ontnut wrote:CoinTossRoss31 wrote:Hart + 7 (Daniels or Mathurin) + Keon Johnson.
That's the minimum haul I would believe. Some posters here are forgetting that Keon was slated to go anywhere from 7-14 last year.
In another thread I ruminated about how many lottery picks it would take for me to trade guys on our team. OG was 2. So, this makes some sense - if management likes a guy at 7, and like Keon, I could see this happening. But yeah, that's the minimum I would accept for OG. 2 lottery picks and a serviceable body. In this scenario we likely have to send back our 2nd rounder this year, but I'd consider it.
That makes sense. If you can get OG with the 7th pick in a weak draft you do that 10/10 times. Now if you are talking a top pick in a strong draft (i.e. top 4 pick in 2021), I think you take the gamble and take the pick over OG.
In a vacuum I agree that OG is worth 2 lottery picks or a high lottery pick and some other assets. If you add in some context that might change. For example, the Raptors have enough win now pieces it's not that straight forward. While you are getting a potential starter locked into a cheap contract for 4 years, with 8-9 years of control total (essentially), you are also spending 2-4 years minimum developing that player before they are even scratching their full potential. You do not want to wait more than a couple years when your top guys are 28 years old already and ready to win now (FVV and Pascal). That's what makes this a little more complicated. Are we trying to win it all in the next few years? Or can we wait 2-3 more until Scottie and the 7th pick are ready for prime playoff time?
The Warriors are one of the rare examples of competing for a championship while developing future starters drafted in the lottery. We should be so lucky to ever be in the position they are in currently.
On the flip side, a team like OKC will value that control way above the downside of needing 1-4 years to develop. I am sure they would love to OG as he is still fairly young, but to them the 7th pick probably has more value because they don't need to offer a big contract for 4 years. That is a much easier decision to make.