Trading for the Future
Posted: Wed Jun 18, 2008 10:23 pm
With some of the recent buzz about who's taking who in the draft I've come up with a best-case (IMO) for the Sonics' 1st round draft. It centers around 2 trades and 2 more pieces added to our long-term core:
Trade 1:
Seattle Trades: Wilcox, #4, #32
Seattle Receives: #2 (Beasely), Blount
Miami Trades: #2, Blount
Miami Receives: Wilcox, #3 (Mayo)
Minnesota Trades: #3
Minnesota Receives: #4 (Love), #32
This trade re-orders the draft around some of the recent rumors surrounding each team. Seattle adds the next huge piece to their future and the perfect piece for a long, athletic zone with 6-10ish athletes that are interchangeable at the 2-4 (and someday 5) based on matchups. We eat the last couple of years on Blount's contract but he is basically the only serviceable C on the roster. Miami wants Mayo anyways and gets a possible long-term PF OR expiring in Wilcox depending on how his season goes. If they're in full rebuild mode they lose about $25 mil with Wilcox/Marion after next season and are in perfect position for a big FA splash. Minnesota gets the man they want (and considered at #3) in Love and get an early 2nd rounder for their efforts. They have the #31 also which they may be able to package and move up into the early 20's. Starters for Miami/Minnesota:
Miami:
PG - Mayo
SG - Wade
SF - Marion
PF - Marion
C - Haslem
Minnesota:
PG - Foye
SG - Jaric
SF - Brewer
PF - Love
C - Jefferson
Trade 2:
Seattle Trades: Collison, #24
Seattle Receives: Williams (either), #10
New Jersey Trades: Williams (either), #10
New Jersey Receives: Collison, #24
First off, I think this works with Collison's BYC status but I'm not 100%. Considering about $2.2 mil for the #10 base year and a little over $1 mil for the #24 it's within about 121%. Seattle trades a proven veteran in Collison who will put up a solid double-double to get an unproven player and move up in the draft. Basically Nick's minutes will be limited with Green/Beasely/Petro taking up most of the minutes at PF anyways and we decide to go young. Not to mention this would save clay around $4 to $5 mil the next couple of seasons. New Jersey goes into win-now mode with Carter and Jefferson aging and can still get very good value at #24. Their lineup:
New Jersey:
PG - Harris
SG - Carter
SF - Jefferson
PF - Collison
C - Krstic / Robin Lopez (?)
Depending on who's available at #10 the Sonics either go PG or C. My ideal situation is that Westbrook falls. Even though I think he's extremely risky I like him in a lineup where all you have to do is pass the ball to KD and Beasely and let them do the work, kind of like Rondo on the Celtics. He also fits perfectly in a tough zone with his 6-9ish wingspan and great perimeter defense. He can backup for the first half (or maybe whole) season while he's learning so that gives him some flexibility for his development. In this situation we obviously go with Sean Williams as the trade piece who will serve as the backup C. Lineup is:
Seattle:
PG - Watson / Westbrook / Ridnour
SG - Durant / ?
SF - Green / Wilkins
PF - Beasely / Petro
C - Blount / Williams / Sene
Decent lineup next year with a few more moves to be made. I would fully expect another Top 5 pick in 2009 so you can bank on adding a BJ Mullens/Hasheem Thabeet to form our young core. Just imagine how deadly defensively that team would be in 2 to 3 years. We'd be looking at an average height of around 6-10 that would create matchup problems across the board. Let's just hope they're playing here...
2011-12 Starting Lineup:
PG - Westbrook
SG - Durant
SF - Green
PF - Beasely
C - Thabeet
Trade 1:
Seattle Trades: Wilcox, #4, #32
Seattle Receives: #2 (Beasely), Blount
Miami Trades: #2, Blount
Miami Receives: Wilcox, #3 (Mayo)
Minnesota Trades: #3
Minnesota Receives: #4 (Love), #32
This trade re-orders the draft around some of the recent rumors surrounding each team. Seattle adds the next huge piece to their future and the perfect piece for a long, athletic zone with 6-10ish athletes that are interchangeable at the 2-4 (and someday 5) based on matchups. We eat the last couple of years on Blount's contract but he is basically the only serviceable C on the roster. Miami wants Mayo anyways and gets a possible long-term PF OR expiring in Wilcox depending on how his season goes. If they're in full rebuild mode they lose about $25 mil with Wilcox/Marion after next season and are in perfect position for a big FA splash. Minnesota gets the man they want (and considered at #3) in Love and get an early 2nd rounder for their efforts. They have the #31 also which they may be able to package and move up into the early 20's. Starters for Miami/Minnesota:
Miami:
PG - Mayo
SG - Wade
SF - Marion
PF - Marion
C - Haslem
Minnesota:
PG - Foye
SG - Jaric
SF - Brewer
PF - Love
C - Jefferson
Trade 2:
Seattle Trades: Collison, #24
Seattle Receives: Williams (either), #10
New Jersey Trades: Williams (either), #10
New Jersey Receives: Collison, #24
First off, I think this works with Collison's BYC status but I'm not 100%. Considering about $2.2 mil for the #10 base year and a little over $1 mil for the #24 it's within about 121%. Seattle trades a proven veteran in Collison who will put up a solid double-double to get an unproven player and move up in the draft. Basically Nick's minutes will be limited with Green/Beasely/Petro taking up most of the minutes at PF anyways and we decide to go young. Not to mention this would save clay around $4 to $5 mil the next couple of seasons. New Jersey goes into win-now mode with Carter and Jefferson aging and can still get very good value at #24. Their lineup:
New Jersey:
PG - Harris
SG - Carter
SF - Jefferson
PF - Collison
C - Krstic / Robin Lopez (?)
Depending on who's available at #10 the Sonics either go PG or C. My ideal situation is that Westbrook falls. Even though I think he's extremely risky I like him in a lineup where all you have to do is pass the ball to KD and Beasely and let them do the work, kind of like Rondo on the Celtics. He also fits perfectly in a tough zone with his 6-9ish wingspan and great perimeter defense. He can backup for the first half (or maybe whole) season while he's learning so that gives him some flexibility for his development. In this situation we obviously go with Sean Williams as the trade piece who will serve as the backup C. Lineup is:
Seattle:
PG - Watson / Westbrook / Ridnour
SG - Durant / ?
SF - Green / Wilkins
PF - Beasely / Petro
C - Blount / Williams / Sene
Decent lineup next year with a few more moves to be made. I would fully expect another Top 5 pick in 2009 so you can bank on adding a BJ Mullens/Hasheem Thabeet to form our young core. Just imagine how deadly defensively that team would be in 2 to 3 years. We'd be looking at an average height of around 6-10 that would create matchup problems across the board. Let's just hope they're playing here...
2011-12 Starting Lineup:
PG - Westbrook
SG - Durant
SF - Green
PF - Beasely
C - Thabeet