Raptors Realtor wrote:HumbleRen wrote:Raptors Realtor wrote:
Yes, but Ray Allen was also 32 when he got traded, and OG is 25.
Ray Allen at 32 was still light years ahead of OG lol.
If Portland is going to cash in their 3rd pick. It’s not going to be for one of the worst creators on high volume attempts in OG.
It’s going to be Siakam or forwards with that level of creation ability.
You act as if a 3rd overall pick is a surefire future star... You could get a star or are just as likely getting a Barrett, OJ Mayo, Jahlil Okafor, Kanter, Favors, Porter Jr, Morrison, etc.
The mere chance to get a future star requires a high price, especially considering it's "known" to be a 3 player draft at the top. If there wasn't a generational talent at #1, you look at its value like a #2 or even a #1 pick in some drafts, in this case. Sure there's risk involved, which is why #3 isn't being talked about for 2nd team all NBA type guys or better. But it surely will cost an all-star type player to extract that pick.
The question is whether you keep your known quantity in Siakam, given your timeline, cap situation etc., or go for the much cheaper and younger option, with the possibility of higher upside, offset by the risk of potential bustage.
Plus you really have to consider trades from both sides. Like, trading #3 for OG straight up doesn't bring them any closer to a Finals appearance. Why would they trade their best asset that's not Lillard, let alone attach a young player in return, if it doesn't bring them drastically closer to a Finals? They'd more likely just keep #3 than trade it for a solid but limited role player.