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Tank World Order (2.0)

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At 10-13 where do you stand now?

TWO: True tank... Sell all assets and start hoping to land a Top 5 pick through the Lottery
28
15%
Asset-Building Mode: Trade Powell/Lowry but Keep Long-Term Core
84
46%
Asset-Building Mode: Wait Until Trade Deadline and Let Lowry Make His Own Call
39
22%
Buyer Mode: Trade Multiple Picks/Players to Get Star... Continue Competing with Lowry
6
3%
Organic Growth Mode: Likely Means Waiting Until Offseason Unless No-Brainer Trade Presents Itself
24
13%
 
Total votes: 181

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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#81 » by ATLTimekeeper » Tue Feb 9, 2021 12:44 pm

Skeezo wrote:So was FVV and Siakim... :lol: DSJ requested it because he wasn't getting reps with NYK... Thibs doesn't like young players, so what do you want him to do?


Thibs plays Barrett, Quickly, Robinson, Toppin. C'mon.

I agree with you, which is why I think Powell is worth a lotto protected first, it would seem you think that should be his minimum value as well... We are in agreement!

What we DON'T agree on is your equation that D.Rose is anywhere near the asset Norm is in the market... If expiring D.Rose can get two 2nd Rd picks, Norm can fetch more.


It's not certain. You need to factor in team needs in mid-season trades. We might have to go through all the teams in the playoff picture to determine who would start Norm or be willing to cough up a first for him. There are a lot of teams in the playoff picture, so you may have a lively market. Teams that needed a bench scorer, I can only imagine would have been interested on DRose, who went for crap.

Are you really going to dispute that an expiring 28 year old N.Powell who has averaged 15 points per game over the last two seasons in 28 mins is not worth more than an expiring 31 year old PJ Tucker who was averaging less than 7 points in 30 mins per game at the time of the trade? The same PJ Tucker who left us for less than an MLE contract, while you contend that Norm might garner 18-20m per year deal which is nearly double the MLE?

You said PJ for Two 2nds was a GREAT deal. Better than the Vasquez trade was the initial argument YOU made... Now you say, Norm/PJ/Rose regardless of stat differential, age, or quality of team they come from, are ALL just "traditionally the type of players that go for 2nds" when approaching UFA.


ppg is a weak argument, Tucker's role is defense. And when you consider what I would pay Norm, also consider what you would pay Norm. It seems like you think Norm would be terrible value at my future contract prediction. My valuation was as a starter for the Raptors, factoring in more reps through this season in that role, averaging about 20. It's looking forward into the future on this. Other teams, that don't know him, that might not even have a starting guard/wing spot open at this point, might not have that same read and be willing to cough up a first to find out.

Well if that's the case, how the hell can a standard value, run-of-the mill deadline trade be one of Masai's BEST deals, even better than the Vasquez trade that netted us a 1st/2nd? You don't see how you shift your valuations to suit your narrative?


Again, I don't get this. Anytime you can land a starting-calibre player for 2nds, it's great value.

Straight-forward question... If someone tomorrow offers us a lottery protected 1st Rd pick and salary-filler for Norm would you pull the trigger?


Why do you even need to ask this of me? I'm not in asset-build mode or whatever you want to call tanking. I'm willing to risk Norm walking for nothing than get back a first for him, because there's potential value to the Raptors to keep him in the fold and add him to the SL next year. That doesn't mean I'm against trading him, like for instance the Lonzo Ball rumour would make some sense if they wanted to add another creator/ballhandler with some controllability and felt like their future contracts would hash out about the same. But, I'm not dumping him for picks right now. I'm not interested in weakening the team at the moment for a mid to late first, which could be something and could be nothing.

Now, to throw it back at any tankers. If the best offer is 2nd rounders/ballast for Norm, would you do it because it's still technically asset-building?
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#82 » by KL78192020 » Tue Feb 9, 2021 4:07 pm

ATLTimekeeper wrote:
Skeezo wrote:So was FVV and Siakim... :lol: DSJ requested it because he wasn't getting reps with NYK... Thibs doesn't like young players, so what do you want him to do?


