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Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5

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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#941 » by srhcan » Wed Mar 29, 2023 3:05 pm

OakleyDokely wrote:
srhcan wrote:on his way to become next Magic Johnson?


The chances are very low that he become a top 10 player of all-time.

Now you are taking it literally. :D What I mean is in this generation he can be the one playing like Magic Johnson. I think Masai hit a home run with Barnes and Masai and Nurse are bringing him up absolutely correct.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#942 » by ATLTimekeeper » Wed Mar 29, 2023 3:07 pm

Personally all I care about is results and not what it looks like. Chemistry factors in spacing/cutting/screening/leadership.

When I view ORatings with 2 man combos, they look like...

With Fred v. with Scottie

Pascal 116.8 v 115.6
Scottie 117.1 v. 117.1
OG 115.3 v. 114.7
Trent 114.2 v. 112.7
Boucher 111.9 v. 107.6
Achiuwa 117.1 v. 116.1
JP 122.1 v. 118.7
Koloko 109.5 v. 116

Only one advantage to Barnes. More to the point of chemistry, Poeltl in for Trent and no more isos to OG makes the offense look a lot smoother. This has nothing to do with Barnes or Fred, who are both really good Raptors that for weird fan reasons were put at odds. 2nd best offensive combo is Fred-Scottie! 117.1 would be the 3rd highest ORating in the league. That's good chemistry.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#943 » by OakleyDokely » Wed Mar 29, 2023 3:15 pm

srhcan wrote:
OakleyDokely wrote:
srhcan wrote:on his way to become next Magic Johnson?


The chances are very low that he become a top 10 player of all-time.

Now you are taking it literally. :D What I mean is in this generation he can be the one playing like Magic Johnson. I think Masai hit a home run with Barnes and Masai and Nurse are bringing him up absolutely correct.



There are some aspects of his game that are similar but it's like comparing someone to MJ, guys like Magic and MJ are on such a different level that it makes it hard to compare them with anyone. The game has also changed so dramatically since they've played as there's so much more emphasis placed on shooting.

He does so many things at an above average level that I think he will be a core guy on a title team. What will determine whether he becomes a multiple time allstar and elite level player is his shooting. If his midrange game comes along, if he can hit opens 3s, that will go a long way in determining just how valuable he can be.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#944 » by Reeko » Wed Mar 29, 2023 3:19 pm

ATLTimekeeper wrote:Personally all I care about is results and not what it looks like. Chemistry factors in spacing/cutting/screening/leadership.

When I view ORatings with 2 man combos, they look like...

With Fred v. with Scottie

Pascal 116.8 v 115.6
Scottie 117.1 v. 117.1
OG 115.3 v. 114.7
Trent 114.2 v. 112.7
Boucher 111.9 v. 107.6
Achiuwa 117.1 v. 116.1
JP 122.1 v. 118.7
Koloko 109.5 v. 116

Only one advantage to Barnes. More to the point of chemistry, Poeltl in for Trent and no more isos to OG makes the offense look a lot smoother. This has nothing to do with Barnes or Fred, who are both really good Raptors that for weird fan reasons were put at odds. 2nd best offensive combo is Fred-Scottie! 117.1 would be the 3rd highest ORating in the league. That's good chemistry.

Ok, and I'll point to the stats that were posted before that show how damn near every player on this team shoots better when it's Scottie passing them the ball.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#945 » by ATLTimekeeper » Wed Mar 29, 2023 3:34 pm

Reeko wrote:
ATLTimekeeper wrote:Personally all I care about is results and not what it looks like. Chemistry factors in spacing/cutting/screening/leadership.

When I view ORatings with 2 man combos, they look like...

With Fred v. with Scottie

Pascal 116.8 v 115.6
Scottie 117.1 v. 117.1
OG 115.3 v. 114.7
Trent 114.2 v. 112.7
Boucher 111.9 v. 107.6
Achiuwa 117.1 v. 116.1
JP 122.1 v. 118.7
Koloko 109.5 v. 116

Only one advantage to Barnes. More to the point of chemistry, Poeltl in for Trent and no more isos to OG makes the offense look a lot smoother. This has nothing to do with Barnes or Fred, who are both really good Raptors that for weird fan reasons were put at odds. 2nd best offensive combo is Fred-Scottie! 117.1 would be the 3rd highest ORating in the league. That's good chemistry.

Ok, and I'll point to the stats that were posted before that show how damn near every player on this team shoots better when it's Scottie passing them the ball.


Aside from Gary I don't think there's any big difference that makes it meaningful. Pascal has a lower FG% off Fred, but at much higher volume that would likely drive it down. I'd say Scottie probably gets higher %s because his offense comes more from transition play, whereas Fred is more likely to be dictating in the half court. But again, does higher %s matter much more if the offense overall is worse? I'll take the higher number. I'm arguing that chemistry isn't just passing. I think that's a simplified version of it.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#946 » by Raps in 4 » Wed Mar 29, 2023 3:55 pm

I said before that Scottie would work best in a Jokic-type role. I stand by that assessment after last night.

