tsherkin wrote:Scase wrote:
In theory yeah, I just don't trust the concept of scoring by committee, I can't think of a single team that has every really won anything with that setup in the last 20+ years.
I guess the Pistons were 21 years ago, so that's fair. But let's be honest, we arent at the "thinking about contention" stage, so that doesnt hugely matter at the moment.
If we moved RJ, I'd be in much bigger support of the trade, perhaps that's an off season thing, but that still doesn't help us tank the remainder of the year, and I have a massive sinking feeling that BI WILL play this season, and he WILL be back during the softest part of our schedule. Masai cannot help himself when it comes to evaluating, and in his defence this time, he SHOULD be evaluating the trade before potentially signing him to a 35-40/yr contract.
Moved RJ to where, for what?
If we can manage a top 5 pick, BI sits for the rest of the year, and we get him signed to a reasonable contract, I'll be much more amicable towards it. But as of right now it might open up a bit more spacing, but the same issues persist. Bringing it back to Scottie though, what we did with RJ and getting him to better spots works because he has an elite scoring skill at getting to the rim, Scottie doesn't have a single elite scoring skill, so getting him in those spots is not going to be easy, cause well, they don't really exist in the same way as they do for RJ.
We shall see, I suppose.
RJ, either in the actual Ingram trade, or something else over the summer that I haven't thought too much about yet. This is going to be a very expensive play in team.
PushDaRock wrote:Scase wrote:tsherkin wrote:
I hear you, but Ingram isn't "some better 3pt shooting." If he has a strength, that's sort of it. He has multiple seasons of 6+ 3PA/g at 37-39% from 3, and that's not trivial for us. A volume shooter from 3 who has to be taken that seriously can do a lot, even if his individual scoring isn't that great. Like, that's basically a roleplayer 3pt shooter, right? So even if he is decidedly mediocre in a volume role as he has been, that effect can still be a positive for Scottie and RJ, and even Dick, right? Ingram should have ANY element of gravity. And he IS a good mid-range shooter, so if he can get it on the deck, he's a pretty decent scorer at the nail, at the elbows, from the baselines, etc. And he draws fouls. The issue in my head is more that we can't use him to float volume as a way to bolster our offense, but much in the way that Scottie helps RJ and RJ helps Scottie, Ingram should (in theory) have any element of positive effect as a result of just his 3pt shooting, right? He's like a Glenn Robinson-level scorer when he's on the floor, give or take.
That does, of course, put a cap on our total efficacy on the offensive end, which we've all discussed at this point. But we've also been discussing pretty regularly ITT that Scottie needs to have his volume reduced and that he needs much of what RJ does: a better selection of higher-efficiency shot types, with better spacing around him to shave off defensive pressure and increase passing support. Right?
So at least in an ideal world, which also includes Ingram being healthy and on the floor, that's how I imagine positive outlook comes for this acquisition.
In theory yeah, I just don't trust the concept of scoring by committee, I can't think of a single team that has every really won anything with that setup in the last 20+ years. If we moved RJ, I'd be in much bigger support of the trade, perhaps that's an off season thing, but that still doesn't help us tank the remainder of the year, and I have a massive sinking feeling that BI WILL play this season, and he WILL be back during the softest part of our schedule. Masai cannot help himself when it comes to evaluating, and in his defence this time, he SHOULD be evaluating the trade before potentially signing him to a 35-40/yr contract.
And all that means is more hits to our draft positioning, which then further limits the ceiling. With or without BI, we're still in the same spot we were before the trade, going nowhere until we get a non secondary/tertiary scoring option. It's why this draft is/was so important, and it's why I say this trade is just Jak 2.0. I don't hate the trade in theory, but just like Jak, the issue was never the player, but the stupid timing.
