deck wrote:I think it is easy to loose perspective on how young these players are. Confidence is huge in sports, and RJ may just be hitting the point now where he is comfortable with who he is.
I think being "comfortable with who he is" most likely isn't super important. What folks are looking for is actual skill development, or at least signs of how we can provide structure around him to support his strengths and mask his weaknesses. And there are some positive findings there. Beyond that, tenure matters. Age matters too, but a half decade with no real markers for improvement in certain skills is usually pretty telling. Certain skills, certain instincts, they don't develop very often in a player's mid-20s or later, not without extremely refined and specific circumstances.
Confidence isn't what's keeping him from success at the line or having a mid-range game. It isn't what has him blindly bulling his way to the rim a half-decade into his career instead of attacking with a more nuanced approach. Time and opportunity may yet help him evolve in those areas, but he makes assertive decisions. He isn't struggling with confidence to any visible extent. He's doing a lot of what he's always done.
He has shown us some things, though. He appears to be passing better. He seems to be working better when he's not the sole creator or initiator. He seems pretty coachable and adaptable. All of those are good things, promising for development. But there is a point where you've been playing so many games per year that we've seen roughly what you are, and it's nuance which starts changing, or what helps keep you afloat as your athleticism ebbs. Decision-making as you see more and more defenses, understand more coverage, get the reps in running sets... there's a value to that.
What we DO know about age is that there is a point where fast-twitch athleticism starts settling down regardless of who you are. We can say the same thing about mileage, we know that it adds up, wherefore all the minute-watching and such. But 5 years in the league is quite a bit different than 3 years in the NCAA and 2 years in the league in terms of your learning curve, particularly when you've been doing more than riding pine.
More than anything with RJ, I think we need to do our damndest to replicate the situation in which he was thriving last year. ANd now, with Scottie back, we're getting closer to that. So we'll see how RJ responds over the next stretch. Because while it's clear he isn't a #1, we also don't have a clear #1 on the squad. So divvying it up a little and moving the ball well may work out rather nicely for us, particularly with a guy who ca go north-south as hard as he can.