Thibs plays Barrett, Quickly, Robinson, Toppin. C'mon.

I agree with you, which is why I think Powell is worth a lotto protected first, it would seem you think that should be his minimum value as well... We are in agreement!

What we DON'T agree on is your equation that D.Rose is anywhere near the asset Norm is in the market... If expiring D.Rose can get two 2nd Rd picks, Norm can fetch more.


It's not certain. You need to factor in team needs in mid-season trades. We might have to go through all the teams in the playoff picture to determine who would start Norm or be willing to cough up a first for him. There are a lot of teams in the playoff picture, so you may have a lively market. Teams that needed a bench scorer, I can only imagine would have been interested on DRose, who went for crap.

Are you really going to dispute that an expiring 28 year old N.Powell who has averaged 15 points per game over the last two seasons in 28 mins is not worth more than an expiring 31 year old PJ Tucker who was averaging less than 7 points in 30 mins per game at the time of the trade? The same PJ Tucker who left us for less than an MLE contract, while you contend that Norm might garner 18-20m per year deal which is nearly double the MLE?

You said PJ for Two 2nds was a GREAT deal. Better than the Vasquez trade was the initial argument YOU made... Now you say, Norm/PJ/Rose regardless of stat differential, age, or quality of team they come from, are ALL just "traditionally the type of players that go for 2nds" when approaching UFA.


ppg is a weak argument, Tucker's role is defense. And when you consider what I would pay Norm, also consider what you would pay Norm. It seems like you think Norm would be terrible value at my future contract prediction. My valuation was as a starter for the Raptors, factoring in more reps through this season in that role, averaging about 20. It's looking forward into the future on this. Other teams, that don't know him, that might not even have a starting guard/wing spot open at this point, might not have that same read and be willing to cough up a first to find out.

Well if that's the case, how the hell can a standard value, run-of-the mill deadline trade be one of Masai's BEST deals, even better than the Vasquez trade that netted us a 1st/2nd? You don't see how you shift your valuations to suit your narrative?


Again, I don't get this. Anytime you can land a starting-calibre player for 2nds, it's great value.

Straight-forward question... If someone tomorrow offers us a lottery protected 1st Rd pick and salary-filler for Norm would you pull the trigger?


Why do you even need to ask this of me? I'm not in asset-build mode or whatever you want to call tanking. I'm willing to risk Norm walking for nothing than get back a first for him, because there's potential value to the Raptors to keep him in the fold and add him to the SL next year. That doesn't mean I'm against trading him, like for instance the Lonzo Ball rumour would make some sense if they wanted to add another creator/ballhandler with some controllability and felt like their future contracts would hash out about the same. But, I'm not dumping him for picks right now. I'm not interested in weakening the team at the moment for a mid to late first, which could be something and could be nothing.

Now, to throw it back at any tankers. If the best offer is 2nd rounders/ballast for Norm, would you do it because it's still technically asset-building?


2nd rd picks are 99% garbage. At that point I agree with you, just keep Norm and try to sign him. I think I'd trade Lowry; Lowry probably has more value and is older. Norm is 27 and can still grow with OG/FVV/Siakam.

Not sure the team is willing to pay Lowry $25-$30 mil and Norm $15-$20 this offseason.
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#83 » by 720 » Tue Feb 9, 2021 4:45 pm

KL78192020 wrote:
ATLTimekeeper wrote:
Skeezo wrote:So was FVV and Siakim... :lol: DSJ requested it because he wasn't getting reps with NYK... Thibs doesn't like young players, so what do you want him to do?


Thibs plays Barrett, Quickly, Robinson, Toppin. C'mon.

I agree with you, which is why I think Powell is worth a lotto protected first, it would seem you think that should be his minimum value as well... We are in agreement!

