Post#389 » by CunningLinguist » Sat Jun 2, 2012 1:25 pm
I personally consider Lamb to be the best wing player in this draft. I'd take him over Gilchrist, Barnes and Beal. I realize that's not the popular opinion, but I'm basing that on peak potential.
Lamb has great height and length for his position, a very strong handle, and a sweet shooting stroke. He can create his own shot and can shoot off the dribble and spotting up. He can score in the midrange, from deep and at at the hoop. He has very solid athleticism. As he gets stronger, he should be able to attack the basket and finish more effectively. It's amazing how many people forget how skinny some of the current NBA players were when they came into the league. Kobe was a pipecleaner when he entered the league. Jordan gained a ton of size as his career went on. Filling out your frame is a hell of a lot easier than gaining shot creating ability.
On the defensive side of the floor, Lamb has a lot of potential. He has the athleticism height and length to be very effective on D, he just needs to gets stronger.
I like Beal, but he has yet to show great shot creating ability and he's better at spot-up shooting than shooting off the dribble. His handle isn't that great either. He's certainly a great rebounder for his size. He's bit on the short side, which may put him at a disadvantage on the defensive end. I think he's a better help defender than man defender. His lateral quicks aren't that great and I've seen him get blown by several times. I still like him, I just think he's a bit overrated by many. I think many are looking at his production during his hot streak rather than looking at his translatable skills. My biggest issue is his shot creating ability, which at the end of the day draws me to Lamb.
Barnes is a prototypical small forward with perfect size and good athleticism. He's more smooth than explosive. I think he'll be a good scorer at the next level because he can create a shot off one or two dribbles. He's not the best ballhandler in the world, so he will have to take a crafty approach to creating shots, much like Paul Pierce. He's got a much better postup game than he's been given credit for. He is definitely not just a spot-up shooter. Due to his size and lateral quicks, he's got very good potential on both ends.
Although there are elements to his game that like quite a bit, I consider Gilchrist to be the most overrated prospect in this draft by a fair bit. The idea that he could be taken #2 in this draft boggles my mind. I'll start with the positives. He's very good, aggressive defender and rebounder. He has excellent passing skills. He runs well on the fast break. Now the negatives. His athleticism and handle are nothing special. His size is barely adequate for the small forward position - he's more shooting guard sized. This may negatively affect his defensive impact at the next level. His shooting mechanics are horrific. He has difficulty shooting off the dribble or creating his own shot. I've seen him have some difficulty scoring at the bucket in traffic against length. His body control isn't the greatest as he looks awkward attempting postups and he often lands awkwardly. I see him as being more effective offensively in the full court. Teams that emphasize a half court offense would be best to utilize his passing skills as a point forward.
Many compare MKG to Iguodala and Wallace in playing style (including myself), but he is nowhere near as athletic. For those of you who saw Ronnie Brewer play at Arkansas, he was a very similar player, though he played a lot of shooting guard, even down to the funky shooting mechanics. Brewer had superior ballhandling abilities. I think MKG could very well become a similar player to Brewer in the pros. Would you use the 2nd pick in a strong draft to select Ronnie Brewer? Since when has a wing player who has defense as his calling card been drafted that high?
I think one of the reasons guys like Beal and Gilchrist have such broad appeal is their high activity level. Their playing style is such that they get noticed very easily. This can sometimes override a dissection of how their games translate to the next level.
Sorry for the long post.