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Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM...

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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#341 » by Basketball_Jones » Thu Dec 22, 2022 6:01 am

JB7 wrote:Ok, since Siakam has returned from his injury (first game back was against the Cavs on Nov. 28th), and as well as he has played, the teams record over that time is 4-9. And the next 8 are against: Cavs, Clippers, Griz, Suns, Pacers, Bucks, Knicks and Blazers (generally all teams well above .500). The Raps record at that point (since Siakam's return) could be like 5-16.

So either the whole team around him sucks. Or his play is not actually elevating his team to win. Either way, it screams trade him now, while his value seems to be peaking, because if the team does suck that much, adding a player here or there is not going to do much to shift the overall performance of this team.


Bro, it’s not playground one on one. Obviously yes the team around him sucks. Scottie looks washed whenever he plays on the road, Fred is a roller coaster of 20 shots and 20 points, Gary is injured, Flynn and Juancho are now in the rotation. It’s bad.
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#342 » by raptor jesus » Thu Dec 22, 2022 6:02 am

When Pascal won MIP he couldn't shoot jumpers off the dribble - like at all. Everything was in transition, around the basket, spot ups. His continued progression is unreal.
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#343 » by pingpongrac » Thu Dec 22, 2022 6:03 am

JB7 wrote:Ok, since Siakam has returned from his injury (first game back was against the Cavs on Nov. 28th), and as well as he has played, the teams record over that time is 4-9. And the next 8 are against: Cavs, Clippers, Griz, Suns, Pacers, Bucks, Knicks and Blazers (generally all teams well above .500). The Raps record at that point (since Siakam's return) could be like 5-16.

So either the whole team around him sucks. Or his play is not actually elevating his team to win. Either way, it screams trade him now, while his value seems to be peaking, because if the team does suck that much, adding a player here or there is not going to do much to shift the overall performance of this team.


The team as a whole has been vastly underperforming as of late because of injuries (Achiuwa and Porter have missed all 13 games while OG and GTJ have missed 4 each) and some slumps for some key players (FVV and Scottie were terrible for 4 or 5 games at the start of this stretch and Boucher has been brutal almost the entire 13 games while Banton and Flynn have been mostly unplayable) coinciding with the tougher schedule. They have sucked for the most part recently, but they are much better than they've shown.

Regarding Siakam's play and if it elevates the team...I think it's pretty obvious as just about every single key player looks much better when they share the floor with Siakam.

Scoring (per36) and efficiency with/without Siakam

GTJ: 20.8 PTS on 62 TS% vs 17.7 PTS on 47 TS%
Banton: 16.7 PTS on 54 TS% vs 19.5 PTS on 50 TS%
OG: 16.6 PTS on 59 TS% vs 20.1 PTS on 56 TS%
Scottie: 16.4 PTS on 59 TS% vs 15.0 PTS on 46 TS%
Boucher: 15.3 PTS on 63 TS% vs 18.2 PTS on 53 TS%
FVV: 15.2 PTS on 51 TS% vs 22.2 PTS on 54 TS%
Flynn: 12.6 PTS on 42 TS% vs 19.5 PTS on 69 TS%
Birch: 12.0 PTS on 63 TS% vs 7.6 PTS on 60 TS%
Achiuwa: 12.0 PTS on 49 TS% vs 18.9 PTS on 50 TS%
Thad: 10.7 PTS on 63 TS% vs 11.0 PTS on 56 TS%
Juancho: 9.3 PTS on 63 TS% vs 8.9 PTS on 58 TS%
Koloko: 7.1 PTS on 50 TS% vs 9.1 PTS on 50 TS%

Outside of FVV (and OG to a lesser extent), all of our top players greatly benefit from playing with Siakam. In particular, the on/off Siakam splits of Scottie and GTJ (2-3 points less on ~15% lower TS%) are absurd...which makes it wild when people claim Siakam is holding Scottie back.
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#344 » by ItsDanger » Thu Dec 22, 2022 6:07 am

Johnny Bball wrote:
ItsDanger wrote:
JB7 wrote:Ok, since Siakam has returned from his injury (first game back was against the Cavs on Nov. 28th), and as well as he has played, the teams record over that time is 4-9. And the next 8 are against: Cavs, Clippers, Griz, Suns, Pacers, Bucks, Knicks and Blazers (generally all teams well above .500). The Raps record at that point (since Siakam's return) could be like 5-16.

So either the whole team around him sucks. Or his play is not actually elevating his team to win. Either way, it screams trade him now, while his value seems to be peaking, because if the team does suck that much, adding a player here or there is not going to do much to shift the overall performance of this team.