What we DON'T agree on is your equation that D.Rose is anywhere near the asset Norm is in the market... If expiring D.Rose can get two 2nd Rd picks, Norm can fetch more.


It's not certain. You need to factor in team needs in mid-season trades. We might have to go through all the teams in the playoff picture to determine who would start Norm or be willing to cough up a first for him. There are a lot of teams in the playoff picture, so you may have a lively market. Teams that needed a bench scorer, I can only imagine would have been interested on DRose, who went for crap.

Are you really going to dispute that an expiring 28 year old N.Powell who has averaged 15 points per game over the last two seasons in 28 mins is not worth more than an expiring 31 year old PJ Tucker who was averaging less than 7 points in 30 mins per game at the time of the trade? The same PJ Tucker who left us for less than an MLE contract, while you contend that Norm might garner 18-20m per year deal which is nearly double the MLE?

You said PJ for Two 2nds was a GREAT deal. Better than the Vasquez trade was the initial argument YOU made... Now you say, Norm/PJ/Rose regardless of stat differential, age, or quality of team they come from, are ALL just "traditionally the type of players that go for 2nds" when approaching UFA.


ppg is a weak argument, Tucker's role is defense. And when you consider what I would pay Norm, also consider what you would pay Norm. It seems like you think Norm would be terrible value at my future contract prediction. My valuation was as a starter for the Raptors, factoring in more reps through this season in that role, averaging about 20. It's looking forward into the future on this. Other teams, that don't know him, that might not even have a starting guard/wing spot open at this point, might not have that same read and be willing to cough up a first to find out.

Well if that's the case, how the hell can a standard value, run-of-the mill deadline trade be one of Masai's BEST deals, even better than the Vasquez trade that netted us a 1st/2nd? You don't see how you shift your valuations to suit your narrative?


Again, I don't get this. Anytime you can land a starting-calibre player for 2nds, it's great value.

Straight-forward question... If someone tomorrow offers us a lottery protected 1st Rd pick and salary-filler for Norm would you pull the trigger?


Why do you even need to ask this of me? I'm not in asset-build mode or whatever you want to call tanking. I'm willing to risk Norm walking for nothing than get back a first for him, because there's potential value to the Raptors to keep him in the fold and add him to the SL next year. That doesn't mean I'm against trading him, like for instance the Lonzo Ball rumour would make some sense if they wanted to add another creator/ballhandler with some controllability and felt like their future contracts would hash out about the same. But, I'm not dumping him for picks right now. I'm not interested in weakening the team at the moment for a mid to late first, which could be something and could be nothing.

Now, to throw it back at any tankers. If the best offer is 2nd rounders/ballast for Norm, would you do it because it's still technically asset-building?


2nd rd picks are 99% garbage. At that point I agree with you, just keep Norm and try to sign him. I think I'd trade Lowry; Lowry probably has more value and is older. Norm is 27 and can still grow with OG/FVV/Siakam.

Not sure the team is willing to pay Lowry $25-$30 mil and Norm $15-$20 this offseason.

At some point retaining assets for the sake of retaining them can come back to hurt you if you don’t cash out.

We've known what Norm is for a couple years now. An instant offense guy that is injury prone. I don’t know what growth we’ll see.

Committing 20 million to him will mean we have 80 million tied up to 4 guys (Fred, og, norm, siakam) and if you add Boucher, baynes, TD, Malachi. We have no capspace.
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#84 » by Wannabe MEP » Tue Feb 9, 2021 5:15 pm

538 Elo playoff odds:

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Based on last 12 games (half of the season so far):

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A lot of the top tier quality is in the West. Somebody has to win the East. There's a chance one of these other teams puts it together and cruises to the Finals...but who?

  • Bucks? Perhaps, but perhaps they're just as vulnerable as they have been the last couple years, for the same reasons.
  • Nets? Perhaps, but they have to find some answers for their horrendous defense.
  • 76ers? Perhaps, but there's a reason 538 Elo thinks the Raptors are better.
  • Celtics? Perhaps, but they just haven't been very good at basketball this year.
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#85 » by Steelo Green » Tue Feb 9, 2021 5:55 pm

People genuinely believe the Raptors will make it out of the East?

