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Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2

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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#241 » by Indeed » Wed Dec 11, 2024 8:23 pm

tsherkin wrote:
Indeed wrote:Lakers has Antonio Davis taking the most shots, scoring the most, is he the first option or is that LeBron?
Clippers has Powell taking the most shots, scoring the most, is he the first option or is that Harden?

Although most cases might have the leading scorer being the 1st option (since 1st option requires to be a scorer to begin with), but that is no necessary. Dating back to the DeRozan-Lowry era, Lowry has the higher BPM than DeRozan in regular season even DeRozan has higher field goal attempts, GOAT of the team.


Lebron is 40. They've switched things up some, yes.

Higher BPM doesn't mean anything in this context. Lowry was the better player, but DeRozan was the first option because Lowry wasn't a volume guy.


Not sure I agree your reason on Lowry not being a volume guy. More because FGA doesn't tell the full story, because Lowry isn't a finisher, and he makes the pass instead of finishing.

That being said, this is one reason that taking the most shots isn't necessarily the first option.
Your definition of #1 option is not valid. Regardless of switching things up or some other reasons, it is not necessarily the #1 option nor the best player. There are exceptions.
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#242 » by tsherkin » Wed Dec 11, 2024 8:27 pm

Indeed wrote:Not sure I agree your reason on Lowry not being a volume guy. More because FGA doesn't tell the full story, because Lowry isn't a finisher, and he makes the pass instead of finishing.


There is differentiation between "better player" and "first option."

Your definition of #1 option is not valid. Regardless of switching things up or some other reasons, it is not necessarily the #1 option nor the best player. There are exceptions.


"Best player" doesn't really enter the equation.

"First option" is literally a descriptor: the first choice in the offensive scheme...
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#243 » by Indeed » Wed Dec 11, 2024 8:39 pm

tsherkin wrote:
Indeed wrote:Not sure I agree your reason on Lowry not being a volume guy. More because FGA doesn't tell the full story, because Lowry isn't a finisher, and he makes the pass instead of finishing.


There is differentiation between "better player" and "first option."

Your definition of #1 option is not valid. Regardless of switching things up or some other reasons, it is not necessarily the #1 option nor the best player. There are exceptions.


"Best player" doesn't really enter the equation.

"First option" is literally a descriptor: the first choice in the offensive scheme...


Now you get a new definition as compare to before?

tsherkin wrote:
None of that is accurate, though.

It's literally "the guy the team games to take the shot most of the time" and it varies based on the roster. There isn't need for advanced anything to figure that out.


Are you saying "First option" is "the first choice in the offensive scheme" and "the guy the team games to take the shot most of the time"? And what am I wrong with saying it should not be determined by TS%? And how you determine someone not qualify for "First option" if it is just "the first choice in the offensive scheme"?
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#244 » by tsherkin » Wed Dec 11, 2024 8:48 pm

Indeed wrote:[
Are you saying "First option" is "the first choice in the offensive scheme" and "the guy the team games to take the shot most of the time"? And what am I wrong with saying it should not be determined by TS%? And how you determine someone not qualify for "First option" if it is just "the first choice in the offensive scheme"?


That isn't a different definition.

TS% is irrelevant. It is patently irrelevant. Efficiency is a description of quality; it has no bearing on what we're discussing. It's a starting point for describing quality, but that's not salient.

For the Raptors when we had DDR and Lowry, DeRozan was shooting more, consistently, the entire time. And his time of possession was significant. And he was the guy we looked for out of timeouts a lot. Like, it wasn't subtle that he was our first option. That's why so many people were bitching about him all the time, because he wasn't ideal in that role. That's why we moved him when Kawhi came up as an opportunity. And Kawhi was immediately our first option.

Lowry was extremely good, but he was also a 13 FGA/g player as a Raptor who topped out at 15.6 FGA/g in 37 mpg. He was our primary playmaker. On many teams, those two are separate roles when you don't have like Harden, Doncic or Lebron on your team. It isn't far different from how Giannis is the first option but isn't Milwaukee's focal playmaker.
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#245 » by Indeed » Wed Dec 11, 2024 9:05 pm

tsherkin wrote:
Indeed wrote:[
Are you saying "First option" is "the first choice in the offensive scheme" and "the guy the team games to take the shot most of the time"? And what am I wrong with saying it should not be determined by TS%? And how you determine someone not qualify for "First option" if it is just "the first choice in the offensive scheme"?


That isn't a different definition.

TS% is irrelevant. It is patently irrelevant. Efficiency is a description of quality; it has no bearing on what we're discussing. It's a starting point for describing quality, but that's not salient.