If I were management, I'd be concerned about the regression of the other guys on offense. Hmm.


Doubling down on takes that make people just say Wtf.

Stats speak for themselves.
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#345 » by TheDunc » Thu Dec 22, 2022 2:37 pm

I hope Siakam retires a raptor, this guy is the epitomy of hard work. Management needs to ditch the 6'9 strategy and surround Siakam with more quality shooters.

Its too bad Precious isnt playing and was having a down season because Precious at Center with his 3 point shot from last season changes the whole dynamic
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#346 » by YogurtProducer » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:03 pm

ItsDanger wrote:
Johnny Bball wrote:
ItsDanger wrote:If I were management, I'd be concerned about the regression of the other guys on offense. Hmm.


Doubling down on takes that make people just say Wtf.

Stats speak for themselves.

Lol no they do not at all. Please show me a stat that states he makes people worse or whatever horrible take you are running with this Thursday.
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#347 » by YogurtProducer » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:03 pm

TheDunc wrote:I hope Siakam retires a raptor, this guy is the epitomy of hard work. Management needs to ditch the 6'9 strategy and surround Siakam with more quality shooters.

Its too bad Precious isnt playing and was having a down season because Precious at Center with his 3 point shot from last season changes the whole dynamic

The issue has nothing to do with 6'9 - the issue is we have very few NBA rotation caliber players who can shoot, even moreso when two of them (Precious and Otto) are out long term, and our two best shooters (FVV and GTJ) are injured or playing below expectations.
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#348 » by ItsDanger » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:12 pm

YogurtProducer wrote:
ItsDanger wrote:
Johnny Bball wrote:
Doubling down on takes that make people just say Wtf.

Stats speak for themselves.

Lol no they do not at all. Please show me a stat that states he makes people worse or whatever horrible take you are running with this Thursday.

Siakam usage has increased. Other players stats have regressed. Offense vs zone is poor, 3 pt shooting poor, paint is crowded. When players slump at same time, there's a common variable.
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#349 » by YogurtProducer » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:14 pm

JB7 wrote:Ok, since Siakam has returned from his injury (first game back was against the Cavs on Nov. 28th), and as well as he has played, the teams record over that time is 4-9. And the next 8 are against: Cavs, Clippers, Griz, Suns, Pacers, Bucks, Knicks and Blazers (generally all teams well above .500). The Raps record at that point (since Siakam's return) could be like 5-16.

So either the whole team around him sucks. Or his play is not actually elevating his team to win. Either way, it screams trade him now, while his value seems to be peaking, because if the team does suck that much, adding a player here or there is not going to do much to shift the overall performance of this team.

Since November 28th

Siakam on - 115.9ORTG, 114.2DRTG - 1.7NRTG
Siakam off - 99.1ORTG, 114.1DRTG - (15.0)NRTG

Please - tell me how it is Siakam's fault we get destroyed every time he is on the bench?

Not to mention bringing up team record but ignoring the fact that GTJ has missed 4 games, OG has missed 4 games, Otto played 0 games, and Precious played 0 games is kind of a cherry picked argument without presenting the full picture.

IDK what you guys expect to happen when half our rotation is sitting out. Teams simply do not regularly win games when half their top players are out with injury.
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#350 » by JB7 » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:17 pm

pingpongrac wrote:
JB7 wrote:Ok, since Siakam has returned from his injury (first game back was against the Cavs on Nov. 28th), and as well as he has played, the teams record over that time is 4-9. And the next 8 are against: Cavs, Clippers, Griz, Suns, Pacers, Bucks, Knicks and Blazers (generally all teams well above .500). The Raps record at that point (since Siakam's return) could be like 5-16.

So either the whole team around him sucks. Or his play is not actually elevating his team to win. Either way, it screams trade him now, while his value seems to be peaking, because if the team does suck that much, adding a player here or there is not going to do much to shift the overall performance of this team.


The team as a whole has been vastly underperforming as of late because of injuries (Achiuwa and Porter have missed all 13 games while OG and GTJ have missed 4 each) and some slumps for some key players (FVV and Scottie were terrible for 4 or 5 games at the start of this stretch and Boucher has been brutal almost the entire 13 games while Banton and Flynn have been mostly unplayable) coinciding with the tougher schedule. They have sucked for the most part recently, but they are much better than they've shown.

Regarding Siakam's play and if it elevates the team...I think it's pretty obvious as just about every single key player looks much better when they share the floor with Siakam.

