tdotrep2 wrote:Am I missing something? How is this guy projected in the second round
Basically the case against him is:
Offence:
-Very high TO rate
-Has pretty good spacing around him, has a good coach too. Michigan mostly has 2 good 3pt shooters on the floor (Donaldson, Burnett, sometimes Walters) and either a good college 5 in Goldin who he has excellent chemistry with and is good at rolling and finding space to receive passes, or a stretchy big in Tschetter which is helpful, then the 5th spot is more meh (Gayle or Jones) from a shooting perspective.
-He's basically playing PG, whereas in the pros he'll presumably be doing much less off the dribble stuff, maybe he won't be as good at that, though I think Yale used him as a more traditional pick and pop big?
-Only 62% from the line
-Sometimes playmaking 4s who dribble a lot seem to be an awkward fit, like nobody is comparing him to Julius Randle because he's way less explosive than a young Randle, not quite as strong and much better at guard stuff, but their are some similarities. That's not a bad thing outside of a top 5 pick or so, but it can look better in highlights than over the course of a whole game.
Defence:
-Does tend to give guards a bit of space to take off the dribble 3s when he switches onto them, to avoid getting blown by. Might struggle with NBA face up 4s.
-Might not have the rim protection you want as an NBA 5, so maybe he's a 3rd big if he can't really cover starting wings or anchor a defence?
His strengths I think are obvious (passing, handle, shoots the 3 okay, rebounds, capable of a weakside block and the last month he's hitting more bank shots and taking a fadeaway that isn't automatic or anything, but it looks pretty good, he really does seem to have ability to add moves and counters every few months or so). Put him on a team with a big who can cover space and protect the rim and catch passes off the roll and he could be really useful, like a David Lee/KevinLove type 4 but with a better handle and a better halfcourt passer than even Kevin Love.