They are 11-13 and have had some pretty hilarious losses - even recently. Their D has fallen to 16th.

This team reminds me of a team led by Kyle and a man from Compton who has the best SRS in the league but then when the lights of the playoffs came and you realized you need superstars to win...

I mean the Hawks won 60 games and were swept by the Cavs.

All the advanced stats in the world can be there but one that is factual is you need superstars to win and there is 0% chance we beat Boston, Philly, Miami, Brooklyn or Milwaukee.

Time and time again people get bought into by regular season hype (though usually we have a much better record) only for disappointment but here we are again with a similar story and expectations of something different.
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#86 » by bluerap23 » Tue Feb 9, 2021 6:05 pm

Steelo Green wrote:People genuinely believe the Raptors will make it out of the East?

They are 11-13 and have had some pretty hilarious losses - even recently. Their D has fallen to 16th.

This team reminds me of a team led by Kyle and a man from Compton who has the best SRS in the league but then when the lights of the playoffs came and you realized you need superstars to win...

I mean the Hawks won 60 games and were swept by the Cavs.

All the advanced stats in the world can be there but one that is factual is you need superstars to win and there is 0% chance we beat Boston, Philly, Miami, Brooklyn or Milwaukee.

Time and time again people get bought into by regular season hype (though usually we have a much better record) only for disappointment but here we are again with a similar story and expectations of something different.


You have got to stop referencing the Hawks. It just hurts your argument.
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#87 » by Wannabe MEP » Tue Feb 9, 2021 6:07 pm

Steelo Green wrote:People genuinely believe the Raptors will make it out of the East?

I don't "believe" they will win the East. I just think they have a fighting chance, not unlike Miami's chance at this time last year. I'm not convinced that any of the other teams in the East have proved that they're so super amazing.
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#88 » by raptorforlife88 » Tue Feb 9, 2021 6:14 pm

I don't think the Raptors are going anywhere in the playoffs but it seems entirely pointless to hope they somehow start losing games? Between Fred, Lowry, Norm, OG, Siakam and really at this point Boucher as well it's clear the team has too much talent to do poorly. Even losing some of the main guys doesn't leave them uncompetitive in games. Fred, OG and Siakam are long term pieces that are not about to be dealt.

Look the Raptors have the same point differential as the Celtics and it's tied for fourth in the East. That's basically as clear a sign as you get that they're a decent team. Their net rating is 9th in the NBA. They've somehow been top ten offensively and when OG gets back you have to expect they'll also be better defensively. If they pick up a center better than Baynes they'll improve further.

Just have to accept they're probably a mid-seed playoff team this year.
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#89 » by ATLTimekeeper » Tue Feb 9, 2021 6:29 pm

Back to real losses and fake wins. So much for the poll.
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#90 » by Steelo Green » Tue Feb 9, 2021 7:04 pm

bluerap23 wrote:
Steelo Green wrote:People genuinely believe the Raptors will make it out of the East?

They are 11-13 and have had some pretty hilarious losses - even recently. Their D has fallen to 16th.

This team reminds me of a team led by Kyle and a man from Compton who has the best SRS in the league but then when the lights of the playoffs came and you realized you need superstars to win...

I mean the Hawks won 60 games and were swept by the Cavs.

All the advanced stats in the world can be there but one that is factual is you need superstars to win and there is 0% chance we beat Boston, Philly, Miami, Brooklyn or Milwaukee.

Time and time again people get bought into by regular season hype (though usually we have a much better record) only for disappointment but here we are again with a similar story and expectations of something different.


You have got to stop referencing the Hawks. It just hurts your argument.

You mean a 60 win team that got swept in round two and did no damage ever because it had no superstar?

