rex Branham has settled in within himself since being slotted into the starting role, a three-level scorer who drives more, cuts off ball well, doesn’t take nearly as many early clock one-and-done 3s. He plays within himself, plays better with the team and within the team concept. Good adjustments so far.
I keep hearing that Sochan is super chill and confident, even if the whole point-experiment chipped away at it. Last season Sochan started in 53 of the 56 games he played but said he didn’t care whether he started or came off the bench, just wanted to do what Pop told him to and play hard. This season Sochan plays ONE game off the bench and articles were written about his looking ‘glum’. What?!
https://www.expressnews.com/sports/spurs/article/3-takeaways-spurs-102-94-loss-minnesota-18538292.phphttps://www.expressnews.com/sports/spurs/article/sochan-benched-popovich-changes-lineup-18538921.phpIt’s fine if he was confused about his role as this was a change-up while Sochan was still in the midst of the point-experiment. But looking glum after the game during which he came off the bench reminded me of Murray sulking during his eight game bench stint after struggling with the starters when he returned from injury. Sure it must be difficult, but it’s not working in a coal mine to feed your family difficult.
This season is also about how players take to certain roles and respond to them. A change of position is part of it. We put Keldon through the ringer with the PF role during the Bubble. And we put him through the ringer getting him to bring up the ball to initiate the O (it was also brutal but not at Sochan levels). I don’t recall people being so concerned about how he was handling various positions. Keldon came in and he was his energetic self regardless of where he played.
Tre went from bench to starter to now bench again. Not a peep.
Devin came off the bench for six games this season. Not a peep.
Branham has actually steadied himself better as a starter but again whether he was in that role or off the bench, he just played.
Even Zach who at the end of last season Pop said deserved to start this season, took the bench role with professionalism and continues to contribute broadly.
Rest assured, how guys handle not only different positions but also different roles be it starter or bench player is being examined. It’s a test of mettle, a test of how guys take on big challenges and the adversity that comes with it, how they handle failure and growing pains. Can a guy put his ego aside if it’s best for the team? Do they still want to be a part of things here through it? It’s about seeing who we continue forward with.
When we don’t make the right plays to Wemby, it also comes across as some guys looking to make sure their stats are well and truly padded so that each year looks better than the previous one, what is best for the team be damned. Hey if we’re not winning anyway, might as well make myself look good for that upcoming contract rather than be here to set someone else up.
But that’s backwards.
When guys play well around and with Wemby, it makes their O easier because on the whole Wemby is a willing passer, and as he’s the focal point of defenses, including him makes us better.
So. Even if Wemby takes the same number of shots the rest of the year, ANY Spur doing any of the above types of plays, regardless of reason or intent, has to sit in favour of any other Spur who will make THE RIGHT PLAY. THIS is the crux – these my turn your turn crumbs while missing the marrow plays need to be righted. And any guy who doesn’t should get subbed out, and if it continues, should get a bench role.
If DeMar can be subbed out by Pop for defensive purposes on the Spurs, and Dame can be subbed out by Pop for defensive purposes on the Olympic team, then any player, including Sochan, can get subbed out for O purposes.
Ultimate bench flex: Manu. That takes self awareness, ego in check, focusing on the team which will make the individual all the more valuable – see White, Derrick for a more recent example. Or even Herro, for that matter, another lottery pick with a bench role and a huge reward for a specific skill set.
At 4-23, things have not gone as planned. Time for blending growing pains of patience and consequences for not making right team-first plays.
We have to translate a 4th best in the league 28.7 assists per game (only .2 from third) into better results than 27th ranked 110.3PPG. Part of it is limiting turnovers (we are 28th with 15.8 per game); part of it is better efficiency than our 27th ranked 45.4% FG even though we are 5th in FGAs at 91.2 and 11th 3s attempted at 37 per game but convert only 34.4% of them, good for 26th; part of it is shot selection so that we get to the FT line more – we are 30th with 19.1 attempts per game and we are 17th making 77.9% of them.
On D, it is getting better but we still have instances of too many Spurs in the paint as drive and kicks or switches happen. Fundamentals like fighting through screens, running out hard, and having hands up on contests are important. Fundamentals like boxing out on rebounds will help improve our 20th ranked total rebounds, and 24th ranked O boards. Fundamentals like ball protection is an individual responsibility and we have to hold one another accountable better. And fundamentals like mindset of putting the team first and having a fighting and competitive spirit through opponent runs has to get stronger. Some of these are learned through going through it. But they are also choices, decisions to a man to be more resilient.
We’ll see how we fare in the next quarter or so of the season through what surely will see more roster and lineup changes. Onward.
It's up to us:
Team-first. Together: