Zeno wrote:Posted this in the draft thread but then realized that it should probably go here...
A very hypothetical trade scenerio...
Assuming we are 7th pre-lottery...
Would you trade our pre-lottery draft position for Houston's?
So Houston would get our 7th pick and our decreased odds to move up but the security of knowing they are getting a top 7-10 pick at worst, and we would be getting the increased odds of moving up but if it didn't happen would end up with Miami's pick(through OKC) which is probably around 17th. I don't believe either team would do this trade in reality because the downside risk is too great, but it is interesting to consider.
In the worst case scenerio, we'd be trading the number 1 pick for the 17th pick. I don't believe any real life gm would make take that chance, however slim. However our chance at top 4 would be going up from 32% to 51% and our chances at Cade would nearly double from 7.5 to 14%. Are those increased odds worth the potential drop all the way to 17th?
Wow, that would be a ballsy move. I think it's always worth gambling for more chance at upside, but it would largely depend on whether Raps thought they could get someone at #17 who wasn't much worse than the Barnes, Keons and Moody's in the 6-10 range. I've seen Bouknight at #17. I'd prefer Ziaire Williams. Or maybe then take a chance on Jalen Johnson.






