You have to stop referencing nothing, it hurts your argument.
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#91 » by Steelo Green » Tue Feb 9, 2021 7:04 pm

Los Soles wrote:
Steelo Green wrote:People genuinely believe the Raptors will make it out of the East?

I don't "believe" they will win the East. I just think they have a fighting chance, not unlike Miami's chance at this time last year. I'm not convinced that any of the other teams in the East have proved that they're so super amazing.

We would get dummied by anyone in the top 4.
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#92 » by 720 » Tue Feb 9, 2021 7:05 pm

Steelo Green wrote:
bluerap23 wrote:
Steelo Green wrote:People genuinely believe the Raptors will make it out of the East?

They are 11-13 and have had some pretty hilarious losses - even recently. Their D has fallen to 16th.

This team reminds me of a team led by Kyle and a man from Compton who has the best SRS in the league but then when the lights of the playoffs came and you realized you need superstars to win...

I mean the Hawks won 60 games and were swept by the Cavs.

All the advanced stats in the world can be there but one that is factual is you need superstars to win and there is 0% chance we beat Boston, Philly, Miami, Brooklyn or Milwaukee.

Time and time again people get bought into by regular season hype (though usually we have a much better record) only for disappointment but here we are again with a similar story and expectations of something different.


You have got to stop referencing the Hawks. It just hurts your argument.

You mean a 60 win team that got swept in round two and did no damage ever because it had no superstar?

You have to stop referencing nothing, it hurts your argument.

I believe the Hawks got swept by the Cavs two or three times. Reminds me of our Demar Raptor teams.
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#93 » by Steelo Green » Tue Feb 9, 2021 7:06 pm

ATLTimekeeper wrote:Back to real losses and fake wins. So much for the poll.

Who said it was a fake win?

Our record is 11-13. No need to get into fake wins or losses.

We also have a lovely 3-10 record against teams above 0.500 and are now 16th on D.

Def hallmarks of a team that will do damage in the playoffs.
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#94 » by ItsDanger » Tue Feb 9, 2021 7:09 pm

TWO should be excited. If Lowry is traded and Fred gets injured, watch the losses pile up.
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#95 » by canada_dry » Tue Feb 9, 2021 7:35 pm

Steelo Green wrote:
canada_dry wrote:
Steelo Green wrote:How did them being in the lottery have nothing to do with t?

Jak was a just rookie year finished lottery pick, and Demar who was a lottery pick was developed into a player who at the time was valuable enough, not that it would ever happen again.

First you say nothing will be the same, then you say open my mind, so which one is it?

With regard to Harden, you completely missed the point. This is par for the course, deflecting and switching goalposts.

First of all, there is zero proof we were in the Harden discussion. And I brought Harden up to say look what he went for, so to do a deal of that magnitude would decimate us in the long term for a team that isn't a contender. Harden is not Kawhi and even doing a deal similar to Harden for Kawhi wouldn't make us a contender. Just the reality.

I didn't want us to get in on Harden, if we did it would be Siakam+OG+3-4 picks and 3-4 swaps. That makes zero sense for a team that won't even enter the top 5 into the league, but sure, let's discuss what wasn't argued to deflect from what was actually discussed.

Umm what? What do you mean Pascal and Fred. You're saying we could get Harden without offering OG, Fred, Pascal? No, it would have to be two of them and decimating our draft capital for the next decade for a team that will not win a title.

The Brooklyn Nets have KD, Kyrie and Harden and may not win but what, Fred, Kyle and Harden will?

We won a title with Kawhi Leonard, who is steps above both Beal and KAT? Not sure what you are getting at. No, to deal to get those guys would not make us a contender. Kawhi is a top 3 player to Beal and KAT being top 15 and top 20-25 players are comparable?

Who said the lottery is a guarantee? But with your method you trade the next decade worth of picks for a basic surefire way to not win a title and no guarantee they re-sign here and we are completely stuck without any future with no picks and not a FA destination.

Championship pedigree and coaching is overrated. Did the Cavs have the same pedigree when Lebron left? How about OKC when Durant left? The coaching is key for development of course, but the most important part about basketball is a superstar.

This "we are a superstar away" when we have had one true superstar in 25 years and one season of Vince a that level is the take that makes no sense.

It is so hard to get that superstar, and the cost to get said superstar when you have 0 and now need almost 2 or more to win, would lead to you just being 1-2 years with that player and then in draft hell with no picks and no future.

This team has a lot more work than the vacuum "superstar away".

Again - Kawhi has blinded everyone for a trade that is not replicable to believe it is just that easy, and that the next time a player that good is available that other teams are just going to sit on their hands and not make any moves.

But yes, ignore what you didn't have an answer for and deflect to other things and make up arguments that don't exist.
I don't even know what you're talking about at this point . I said open your mind to the possibility that it doesn't have to be a kawhi trade. U proceeded to rant about how the kawhi trade was unique lmao. We don't need a top 3 player to be contenders. Imagine a Bradley beal on last years raptors squad? Guess what? Favorites to make the finals. Ur claim that only a guy like Kawhi is worth it and that makes hunting a great player through a trade pointless is ludicrous. ...lol

No i didnt say we wouldn't have to give any of our core away. Obviously that would be necessary. Read better. It still keeps part.of.the core intact with an upgrade of whichever piece we traded away.

And yes there is proof that we were in discussions. Brian windhorst and zach lowe made.mention of it after rhe fact, and kevin O'Connor did too if im not mistaken. So thats more misinformation ur spreading.

"Championship pedigree and coaching is overrated. Did the Cavs have the same pedigree when Lebron left?"

Lol @ its overrated. Not even worth talking further after that . U want the teams destruction. LOL @ lebron comparison..no.the cavs didnt have it after lebron left. BUT WE HAD IT AND SHOWED IT AFTER KAWHI left. Tf??? Another dumb comparison just like trying to compare the warriors situation to ours...lol

And again most importantly. As tonight has proven n im gonna say it in caps not as a disrespect but for emphasis. WE ARE NOT BAD ENOUGH TO TANK. GET OVER IT

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Swing and a miss. Thanks for playing though.
Ah the classic "i cant respond to that. So im gonna act like im above responding to that." Lol

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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#96 » by 720 » Tue Feb 9, 2021 7:46 pm

Steelo Green wrote:
ATLTimekeeper wrote:Back to real losses and fake wins. So much for the poll.

Who said it was a fake win?

Our record is 11-13. No need to get into fake wins or losses.

We also have a lovely 3-10 record against teams above 0.500 and are now 16th on D.

Def hallmarks of a team that will do damage in the playoffs.

I'm sure we would have won if the Grizzlies weren't missing half their team.
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#97 » by ATLTimekeeper » Tue Feb 9, 2021 7:50 pm

The Hawks argument is so wrong-headed. Let me clarify some details here:

1) The 60 win Hawks team got swept by LeBron. Every Eastern team in that entire stretch lost to LeBron. Didn't matter if they had top 5 picks aplenty or not. So the Hawks only course of action was to get LeBron. We know that LeBron chose his destination. We know that LeBron is unlikely to choose Atlanta as a free agent destination, and also unlikely to choose Toronto. Neither team needs to be clowned for this, let alone their fans for wanting to take on the challenge of upsetting LeBron.
2) The Hawks tanked for 8 seasons. They had 4 top 6 picks in succession. They did exactly what tankers want them to do. Maximize the odds for a LeBron-like player. Turns out LeBron wasn't in any of those drafts. And none of the players they could have drafted have been the best player on a title winner, either.
3) That 60 win Hawk team was the best team that franchise has ever had in the 50 years they've been in Atlanta. This is objectively a good result for a franchise.
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#98 » by ATLTimekeeper » Tue Feb 9, 2021 7:59 pm

Steelo Green wrote:
ATLTimekeeper wrote:Back to real losses and fake wins. So much for the poll.

