billy_hoyle wrote:ATLTimekeeper wrote:bballsparkin wrote:
as a stat guy. does anyone standout as a comparison? seems unique to me.
I saw KD as a comparison, but as a college player KD averaged 26/11/1.3 with 4 stocks. His BPM was 8.8, ws/40 .280. That's a statistical giant in college. He was also 2 inches taller, but whatever.
Right now Ace projects as a bust pick in the top 5. Stylistically I think he's closer to a TJ Warren-type. Shot creation at all 3 levels is a 3 level scorer. Creating your own jump shot is something that a lot of non-stars can do, too.
By 'projects as a bust pick', you mean statistically based on BPM and ws/40.
His actual skill set is still on display. He's avg 18 and 7 as a freshman coming off an injury.
This will be a very interesting player to see how they turnout from a stats vs skills perspective.
If I remember correctly, ATL, you were also very down on Ant Edwards.
I don't remember what I thought about Edwards before the draft, but I remember that being a weak draft.
Edwards' BPM was 5.5. I do have a threshold that's above even 2, but I just make a note of it that Bailey is still below 2 (I just use college-reference's calculation as my standard). If you can find a star that had a < 2 in their draft year, please let me know.
A bust pick in the top 5 means someone that won't be close to the 5 best players in the draft to me. Bailey has proven he can shoot, has size and can rebound and defend a little. Tall shooters are valuable in the NBA. He will also get a long leash as a top pick as he enters the "I can fix him" carousel.
If there's something about his injury that prevents him from moving the ball, I guess it's a valid excuse. To me it's a red flag.