Scoring (per36) and efficiency with/without Siakam

GTJ: 20.8 PTS on 62 TS% vs 17.7 PTS on 47 TS%
Banton: 16.7 PTS on 54 TS% vs 19.5 PTS on 50 TS%
OG: 16.6 PTS on 59 TS% vs 20.1 PTS on 56 TS%
Scottie: 16.4 PTS on 59 TS% vs 15.0 PTS on 46 TS%
Boucher: 15.3 PTS on 63 TS% vs 18.2 PTS on 53 TS%
FVV: 15.2 PTS on 51 TS% vs 22.2 PTS on 54 TS%
Flynn: 12.6 PTS on 42 TS% vs 19.5 PTS on 69 TS%
Birch: 12.0 PTS on 63 TS% vs 7.6 PTS on 60 TS%
Achiuwa: 12.0 PTS on 49 TS% vs 18.9 PTS on 50 TS%
Thad: 10.7 PTS on 63 TS% vs 11.0 PTS on 56 TS%
Juancho: 9.3 PTS on 63 TS% vs 8.9 PTS on 58 TS%
Koloko: 7.1 PTS on 50 TS% vs 9.1 PTS on 50 TS%

Outside of FVV (and OG to a lesser extent), all of our top players greatly benefit from playing with Siakam. In particular, the on/off Siakam splits of Scottie and GTJ (2-3 points less on ~15% lower TS%) are absurd...which makes it wild when people claim Siakam is holding Scottie back.


Is the with vs without ordering correct in that list, because if it is, and 'with Siakam' is the first set of numbers, pretty much all of the key players score more without Siakam on the floor, and some by a lot.

I would think GTJ on/offs are influenced more by FVV than Siakam, and it might be that GTJ is performing better with Siakam, because Fred is on the floor less, as Nurse tries to have one of PS or FVV on the floor at all times.

In terms of Scottie, I think the problem is as other media have stated, that they are both essentially the same types of players. To be their most effective, they need the ball in their hands a lot, look to drive to the basket, and need to be surrounded by shooters. I think for Scottie, when he is on the floor with Pascal, PS dominates the ball, and when Pascal is off, then Fred is probably on the floor with Scottie, and dominates the ball. And Scottie can just tune out, because they are not generally looking to him as a shooter.

Scottie's frustrations seem to be that he expected to have the ball in his hands more this season, after his rookie campaign, and it has been the opposite, with PS playing a much more dominant roll with the ball, and Fred sucking up what is left, to keep his numbers up. The team tried playing Fred off ball to start the season, but I think the problem that has come about is it killed his production so much, it is now threatening his next contract.

The team has generally been about trying to keep the players happy, so for guys like PS and FVV, who have been there longer, and looking at their next big deals, the coaching staff has differed to them, at the expense of others on the roster. They probably feel they have more time with Barnes to correct things. Also, it doesn't hurt to play up PS and FVV's values. Yes it can translate into more expensive contracts, but it also translates into more tradeable assets. But clearly, PS and FVV going off is not generating a lot of success, as their record would indicate.
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#351 » by YogurtProducer » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:17 pm

ItsDanger wrote:
YogurtProducer wrote:
ItsDanger wrote:Stats speak for themselves.

Lol no they do not at all. Please show me a stat that states he makes people worse or whatever horrible take you are running with this Thursday.

Siakam usage has increased. Other players stats have regressed. Offense vs zone is poor, 3 pt shooting poor, paint is crowded. When players slump at same time, there's a common variable.

Man it takes two **** seconds to read and see that you are wrong.

Scoring (per36) and efficiency with/without Siakam

GTJ: 20.8 PTS on 62 TS% vs 17.7 PTS on 47 TS%
Banton: 16.7 PTS on 54 TS% vs 19.5 PTS on 50 TS%
OG: 16.6 PTS on 59 TS% vs 20.1 PTS on 56 TS%
Scottie: 16.4 PTS on 59 TS% vs 15.0 PTS on 46 TS%
Boucher: 15.3 PTS on 63 TS% vs 18.2 PTS on 53 TS%
FVV: 15.2 PTS on 51 TS% vs 22.2 PTS on 54 TS%
Flynn: 12.6 PTS on 42 TS% vs 19.5 PTS on 69 TS%
Birch: 12.0 PTS on 63 TS% vs 7.6 PTS on 60 TS%
Achiuwa: 12.0 PTS on 49 TS% vs 18.9 PTS on 50 TS%
Thad: 10.7 PTS on 63 TS% vs 11.0 PTS on 56 TS%
Juancho: 9.3 PTS on 63 TS% vs 8.9 PTS on 58 TS%
Koloko: 7.1 PTS on 50 TS% vs 9.1 PTS on 50 TS%

How is that his teammates slumping when he is on he bench his fault?

