Los_29 wrote:I thought OG would never average anywhere close to 15ppg and he proved me wrong this year. After seeing the improvements he made in his game last year, I now believe 20ppg is a possibility.
While I agree we get a sense of what kind of player someone is by their 4th and 5th year, the idea that they are finished products at that point is just not true. People mentioned Butler, his best year was actually last season. Career high in rebounds, assists, steals and fg%. He might've averaged slightly more points in Chicago but he did so on significantly worse efficiency. The same can be said for Lebron, Wade, Dirk, KD, Kobe and so many other star players. Players definitely learn to be more efficient as they get older which is why if you look at their advanced stats, their best years were when they were in their late 20's not when they were 23-24 years old.
It seems like the sweet spot is 27-29 when a lot of superstars put up their best year.
Butler's first all-star season was at 25, his 4th year in the league.
That season he averaged 20/6/4 on 58% TS.
The following season he put up 21/5/5 on 56% TS.
Last season he averaged 22/7/7 on 61% TS.
That's still the same player. He got craftier with more experience, as everyone does, but we knew who Butler was at 25. His PPG has fluctuated up and down between 19-24 and his TS% between 56-61% from 2013-2021, which is just variance (he hasn't been steadily improving).