TorontoBarneys wrote:KL78192020 wrote:YogurtProducer wrote:It’s really not worth it Johnny. Somehow the entire league improved so much it’s accounted for us losing 11 more games (if we continue this pace). We’re the only team who didn’t improve.
Also lol at saying half a season isn’t a small sample. We’ve seen teams (like us) go 27-14 in a half season sample (literally last year) but I don’t see anyone claiming we were a 54 win team.
We certainly not a 55 win team, but we’re also not a 35 win team. I don’t know what to say to anyone If they truly think we’re as bad as our record shows
Lol you still think this core is good? No Gobert No KAT on a back to back and can't even win. Terrible. And I'm the delusional one?
Terrible losses against the bucks and hawks just to go with this one tonight.
At this point some of these posters are genuinely trending into blatant delusion territory. It's sad to watch.
"We're not as bad as our record shows" is the most empty statement I've seen in a long time, and I've sadly seen it repeated here. It's pure cope and nothing else.
It really is not empty. You can look at how historically net rating, SRS, etc. is a better indicator of a teams actual production than just record. The fact is we have lost a loooot of close games this year (2-8 in 1 possession games, 4-12 in 2 possession games) which are more luck based than most people would like to admit.
http://www.espn.com/nba/stats/rpi/_/sort/W - expected win % of .502 (no-mans-land territory, but still better than our record)
basketball ref has our SRS at 0.31 (16th in NBA)
Now obviously part of that is late game execution, poor offense, etc., except that last year this same core was 7-6 in 1 possession games, and 18-16 in 2 possession games. Now obviously that would be only 4-5 more wins this year, but a 24-22 record looks a hell of a lot better than 20-26.
Now, I do not think or know if a 23-23 or 24-22 record even puts us in a better spot than being 20-26, because at least being 11th in a conference takes us out of the no-mans-land territory and firmly into a rebuild situation. But there are stats and evidence that if you replay these first 46 games again there's a very good chance 20-26 is about our floor and not what you would expect.