If you ignore that question bolded right there ^^^, just do not even bother responding.
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#352 » by JB7 » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:18 pm

YogurtProducer wrote:
ItsDanger wrote:
Johnny Bball wrote:
Doubling down on takes that make people just say Wtf.

Stats speak for themselves.

Lol no they do not at all. Please show me a stat that states he makes people worse or whatever horrible take you are running with this Thursday.


pingpongrac just provided the stats. Look above. Majority of the players score more when Siakam is off the floor.
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#353 » by Johnny Bball » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:19 pm

ItsDanger wrote:
YogurtProducer wrote:
ItsDanger wrote:Stats speak for themselves.

Lol no they do not at all. Please show me a stat that states he makes people worse or whatever horrible take you are running with this Thursday.

Siakam usage has increased. Other players stats have regressed. Offense vs zone is poor, 3 pt shooting poor, paint is crowded. When players slump at same time, there's a common variable.


I don't think you understand the difference between stats and conjecture.
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#354 » by ItsDanger » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:20 pm

YogurtProducer wrote:
ItsDanger wrote:
YogurtProducer wrote:Lol no they do not at all. Please show me a stat that states he makes people worse or whatever horrible take you are running with this Thursday.

Siakam usage has increased. Other players stats have regressed. Offense vs zone is poor, 3 pt shooting poor, paint is crowded. When players slump at same time, there's a common variable.

Man it takes two **** seconds to read and see that you are wrong.

Scoring (per36) and efficiency with/without Siakam

GTJ: 20.8 PTS on 62 TS% vs 17.7 PTS on 47 TS%
Banton: 16.7 PTS on 54 TS% vs 19.5 PTS on 50 TS%
OG: 16.6 PTS on 59 TS% vs 20.1 PTS on 56 TS%
Scottie: 16.4 PTS on 59 TS% vs 15.0 PTS on 46 TS%
Boucher: 15.3 PTS on 63 TS% vs 18.2 PTS on 53 TS%
FVV: 15.2 PTS on 51 TS% vs 22.2 PTS on 54 TS%
Flynn: 12.6 PTS on 42 TS% vs 19.5 PTS on 69 TS%
Birch: 12.0 PTS on 63 TS% vs 7.6 PTS on 60 TS%
Achiuwa: 12.0 PTS on 49 TS% vs 18.9 PTS on 50 TS%
Thad: 10.7 PTS on 63 TS% vs 11.0 PTS on 56 TS%
Juancho: 9.3 PTS on 63 TS% vs 8.9 PTS on 58 TS%
Koloko: 7.1 PTS on 50 TS% vs 9.1 PTS on 50 TS%

How is that his teammates slumping when he is on he bench his fault?

If you ignore that question bolded right there ^^^, just do not even bother responding.

Shows me that Flynn has been criminally underutilized.
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#355 » by Johnny Bball » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:22 pm

JB7 wrote:
YogurtProducer wrote:
ItsDanger wrote:Stats speak for themselves.

Lol no they do not at all. Please show me a stat that states he makes people worse or whatever horrible take you are running with this Thursday.


pingpongrac just provided the stats. Look above. Majority of the players score more when Siakam is off the floor.


That would be true for any star because there's 30% more usage available. The raptors problerm is they don't really have a backup for Siakam that eats up that usage, besides FVV (who has recently shot awful). If you want to conclude FVV is a better distributor than Siakam, yeah sure that's probably true. Unpopular, but likely true.
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#356 » by JB7 » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:24 pm

YogurtProducer wrote:
JB7 wrote:Ok, since Siakam has returned from his injury (first game back was against the Cavs on Nov. 28th), and as well as he has played, the teams record over that time is 4-9. And the next 8 are against: Cavs, Clippers, Griz, Suns, Pacers, Bucks, Knicks and Blazers (generally all teams well above .500). The Raps record at that point (since Siakam's return) could be like 5-16.

So either the whole team around him sucks. Or his play is not actually elevating his team to win. Either way, it screams trade him now, while his value seems to be peaking, because if the team does suck that much, adding a player here or there is not going to do much to shift the overall performance of this team.

Since November 28th

Siakam on - 115.9ORTG, 114.2DRTG - 1.7NRTG
Siakam off - 99.1ORTG, 114.1DRTG - (15.0)NRTG

Please - tell me how it is Siakam's fault we get destroyed every time he is on the bench?

Not to mention bringing up team record but ignoring the fact that GTJ has missed 4 games, OG has missed 4 games, Otto played 0 games, and Precious played 0 games is kind of a cherry picked argument without presenting the full picture.