For the Raptors when we had DDR and Lowry, DeRozan was shooting more, consistently, the entire time. And his time of possession was significant. And he was the guy we looked for out of timeouts a lot. Like, it wasn't subtle that he was our first option. That's why so many people were bitching about him all the time, because he wasn't ideal in that role. That's why we moved him when Kawhi came up as an opportunity. And Kawhi was immediately our first option.

Lowry was extremely good, but he was also a 13 FGA/g player as a Raptor who topped out at 15.6 FGA/g in 37 mpg. He was our primary playmaker. On many teams, those two are separate roles when you don't have like Harden, Doncic or Lebron on your team. It isn't far different from how Giannis is the first option but isn't Milwaukee's focal playmaker.


Maybe you can confirm your definition of "First option" is "the first choice in the offensive scheme" and "the guy the team games to take the shot most of the time". Otherwise, our discussion will be meaningless with different understanding.
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#246 » by Kingsway_fan » Wed Dec 11, 2024 9:20 pm

With Scottie out again, I expect Barrett and Gradey's numbers to go up again , and also Yak's ... as they will be handling the bulk of the offense ...
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#247 » by tsherkin » Wed Dec 11, 2024 9:44 pm

Kingsway_fan wrote:With Scottie out again, I expect Barrett and Gradey's numbers to go up again , and also Yak's ... as they will be handling the bulk of the offense ...


It will be very interesting to see more of Barrett without Scottie. It'll help isolate Scottie's impact on how RJ is used, and how that effects him as a scorer.
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#248 » by ash_k » Wed Dec 11, 2024 10:45 pm

tsherkin wrote:
Kingsway_fan wrote:With Scottie out again, I expect Barrett and Gradey's numbers to go up again , and also Yak's ... as they will be handling the bulk of the offense ...


It will be very interesting to see more of Barrett without Scottie. It'll help isolate Scottie's impact on how RJ is used, and how that effects him as a scorer.

True, it is not like about a month ago we did not see him do in 3 straight games, without Scottie:
31pts
33pts
31pts
and more recently do a 39 against Pascal with Scottie twinning with Bruce Brown on the bench.
It will be very interesting indeed
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#249 » by tsherkin » Wed Dec 11, 2024 10:58 pm

ash_k wrote:
tsherkin wrote:
Kingsway_fan wrote:With Scottie out again, I expect Barrett and Gradey's numbers to go up again , and also Yak's ... as they will be handling the bulk of the offense ...


It will be very interesting to see more of Barrett without Scottie. It'll help isolate Scottie's impact on how RJ is used, and how that effects him as a scorer.

True, it is not like about a month ago we did not see him do in 3 straight games, without Scottie:
31pts
33pts
31pts
and more recently do a 39 against Pascal with Scottie twinning with Bruce Brown on the bench.
It will be very interesting indeed


When his 3 is falling at unsustainable percentages, he can be efficient any time. That much is clear. I'm more interested in what he looks like inside the arc when he's not on a random 3pt streak, you know?
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#250 » by ash_k » Wed Dec 11, 2024 11:15 pm

tsherkin wrote:
ash_k wrote:
tsherkin wrote:
It will be very interesting to see more of Barrett without Scottie. It'll help isolate Scottie's impact on how RJ is used, and how that effects him as a scorer.

True, it is not like about a month ago we did not see him do in 3 straight games, without Scottie:
31pts
33pts
31pts
and more recently do a 39 against Pascal with Scottie twinning with Bruce Brown on the bench.
It will be very interesting indeed


When his 3 is falling at unsustainable percentages, he can be efficient any time. That much is clear. I'm more interested in what he looks like inside the arc when he's not on a random 3pt streak, you know?

This month with Scottie: 26.2ppg|7.8rbs|4.2ast| 54.3 FG%|83.3 FT%|37.9 3P% If you didnt know, you would think those are Jayson Tatum numbers.
Without Scottie, can we expect his FG%/3P% to drop having to take&force shots? Sure! Though, let's see what Ja'Kobe has in store for us, to take some of the attention away.
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#251 » by tsherkin » Wed Dec 11, 2024 11:19 pm

ash_k wrote:This month with Scottie: 26.2ppg|7.8rbs|4.2ast| 54.3 FG%|83.3 FT%|37.9 3P% If you didnt know, you would think those are Jayson Tatum numbers.


Yup, looks much, much better with Scottie.
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#252 » by ash_k » Wed Dec 11, 2024 11:26 pm

tsherkin wrote:
ash_k wrote:This month with Scottie: 26.2ppg|7.8rbs|4.2ast| 54.3 FG%|83.3 FT%|37.9 3P% If you didnt know, you would think those are Jayson Tatum numbers.
Without Scottie, can we expect his FG%/3P% to drop having to take&force shots? Sure! Though, let's see what Ja'Kobe has in store for us, to take some of the attention away.

