canada_dry wrote:planetmars wrote:canada_dry wrote:So u want next to zero lottery odds... Where teams at the end of the lottery NEVER jump up to top 4 or anything like that, over real tangible playoff experience? Because thats what ur saying. Ur admitting theres essentially no difference between picking 13th and 14th, but u want those minuscule lottery odds that historically just dont work out. That...makes sense...?
Sent from my SM-G960W using
RealGM mobile app
Woah there.. I prefer the playoff route. I'm a fan of the game and want to see 4 extra games even if they are losses. I'm just saying.. there is a 0% chance of moving to the top 4 when you make the playoffs. And there is a chance (although small) of moving up when you don't.
And that's the debate here. And it's an interesting one. The NBA has made it where being a 1st round exit team is worse than missing the playoffs, because of the lottery system. The lottery system needs to be revamped.
Again, just 3 years ago, the Lakers moved up from 11 to 4. And were 10th in the conference.. so would have been a play-in team if that existed back then.
Its so rare man. Especially in that 13-14 range we would be in. They simply dont jump. Maybe once in a blue moon. But not even then. I don't think its worse to be a playoff team than a late lottery team unless you're always and perpetually in that position. If you're a young team that playoff experience is invaluable and definitely worth being down literally one or 2 spots in the draft. Like we r talking pick 15, its not a discussion to be had at all.
Maybe we make the play in tournament and lose. Who knows. We keep lottery spot, and we also get SOME postseason experience.
I just rhymed off a long list of all-star calibre players (or close to or developing into) in the last decade that were taken in that 10-14 range so that's what most people are weighing...
Give arguably the best scouting department to be in that position to spot those kinds of players that slip into that 10-14 range vs a 1s round exit. What do people think has a greater long term effect??
Why would barely just missing a single post season suddenly throw this franchise into disarray?! lol What would that single post season more (being that we would MORE than likely be in the Playoffs the following year) do different for the team long term?! Maybe they put up a better fight in the 1st round the following year?! Some of you are acting like if the team didn't make the Playoffs this year despite a litany of reasons/excuses between health & covid that suddenly it would "hurt" the winning culture, as if guys like Fred, Pascal, OG are suddenly gonna give up because they didn't make it that single season and the whole thing is shot to hell lol pleeeease. They'll come back just as, if not MORE determined than ever to make it back..
On the flipside, we do stay in the 11-14 range, the elite scouting department does find it's "Booker, Mitchell, LaVine, Thompson" etc before they come off the board (or we fluke into the top 4, not likely but still an actual possibility)...what's better long term?? Took a 1st round beatdown or potentially added another young star for the next near decade and drastically increased the team's ceiling and made the Playoffs the following year?! No one is saying it's a sure thing but given how excellent the scouting department is, it's all about just giving them better ODDS to do so. For some barely missing a Playoffs to in all likelihood be in it the very next season vs a 1st rd beatdown is a small price to pay for would could completely alter the trajectory of the franchise for the next 8 years...
To each their own, we all want the team to reach the same height but yet again it's just a difference in opinion of how we think the team can get there.