All right, next season. Let's group the players a bit (note that some people appear in more than 1 category)
1) Guaranteed Keepers (IMO)
Bigs - Duncan, Mahinmi
Wings - Hairston
PG - Parker, Hill
1.5) Only for a STRONG OFFER (We might shop some of these guys...One in particular)
Bigs - KT
Wings - Manu, Mason. Bowen
2) Trade Bait (happily move these guys as filler)
Bigs - Bonner, Oberto
Wings - Finley (I understand his no-trade will expire effetively after this season...)
3) Gone
Bigs - Gooden (I suspect he will get a decent offer, approaching the MLE, and we will be unwilling to spend that much for him), Oberto (if he is not traded for someone, his contract will almost assuredly be bought out for the savings and the roster spot)
Wings - Udoka (No upside, hasn't been good enough, need the roster spot...) Bowen (Similar to Oberto, if not traded, he will almost certainly be bought out for savings. I think he might be a strong candidate to bring back on a vet min after a buyout...)
PG - Vaughn
There are key issues 1) Big trade possibilities. Bowen and Oberto's partial guarantees make them potentially strong trade values in the current economic climate. At least one trade board suggestion has included Butler for Oberto and Bowen, just for the cap relief... (not saying that'd happen, but that is the kind of scale I am talking). Also, Manu is in the mix, see next. 2) Manu.
1 HUGE ISSUE. When healthy, he's a massive difference maker. His injuries have scuttled championship shots in the last 2 years. No player, however talented, can win games in a suit on the sidelines...And he's taking up 10 million of our usable capspace. The big question is, does he feel enough (loyalty? guilt? championship hunger? whatever?) to re-sign cheap (ie MLE or so, 3 to 5 years) in 2010? If so, you keep him. If not, you have to look at moving him, due to his injuries.
Assuming Manu, KT and Mason stay, the core, not including trades looks like :
Bigs - Duncan, Mahinmi, KT
WIngs - Manu, Mason, Hairston
PG - Parker, Hill
Needs - 3 Bigs, 3 Wings, 1 PG.
For the Wings -
Bring in Gist at the Wing (similar contract to Hairston), Resign Bowen at the Vet min (after buyout, post trade), Last spot either filled by trade, or Finley, or draft pick/Nbdl/cheap veteran
For the Bigs -
Bring In Javtokas (LLE, 2 years), Lot of Possible variables - Pick 2 : a) Keep Bonner, b) get a big by trading Oberto, Bowen, and X c) Draft pick, d) NBDL/Cheap veteran (Birdman Anderson?)
For the PG - Pick 1 : a) Cheap Vet b) Marcus Williams (see the following madman
http://www.48minutesofhell.com/2009/04/ ... int-guard/ )? Or other NBDL? c) Draft Pick
As you can see, I see one big trade, Bowen, Oberto, and either Bonner or Finley, for a significant wing or a big. Who, I don't know. Names like Tyson, Butler, even Dunleavy come to mind... Alternatively that might be for a not to bad contract (say 8 million, a serviceable player, and a draft pick or two ...). Alternatively, we might see a smaller trade. Say Finley and a second to Denver for Balkman/ Kleiza (as a sign and trade), while Bowen and Oberto are simply payed off for the savings...
I would also look at moving up in this draft. We don't really have a lot of roster spots available, so moving our 3 or so seconds for a late first might be a good idea. In particular, I am looking to the draft for either a serviceable wing or big... and to move Finley, because Pop's man love ends up mucking up the rotation. The roster ends up looking
Bigs - Duncan, KT, Mahinmi, Javtokas, Draft Pick/Player traded for, Bonner
Wings - Manu, Mason, Bowen (resigned), Hairston, Gist, Draft Pick/Player traded for
PG - Parker, Hill, Cheap veteran (Travis Deiner? James Hart? Mike James? Not Vaughn please...)
1. Don't scream at me about Manu being the heart of the team. If there was guy who was the HEART of the spurs for this dynasty, it was Bruce Bowen. We sidelined him this year, apparently for no reason. Tim, Manu and Tony were the talent, don't get me wrong. But Bruce was the heart of what it meant to play Spurs ball for this dynasty.