Yup, looks much, much better with Scottie.

Must be a reason Masai and them have placed "Franchise Tag"/"future MVP-type" on Scottie only, right.
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#253 » by tsherkin » Thu Dec 12, 2024 12:12 am

ash_k wrote:Must be a reason Masai and them have placed "Franchise Tag"/"future MVP-type" on Scottie only, right.


Eh. But primary handlers who take RJ off-ball are obviously of value.
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#254 » by tecumseh18 » Thu Dec 12, 2024 12:47 am

ash_k wrote:Though, let's see what Ja'Kobe has in store for us, to take some of the attention away.


100% I'm very, very excited to see what JKW will do with more minutes based on the Knicks game. It's just one game, but I finally got around to watching the Dallas game, where he started to show real promise at both ends of the court.

This season reminds me of the Grizzlies' last season where they were wracked with injuries, but all these young guys popped out of nowhere to help keep them in games.
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#255 » by ash_k » Thu Dec 12, 2024 1:08 am

tecumseh18 wrote:
ash_k wrote:Though, let's see what Ja'Kobe has in store for us, to take some of the attention away.


100% I'm very, very excited to see what JKW will do with more minutes based on the Knicks game. It's just one game, but I finally got around to watching the Dallas game, where he started to show real promise at both ends of the court.

This season reminds me of the Grizzlies' last season where they were wracked with injuries, but all these young guys popped out of nowhere to help keep them in games.

I am excited too, but I just would like us to have one more young talented Small Forward(minimum 6'8 okay 6'7 fine these days.) just one! JKW, Ochai,JB, Gradey and RJ..how many more 6'5/6'6ish shooting guards are we going to have? I hear we signed another one today.
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#256 » by RoteSchroder » Thu Dec 12, 2024 2:21 am

Indeed wrote:
tsherkin wrote:
Indeed wrote:Not sure I agree your reason on Lowry not being a volume guy. More because FGA doesn't tell the full story, because Lowry isn't a finisher, and he makes the pass instead of finishing.


There is differentiation between "better player" and "first option."

Your definition of #1 option is not valid. Regardless of switching things up or some other reasons, it is not necessarily the #1 option nor the best player. There are exceptions.


"Best player" doesn't really enter the equation.

"First option" is literally a descriptor: the first choice in the offensive scheme...


Now you get a new definition as compare to before?

tsherkin wrote:
None of that is accurate, though.

It's literally "the guy the team games to take the shot most of the time" and it varies based on the roster. There isn't need for advanced anything to figure that out.


Are you saying "First option" is "the first choice in the offensive scheme" and "the guy the team games to take the shot most of the time"? And what am I wrong with saying it should not be determined by TS%? And how you determine someone not qualify for "First option" if it is just "the first choice in the offensive scheme"?


A good example to use would be Nash vs Marion in 2005-06 when Amare was injured. Nash was at 13.4 FGA and Marion was 16.9 FGA. I'd be hard pressed to call Marion the 1st option in that offense. To me, a 1st option is your teams primary/main initiator and playmaker, whether he's making plays for himself or for others.

For DD/Lowry, it's a bit more muddled as DD had higher usage. I also don't think it's necessary to put one clearly over the other. I'd leave it at "they were both main options".

YogurtProducer wrote:
tsherkin wrote:
PushDaRock wrote:The expectation should not be a 32% USG rate as the primary scorer and playmaker. Anyone other than Superstars will struggle in that role, especially when surrounded by inferior talent.


Absolutely.

And that's what it comes down to: finding a role deployment which works for him. We know he does better when he isn't a huge volume shooter. We know he does better when he can get off-ball more. We know he does better when he has better spacing (duh, that's everyone). We know he has no jumper to speak of except from the corners (especially the right side) and struggles at the line. That's fine, those are known quantities for a guy we already know not to be a perennial All-Star. And that's okay. We just have to put him in position to succeed by trying to run him in possession types at which he excels. Which is true of our entire roster.

He isn't a savior, he's a flawed player who was mostly a salary dump from his previous team. I'd be cautious looking at < 10 games of him without Scottie. In those games, he was pretty hot from 3 when he was doing well, and he had Quick for most of them. And he was bad more than he was good in that stretch, the pair of 70%+ TS games he has really brings up his TS% over that specific stretch. Small samples, and all that.

Regardless, I think looking at him without the supporting pieces probably isn't the thing. We don't WANT to play him without those guys. We want them to be healthy and opening lanes for him, setting him up and making him play better. That's the goal anyway. We know from several years worth of time with New York what Barrett's flaws are as a scorer. And they repeat here in Toronto, but especially with Barnes on the floor, he seems to thrive.

