ATLTimekeeper wrote:How is Sabonis not a winning player? They won high 40s and low 50s since he's been on the team with the sole exception of this injury-plagued year. And he just turned 25. Put better players around him and he'll win even more, most likely. Either way, it would be a home run to get a 20/12/7 guy at #7. Just like it would be a home run to draft KAT @#7.
The reason you take Sengun is that he's put up massive numbers at 18. You can like a whole bunch of wings and guards. I do, too, but none of them will come close to being as productive as Sengun and only a couple are the same age.
The Pacers haven't won 50 games since Paul George and Hibbert were there. They've topped out at 48 wins and the 4th seed recently, and did have some impressive ranks in defensive rating with McMillan as coach (3rd in 2018-19, 6th in 2019-20). But that was with Myles Turner starting every game at C. Sabonis has only been a full-time starter the past 2 years, and mostly at PF.
The problem with Sabonis is he does his best work inside, so their offense tanks when he and Turner play together because there's not enough spacing. Meanwhile he's not a good defensive C on his own. Turner gets a lot of flak for not being a good fit with him, but the number of Cs in the league who can be both ideal floor spacers
and ideal rim protectors is basically zero. Sabonis is neither. If a team wins a championship with a big like Sabonis, it will be the first time. Their defense predictably fell off this year when Turner went out, and Sabonis may have even been one of the voices pushing for Bjorkgren to get fired after asking him to do too much on defense. That's just speculation though.
Anyway I agree that Sengun might be really productive, especially on a middling team, and there's value to drafting a player like that in the 8-10 range. But I've argued that the best use of his value would be packaging him for a more conventional star, like OKC did for Paul George. If this draft is so loaded, you'd obviously rather just try to draft that star if you have a lottery pick.