IDK what you guys expect to happen when half our rotation is sitting out. Teams simply do not regularly win games when half their top players are out with injury.


Siakam is the teams best player right now, so yes I would expect the team to be better when he is on the floor. But a +1.7 NRTG is nothing to crow about.

Check Curry's on/off - I think his NRTG is substantially higher. That is a Superstar effect
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#357 » by YogurtProducer » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:25 pm

JB7 wrote:
YogurtProducer wrote:
ItsDanger wrote:Stats speak for themselves.

Lol no they do not at all. Please show me a stat that states he makes people worse or whatever horrible take you are running with this Thursday.


pingpongrac just provided the stats. Look above. Majority of the players score more when Siakam is off the floor.

What? You mean players score more when the main scorer is on the bench and shots distribute out to others?

What about the fact our offense gets 15 points worse when Siakam sits in the stretch of games you referenced? Does that matter?
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#358 » by JB7 » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:27 pm

Johnny Bball wrote:
JB7 wrote:
YogurtProducer wrote:Lol no they do not at all. Please show me a stat that states he makes people worse or whatever horrible take you are running with this Thursday.


pingpongrac just provided the stats. Look above. Majority of the players score more when Siakam is off the floor.


That would be true for any star because there's 30% more usage available. The raptors problerm is they don't really have a backup for Siakam that eats up that usage, besides FVV (who has recently shot awful). If you want to conclude FVV is a better distributor than Siakam, yeah sure that's probably true. Unpopular, but likely true.


I think the problem for the Raps is neither Fred or Pascal are great distributors. And assists are not the way I would look at it. Do they create easy looks / open looks for teammates, and I would argue they don't. They usually pass as a last resort, when they can't get their own shot up, so generally it is not looking to set up teammates for easy shots, but rather dumping off the ball when they can't get a shot.
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#359 » by Nebuchadnezzar » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:31 pm

JB7 wrote:
YogurtProducer wrote:
JB7 wrote:Ok, since Siakam has returned from his injury (first game back was against the Cavs on Nov. 28th), and as well as he has played, the teams record over that time is 4-9. And the next 8 are against: Cavs, Clippers, Griz, Suns, Pacers, Bucks, Knicks and Blazers (generally all teams well above .500). The Raps record at that point (since Siakam's return) could be like 5-16.

So either the whole team around him sucks. Or his play is not actually elevating his team to win. Either way, it screams trade him now, while his value seems to be peaking, because if the team does suck that much, adding a player here or there is not going to do much to shift the overall performance of this team.

Since November 28th

Siakam on - 115.9ORTG, 114.2DRTG - 1.7NRTG
Siakam off - 99.1ORTG, 114.1DRTG - (15.0)NRTG

Please - tell me how it is Siakam's fault we get destroyed every time he is on the bench?

Not to mention bringing up team record but ignoring the fact that GTJ has missed 4 games, OG has missed 4 games, Otto played 0 games, and Precious played 0 games is kind of a cherry picked argument without presenting the full picture.

IDK what you guys expect to happen when half our rotation is sitting out. Teams simply do not regularly win games when half their top players are out with injury.


Siakam is the teams best player right now, so yes I would expect the team to be better when he is on the floor. But a +1.7 NRTG is nothing to crow about.

Check Curry's on/off - I think his NRTG is substantially higher. That is a Superstar effect


That's also a net rating through a six game losing streak, which makes it more impressive because for the most part other players have played objectively poorer then the mean overall. For Siakam to have a positive net rating playing with this bunch over the past ten games is freaking miracle.
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Re: Pascal is on the brink of SUPERSTARDOM... 

Post#360 » by JB7 » Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:33 pm

YogurtProducer wrote:
JB7 wrote:
YogurtProducer wrote:Lol no they do not at all. Please show me a stat that states he makes people worse or whatever horrible take you are running with this Thursday.


pingpongrac just provided the stats. Look above. Majority of the players score more when Siakam is off the floor.

What? You mean players score more when the main scorer is on the bench and shots distribute out to others?

What about the fact our offense gets 15 points worse when Siakam sits in the stretch of games you referenced? Does that matter?


The fact that so few players are better scorers with him on the floor speaks to how much offence he sucks up when he is out on the floor. If he had such great gravity, you would think more teammates would benefit from that, with more open looks and therefore more production. He is out on the floor for 36mins a game, when he plays. Does not leave a lot of time for others to score.

Game against the Knicks last night was the perfect example. There were times he was driving into the paint to score, and there were like 3-4 Knicks in the paint. The fact that he did score speaks to how poorly the Knicks defend. But he didn't even look to teammates, sitting wide open.

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