So as we limit his volume and try to push more and more optimal looks at him, he should look better inside that role, which is good stuff for us.

Yeah RJ was really efficient last year, and was efficient this year when Scottie played (60.4TS% since he returned).

I really don't care what he does when it is RJ as the #1 option. He never will be the #1 option for us and it is kind of irrelevant to how we should view him.

Hell, he even looked good last year with IQ out there. Super small sample of 9 games of RJ/IQ after Scottie got hurt last year but RJ gave us 24.6/6.6/4.6 on .554/.344/.692 (61.4TS%). (IQ also gave us 21.1/5.6/8.3 on .435/.352/.845 (.586TS%)

So far in his Raptor tenure, RJ has been incredibly efficient outside of that stretch where IQ and Barnes were both hurt and he was asked to do a lot more than he should. As a guy who is not the #1 though he has been great, and I think the best is to come when he can play with IQ and Barnes together.


It's more so the role he plays (and partially his own decision making) than Scottie vs no Scottie.

With IQ/Scottie out, he can maintain his efficiency by staying in a smaller role and having Scottie's usage replaced by Shead/Mitchell/Ja'Kobe/Olynyk/Poeltl/etc. Making him the lead guard will essentially damage his efficiency.

1) He's never been efficient at pull-up shots under any scenario or team. He's only efficient from 3 on wide open shots (6+ feet) and has consistently been inefficient at open shots (defender 4-6 feet away).

2) Thibs had RJ + bench line-ups where RJ is leading the bench.

3) One strange phenomenon to note is RJ's efficiency with and without Mitchell Robinson.

In his past two Knicks seasons, he was at 56.5 TS% and 57.5 TS% with Mitchell and 50.9 TS% and 50.3 TS% without. That's a massive difference and the sample size is fairly large. Conversely, his efficiency takes a notable dip playing alongside iHart in the last two seasons, also on a fairly large sample size. Would need to dig deeper to find the underlying reason.
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#257 » by Scase » Thu Dec 12, 2024 2:33 am

ash_k wrote:
tsherkin wrote:
Kingsway_fan wrote:With Scottie out again, I expect Barrett and Gradey's numbers to go up again , and also Yak's ... as they will be handling the bulk of the offense ...


It will be very interesting to see more of Barrett without Scottie. It'll help isolate Scottie's impact on how RJ is used, and how that effects him as a scorer.

True, it is not like about a month ago we did not see him do in 3 straight games, without Scottie:
31pts
33pts
31pts
and more recently do a 39 against Pascal with Scottie twinning with Bruce Brown on the bench.
It will be very interesting indeed

Yeah lets focus on those 3 games, and not the other 9 games right after where he averaged 21.6ppg on 47.7% TS%. Fun fact, that 47% TS% includes that 39pt game against the pacers.

It's easy for things to look good when you completely ignore the bad lol
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#258 » by MEDIC » Thu Dec 12, 2024 2:52 am

Kingsway_fan wrote:With Scottie out again, I expect Barrett and Gradey's numbers to go up again , and also Yak's ... as they will be handling the bulk of the offense ...


I would.like to see some.primary ball handler duties given to Walter. See what he can do. I would rather not have RJ go back to it.
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#259 » by bonjovi0308 » Thu Dec 12, 2024 2:55 am

Does RJ's contract have 2 more seasons not including this? I wonder what his next contract would look like if he can keep his current numbers? How much % of his salary makes up of the cap you think is worth to keep him? (Scottie's will be 25%)
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Re: Official RJ Barrett Thread Part 2 

Post#260 » by manjusaka » Thu Dec 12, 2024 3:56 am

Scase wrote:
Indeed wrote:
mademan wrote:
If IQ/Dick are the future guards, an athletic defensive wing is absolutely a must. But who knows what the future needs are...we get a guy like Dylan Harper and he pans out, one of IQ/Dick probably isnt gonna be here long term. Or Masai believes in Ace Bailey's long term 2 way potential and we become a sniper of a team with Scottie/Ace being our starting defensive stalwarts.


Not seeing Baily being a defensive player, and Harper is more a guard.
I am also not seeing Baily fitting with Barnes.

Bailey has be projected to be a very good help defender much like Scottie, I don't know if I'd be confident saying he'd be an elite defender, but I would be shocked if he couldn't manage being above average. He's got all the physical tools, and you can teach the rest.


Bailey has all the physical tools and great shooting touch. However, he might need a good situation in the NBA to grow. His game needs a lot of refinement. Theoretically he looks great besides Scottie.

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