VanWest82 wrote:720 wrote:Skeezo wrote:
It's not that I don't like Powell as a player, but he is the oldest of the core you mentioned. My bigger fear is that it will cost too much to retain Norm this offseason because all the big name FA have already been locked down. This will create a sellers market for players and their services this summer. Now, Powell at 12m-14m is a trade asset, and I'm totally for resigning... Powell at 18-20m, I'm not sure is, and would recommend trading for a future asset. Finally, signing Powell to that type of a deal does not allow a lot of flexibility in our financials. We essentially have Siakim, FVV, OG, Powell, Boucher, and Flynn taking up 100m of 110m salary cap... Where do we go from there?
Exactly AND if we don't re-sign him this offseason. Then none of this makes sense. Either you showcase him and deal him now. Or re-sign him and trade him later. Because atm all our money is tied into 3 guys and Norm would be the fourth in such a scenario.
Both you guys are completely ignoring the part about his bird rights. You sign a FA (or two) first and then re-sign Norm over the cap. I highly doubt he's getting 18-20M. He's been a 6th man / spot starter for his entire career and if Lowry sticks around through the end of this year that's all he'll be prior to entering FA. Who are the 6th men UFAs making 20M AAV? 12-14M feels about right.
If we get meaningful trade offers then I'd consider trading Norm because that probably means he has a market and will get paid. I'm dubious that'll be the case though. Teams don't shell out big $$ for undersized SGs who aren't creators. He fits in nicely with Raptors though.
In the scenario you are discussing is Lowry coming back or not because that makes a difference? Lowry's cap hold alone is 39m putting the Raptors over the cap... There will be NO signing of Free Agents first and then using the Bird Rights on Lowry and Powell to go over the cap... You have to first renounce Lowry.... Even then, Norm's cap hold is 17m... If you can get him for 12m-14m, you try to sign that deal right away because its less than the cap hold.
Look, I don't disagree with you on what Powell's AAV is, and as I said, at 12m, I probably sign him because at that price we can always move him. However, as mentioned, the weak Free Agent crop points to an environment where Norm gets a higher than AAV value. Even if we were to renounce Lowry, & sign Norm to a 12m per year deal, by the time we sign our draft pick, and taking into account the minimum roster cap holds, we are only looking at 14m-15m in cap space... I'm not sure where we go from there, other than getting a decent but not great Big Man for the front court...
Now ideally, T.Davis prior to his offseason malfunction was becoming what Powell became as a back-up for Ross. This would have easily allowed Masai to trade Powell for an asset much like it enabled the trade of Ross for Ibaka a few years back. If, TD could get back on track, he will will be much easier to retain on the cheap as an RFA next year, allowing the Raps to maximize their salary cap space to either sign a higher-level player or use the space for teams that want to dump bad contracts to gain additional draft picks if they so choose.