Who said it was a fake win?

Our record is 11-13. No need to get into fake wins or losses.

We also have a lovely 3-10 record against teams above 0.500 and are now 16th on D.

Def hallmarks of a team that will do damage in the playoffs.


35-37 Brooklyn Nets were supposed to beat the 53-19 Raptors, right?
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#99 » by Skeezo » Tue Feb 9, 2021 8:01 pm

ATLTimekeeper wrote:
It's not certain. You need to factor in team needs in mid-season trades. We might have to go through all the teams in the playoff picture to determine who would start Norm or be willing to cough up a first for him. There are a lot of teams in the playoff picture, so you may have a lively market. Teams that needed a bench scorer, I can only imagine would have been interested on DRose, who went for crap.


Norm needs to be traded to a team who wants to re-sign him, and needs his Bird Rights next year cause they don't have the cap space to do it. That's how you extract maximum amount of value. Doesn't need to be a playoff team..

ATLTimekeeper wrote:ppg is a weak argument, Tucker's role is defense. And when you consider what I would pay Norm, also consider what you would pay Norm. It seems like you think Norm would be terrible value at my future contract prediction. My valuation was as a starter for the Raptors, factoring in more reps through this season in that role, averaging about 20. It's looking forward into the future on this. Other teams, that don't know him, that might not even have a starting guard/wing spot open at this point, might not have that same read and be willing to cough up a first to find out.


N.Powell ISN'T a mystery to ANY team where making him a starter is going to magically open up some GMs eyes... Norm, was a 4-year college player and has been in the 2nd Round of the playoffs or later for the last 5 years, he's a known quantity, not an unknown prospects like Watanbe/Watson.

Yes, I see Powell as value at 12m-14m per year, but not valuable at 18m-20m... Is 12m-14m higher than the MLE which PJ Tucker was paid LESS than? Yes it is... In other words, I see Powell as more valuable than PJ Tucker when he left us for Houston... My logic is sound, but nice try...

Let's flip it, if PJ/Norm are both "starting caliber" players, and PJ's defense is as valuable as N.Powell's offence as a means for trade value? Then why the hell is N.Powell worth 18m-20m in the market while PJ is worth 8m?

Skeezo wrote:Well if that's the case, how the hell can a standard value, run-of-the mill deadline trade be one of Masai's BEST deals, even better than the Vasquez trade that netted us a 1st/2nd? You don't see how you shift your valuations to suit your narrative?


ATLTimekeeper wrote:Again, I don't get this. Anytime you can land a starting-calibre player for 2nds, it's great value.


Is it greater value than getting a 1st & 2nd Round pick for a BACK-UP PG who was out of the league two years later because that was your initial argument 2-3 days ago?

Like PJ Tucker, you claim Norm Powell, is a "starting caliber player." However, in the same breath you also say Norm is just a "typical player that only gets offered 2nds" when approaching UFA. Therefore, "a starting caliber" player similar to PJ/Norm going for Two 2nd Picks when approaching free agency is STANDARD value, its not GREAT value, the way you describe the PJ Tucker deal.

I would love to see you sell a car...

Customer: Hi, I'm here to see the 2014 Honda Civic with 100km and Air Conditioning for $9,000
ATLTimeKeeper: Well, AC is really just a standard feature and it doesn't make that a great deal... Let me show you this 2009 Honda Civic with 150km for $8200
Customer: Isn't this 5 years older, with more miles on it for only $800 less?
ATLTimeKeeper: Yeah, but it's got Air Conditioning which makes this OUTSTANDING value.


ATLTimekeeper wrote:Now, to throw it back at any tankers. If the best offer is 2nd rounders/ballast for Norm, would you do it because it's still technically asset-building?


Of course not... Why would I entertain your hypothetical scenario where we get LESS than what Detroit got for D.Rose when I have been arguing that N.Powell is worth more than D.Rose? If Kelly Oubre Jr (who I would argue is a far better equivalent to Norm than D.Rose) can get a 1st Rd pick on a 14m expiring deal, then Norm can get a 1st on an 11m expiring deal.

