eitanr wrote:Hey Everyone. Wanted to get your thoughts on a few things. I'm in the middle of crafting an analytical deck on the team which includes analysis by player, the team and on the draft.
This deck will be used to showcase to Raps personnel next week including Casey and Masai. After really taking a huge dive into this team here are some of my high level thoughts.
Small Moves - One of the teams biggest needs is backup PG and a backup big. Acy was extremely underrated last season and warrants a more consistent role moving forward. There are really no 'under the radar' type targets to snag via free agency as a backup big as even Speights, Dalembert and similar talents should get paid fairly well...too well to make it worth while for the Raps. The best hope for a backup big is via trade involving Bargnani (Biedrins, Okafor, Hawes, Hump) which seems very unlikely due to his low value at the moment or netting a surprise undrafted stud like Zeke Marshall or Mike Muscala.
For backup PG I think will Bynum is a nice target. You know the pistons won't look to resign due to Stuckey, knight and even Jose (who may get consideration to resign) still there which drops his value a bit. Bynum isn't a great shooter but can control an offense and due damage off simple pick and rolls.
Lineup Ideas - call me crazy, but it makes sense to start Acy at the 4 initially (playing only 15 min) with Amir backing him up (playing 33 min) why? This is all because of Bargnani. If Andrea can play about 20-22 min behind Valanciunas but alongside Amir those units can be successful. Also. It's not about who starts or not but about who plays with whom. Bargnani and Amir fit together nicely since believe it or not, Andrea is an average post defender but just a horrific help defender which is Amir's strength. When Andrea is paired with say Jonas that is not the case as both players strengths are post D (or not their big weakness). The minute allocation wouldn't change, just the lineups would be more sensible. I don't love Andrea like the rest of you, but if management is semi unwilling to amnesty him (remember they still pay that salary so it's a sunk cost) this is the best way to utilize him and hope he is productive.
Big trade idea (some of you will hate me) - here's the thing, the team is way in too deep to start rebuilding now. While I would love to see a solid rebuilding plan where the team nets some assets for Gay, DeMar and Bargnani I just don't see realistic ways to accomplish it. Also it would take far too many trades and everyone to agree on everything to get a rebuild done. Think about it...first you need to dangle Gay...sure maybe GSW and LAC may be interested but if you were them why would you be? The Warriors just made the 2nd rd and would like to keep their youth and future flexibility in tact. Going after Gay means Barnes takes a back seat. I don't see that being realistic. Meanwhile sure LAC is a bit desperate, but they'll look at some bigger names from the celts first in a massive deal. Besides the Clipps would likely need to unload Jordan in any deal to net Gay...what big would they get on return? I don see it. But even if Gay can get dealt now you have to think about DeRozan AND Lowry. The idea which could make most sense hoping for a desperate dump is Lowry, Fields and Bargnani to LAL, Gasol goes to third team and assets and expiring deals come back to Toronto (looking at you BK). But then do the lakers want to go that deep into the tax? Again way too many what its and just flat out unrealistic.
Having said that deals need to be considered then. If your rolling with the current team then you need a spacing win for Gay to be most efficient and perhaps allow for Lowry and Val to get more touches. I'm talkin about dealing DeRozan.
Right now his value around the league is okay and he's about to step into a steep contract. Guys (and other assets) who could be targets in a DeRozan trade endeavor could be Afflalo, Eric Gordon. Now many here are anti Gordon and for good reason. His injury past. The team needs to take a major risk though if they want to really make a major dent in the east with this team and Gordon's the answer. Go big or go home. If a move simply involves dealing DeRozan and smallish contracts (gray) it should be considered. The team can sign a cheap backup wing like dunleavy or mike miller for extra insurance. Ill probably get a ton of flack for that last idea.
Please let me know your general thoughts
Big trade idea
All good points that we have seen bounced around on here.
Eric Gordan is certainly an interesting option and a good fit with Rudy Gay. I proposed a trade with Afflalo and Nelson coming here for Andrea and Demar a while back... but if we can net Gordan I rather just swing for the fences.
People want to tank for Wiggins and Parker. Outside of those guys the draft isnt that amazing. We have no idea what a player like Smart or Randle may be like just yet. With that being said, Charlotte and Orlando are going to be awful next year. There is no way to dismantle this team and be that bad.
DeRozan + Gray for Gordan might just get a deal done....
Still I argue that more depth is needed at the PF and someone like Mike Dunleavy would be a great asset.
Landry Fields to Mil for Drew Gooden
Lowry - Bynum?
Gordan - Ross - Dunleavy
Gay - Dunleavy - Anderson
Gooden - Amir - Acy
JV - Bargnani - Undrafted FA