If we can manage a top 5 pick, BI sits for the rest of the year, and we get him signed to a reasonable contract, I'll be much more amicable towards it. But as of right now it might open up a bit more spacing, but the same issues persist. Bringing it back to Scottie though, what we did with RJ and getting him to better spots works because he has an elite scoring skill at getting to the rim, Scottie doesn't have a single elite scoring skill, so getting him in those spots is not going to be easy, cause well, they don't really exist in the same way as they do for RJ.
The acquisition also puts more strain, or at the very least doesn't alleviate any, for Scottie on the defensive end. BI is in the same vein as RJ, perhaps a slightly better defender. The potential benefit I can see is if there is less pressure on Scottie to score, he can focus more on defence like Siakam used to when we had Kawhi.
We just traded Brown, Olynyk, Mitchell and Boucher likely gets moved as well. That's 4 rotation players likely gone replaced by rookies, not sure how that doesn't help the tank? How many games do you realistically expect Ingram to play? He's still weeks away and then likely gets load managed, rested on B2B's and etc the rest of the way. You're probably looking at maybe 15 games IMO, the impact of him playing is likely minimal towards wins. There will be considerable rust for him to work off too when he does get back.
Adding him to this team from a talent and win perspective is a net positive, even with rust etc. Meaning increased chance to win overall. Putting him against the dregs of the NBA who have shut down for the season, even if he plays like crap should result in easy wins, our march schedule is pathetic.
If the difference between sitting him the entire remainder of the season, or playing him even 15 games, with a low win rate and only another 5 or 6 wins, is the difference between 5th and 9th. That is absolutely massive in terms of draft odds.
The reason so many people are equating this to the Jak trade, is the potential for it to completely **** our draft positioning in a good draft.
And on the flip side, if he doesn't play at all, then we go into contract negotiations with absolutely zero clue on how he fits into this system, or even what shape his body is in. So then you have even less leverage than before, cause now you have yet ANOTHER player you traded for as a UFA who could hold you hostage so as to not waste the assets you traded away to get them, we just did this with IQ, and he was overpaid.
Trades like this are not just measured in the W/L column, they impact tons of things that are far reaching, for every brain dead comment of "HURR DURR YOU JUST WANNA TANK FOREVER" there are 10+ of people explaining HOW these types of trades have long lasting effects.
If he comes back and plays, we suffer and get a worse pick. If we over pay him we have a contract that no one wanted to pick up from the Pels other than us, because he wasn't seen as worth his asking price. That cap hell then forces us to make less than ideal moves down the line to alleviate the pressure. We end up paying guys too much, for a team that is a 1st round exit, meaning you continue to stockpile middling picks that are not franchise impacting. Then you take into account his injury history making the contract an even bigger issue to move without having to attach picks to it. And then you can see it snowball.
The issue with trades like these, and Jak, are that you need EVERYTHING to go well, for it to have a positive impact. If even one thing goes sideways, the entire payoff is at a high risk of disappearing. These boom or bust trades make sense when you are on the cusp of something like the kawhi trade. If that didn't pan out, it sucks but you can see the logic behind it, trades for players like that don't come along very often.
But trades like these? Players of this calibre are not hard to find, Siakam last year, Fox this year, and a plethora of others over the years. These are not franchise altering players, even if things go perfectly, but they sure as **** are if even a couple things go bad. It's short-sighted, but not at all surprising with our FO.
We have so much future salary tied up in just Scottie, and with each passing game he looks less and less like he is worth building a team around. So adding players like this, with the risks attached also impact Scotties long term value, and whether or not he even stays. Again, far reaching. But everyone gets all hyped up because there is a recognizable name on the roster, and 99% of this board and social media overall doesn't watch non Raps games, and has no clue what that consists of. but the people who do, are the ones that get labelled as complainers, simply because they have the context.
I said this in another thread, if this scenario was 2 years down the road, and we just managed a top 5-10 pick in 25 and 26, I would be in support of it. But it isn't and we aren't set up for long term success, it's just another flash in the pan trade that has sadly become Masai's M.O.