We don't have much left to discuss.... Truthfully, I'm not sure you know what you want to do, other than NOT move on from Lowry or Powell this year... You wouldn't trade Powell now for a 1st Rd pick if it was offered, but you would re-sign him to retain him as a "trade asset"... You would rather take the chance of losing him for nothing because you think a re-signed N.Powell at 18m will magically be worth Two or Three 1st Rd picks on the market. Sorry, that is just WAY too much hope and faith for me.
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Re: Tank World Order (2.0) 

Post#100 » by ATLTimekeeper » Tue Feb 9, 2021 8:39 pm

Skeezo wrote:
Norm doesn't need to be traded to a playoff team... Norm needs to be traded to a team who wants to re-sign him, and needs his Bird Rights next year cause they don't have the cap space to do it. That's how you extract maximum amount of value. To your point, Norm could be a starter for a still young & developing team, or he could be a key reserve for a contending team. Do you think anybody is trading for D.Rose to be a starter for the next 4-5 years? Powell and Rose aren't an equivalent asset no matter which way you try to shoehorn them into the same box.


I suppose so, but do you have any specific teams in mind? I would think that the risk of him walking as UFA would scare teams off from coughing up a 1st. That's usually why bad teams aren't buyers at the deadline for expiring deals. It's further complicated by teams not knowing what they might get with their lotto picks. I'll buy that premise, though.

"PPG is weak argument", but let me keep using PPG as means for assessing Norm's next contract... ???


In terms of trade value, yes.

Again, just like PJ Tucker, you claim Norm Powell, is a "starting caliber player." However, in the same breath you also said Norm is just a "typical player that only gets offered 2nds" when approaching UFA. Therefore, "a starting caliber" player similar to PJ/Norm going for Two 2nd Picks when approaching free agency is STANDARD value, its not GREAT value, the way you describe the PJ Tucker deal...


I'm confused, is this just to defend the Vasquez deal? If another team offered 2 2nds for Norm, that would be great value for them, because 2nds aren't worth much. You're more likely to get something good out of the player than the picks. And, anyone can offer 2nds without it bankrupting the development squad.

I would love to see you sell a car...

Customer: Hi, I'm here to see the 2014 Honda Civic with 100km and Air Conditioning for $9,000
ATLTimeKeeper: Well, AC is really just a standard feature and it doesn't make that a great deal... Let me show you this 2009 Honda Civic with 150km for $8200
Customer: Isn't this 5 years older, with more miles on it for only $800 less?
ATLTimeKeeper: Yeah, but it's got Air Conditioning which makes this OUTSTANDING value.


I certainly wouldn't compare players to cars. Maybe that's why you would do Lowry dirty?

Of course not... Why would I entertain your hypothetical scenario where we get LESS than what Detroit got for D.Rose when I have been arguing that N.Powell is worth more than D.Rose? Yes, I see 4th year, DSJ as better value than an additional 2nd Rd pick... I'm pretty firm on my stance, that Powell fetches a 1st... If Kelly Oubre Jr (who I would argue is a far better equivalent to Norm than D.Rose) can get a 1st Rd pick on a 14m expiring deal, then Norm can get a 1st on an 11m expiring deal.


DSJ is basically Stanley Johnson last year, who opted to go to the Gleague because his career was in the crapper. Those kinds of players typically do not have trade value.

Oubre Jr might be more comparable, although he is several years younger than Powell and started the entire season for Phoenix. And it would entail the entire season, not a partial season. Also, it's worth noting the 1st is top 20 protected and will likely convey to a second. If I'm not mistaken they made the trade after Klay went down, so they may have baked the odds in of being a lower playoff seed team. So if Norm gets us 20-30 in the first or a potential high 2nd (GS will give up Minnesota's), I don't think that's a good trade for the Raptors v. seeing more reps with him as a starter.

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