I'm also beginning to have my doubts that he'll be there at 8 and the reason is scarcity. Forgive me if you've heard this rant from me before but have a look at this list of SG stars arranged by PER.
http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/hollinge ... ition%3dsg
D-Wade will be 31 next year. Manu will be 35. Bryant will be 34.
How many other star SGs remain?
Harden
Joe Johnson
Monta Ellis
Kevin Martin
Anybody else worth mentioning? Will Marcus Thornton continue to rise? Can OJ Mayo ever find the kind of form he showed as a rookie? Will Klay Thompson rise up?
People used to draft Cs in the lottery because 7 footers with talent were hard to come by. We all used to think that good SGs grew on trees because we used to be in an era where the position was stronger. 10 years ago... There were 20 SGs with PERs of around 17 or above (Szerbiak and Ricky Davis were ranked 19th and 20th). Today there are only 7. The SG position has been depleted for a number of years though drafts that didn't feature many 6'6-6'7 stars and the stars that were there have already retired, are fading fast, or are getting older. If the league average for PER is normally 15.0 or if a PER of 15.0 represents a pretty good player than most of the SGs in the league aren't good because the league average for SGs at the moment is only 12.51 (Second only to SFs at the moment). The position is ripe for the taking and the drop off from the superstars to the less than average is a pretty bid drop off so there's plenty of reason to think both Beal and Lamb could become top 10 at their positions despite coming out of the same draft. The scarcity of scoring talent coming out of the college ranks these days standing 6'5-6'7 is as much a part of the reason why I'm on board with Lamb as anything. We'd have a matchup we could exploit against many other teams in the league in an iso and a nice 1-2 scoring punch between Bargnani and Lamb with JV there to clean up the misses and put them back in. Lamb is still younger than Kyrie Irving after all. He still has room to grow as a player and as an offensive weapon.