I'm also ready to let him run the offence next season.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#947 » by Raps in 4 » Wed Mar 29, 2023 3:58 pm

ATLTimekeeper wrote:
Reeko wrote:
ATLTimekeeper wrote:Personally all I care about is results and not what it looks like. Chemistry factors in spacing/cutting/screening/leadership.

When I view ORatings with 2 man combos, they look like...

With Fred v. with Scottie

Pascal 116.8 v 115.6
Scottie 117.1 v. 117.1
OG 115.3 v. 114.7
Trent 114.2 v. 112.7
Boucher 111.9 v. 107.6
Achiuwa 117.1 v. 116.1
JP 122.1 v. 118.7
Koloko 109.5 v. 116

Only one advantage to Barnes. More to the point of chemistry, Poeltl in for Trent and no more isos to OG makes the offense look a lot smoother. This has nothing to do with Barnes or Fred, who are both really good Raptors that for weird fan reasons were put at odds. 2nd best offensive combo is Fred-Scottie! 117.1 would be the 3rd highest ORating in the league. That's good chemistry.

Ok, and I'll point to the stats that were posted before that show how damn near every player on this team shoots better when it's Scottie passing them the ball.


Aside from Gary I don't think there's any big difference that makes it meaningful.


And 1 point differences in offensive rating are meaningful?
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#948 » by Raps in 4 » Wed Mar 29, 2023 3:59 pm

srhcan wrote:on his way to become next Magic Johnson?


Magic Johnson is on his way to having history remember him as a worse Scottie Barnes.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#949 » by ATLTimekeeper » Wed Mar 29, 2023 4:05 pm

Raps in 4 wrote:
ATLTimekeeper wrote:
Reeko wrote:Ok, and I'll point to the stats that were posted before that show how damn near every player on this team shoots better when it's Scottie passing them the ball.


Aside from Gary I don't think there's any big difference that makes it meaningful.


And 1 point differences in offensive rating are meaningful?


Nope, but it makes it better. I'm not the one making the chemistry is better with Scottie argument. I'm dismissing it.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#950 » by ATLTimekeeper » Wed Mar 29, 2023 4:15 pm

Raps in 4 wrote:I said before that Scottie would work best best in a Jokic-type role. I stand by that assessment after last night.

I'm also ready to let him run the offence next season.


Jokic shoots almost 70% from the elbow at high volume. Scottie shoots 51% at low volume. It's the lowest % of anyone that averages more than 2 elbow touches a game (just below Ben Simmons). He's shooting something like 45% on post-ups (Jokic is 65%). When he's more comfortable scoring the ball the ball will flow through him more and the offense will look even better. To me it's not an either/or, it's really just about being patient with Barnes while he adds skill.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#951 » by pingpongrac » Wed Mar 29, 2023 5:05 pm

Reeko wrote:
ATLTimekeeper wrote:Personally all I care about is results and not what it looks like. Chemistry factors in spacing/cutting/screening/leadership.

When I view ORatings with 2 man combos, they look like...

With Fred v. with Scottie

Pascal 116.8 v 115.6
Scottie 117.1 v. 117.1
OG 115.3 v. 114.7
Trent 114.2 v. 112.7
Boucher 111.9 v. 107.6
Achiuwa 117.1 v. 116.1
JP 122.1 v. 118.7
Koloko 109.5 v. 116

Only one advantage to Barnes. More to the point of chemistry, Poeltl in for Trent and no more isos to OG makes the offense look a lot smoother. This has nothing to do with Barnes or Fred, who are both really good Raptors that for weird fan reasons were put at odds. 2nd best offensive combo is Fred-Scottie! 117.1 would be the 3rd highest ORating in the league. That's good chemistry.

Ok, and I'll point to the stats that were posted before that show how damn near every player on this team shoots better when it's Scottie passing them the ball.


If you add all of the numbers up, teammates (excluding each other) are shooting 42.8% off of passes from Scottie while they're shooting 41.0% off of passes from FVV. Both players have registered assists on ~75% of FGM off of their passes, so it's not like you can see either one is finding teammates in their spots more often or effectively than the other. The biggest thing that skews things in Scottie's favour is his teammates take more 2FGA off of his passes (69% of attempts are 2FGA and 31% are 3FGA) whereas FVV's passes lead to more outside shots (65% of attempts are 2FGA and 35% are 3FGA) with the majority of those extra attempts coming from Siakam who hasn't been a very good shooter this season. We're talking about a marginal difference in the efficiency of the team as a whole (+/- 1.4 eFG%) while not taking into account volume, the extra FTA that may or may not be generated by either player's passes, turnover rate, etc.

Besides, I think we've started to see Scottie and FVV have a lot more chemistry together over the past few months. Scottie's FG% on the season is the highest off of passes from FVV (46.5%) with the next best being from Siakam (44.8%). FVV's FG% is much lower off of passes from Scottie (37.2%) because 2/3 of his attempts are coming from behind the arc, but they're getting good looks for each other. As another poster mentioned, their 117.1 ORTG in ~1600 minutes together is elite while it has been even better since the Poeltl acquisition (120.8 ORTG). In fact, if you look at their passing numbers since the Poeltl trade, they've both seen a huge boost in their teammates finishing; as a team we're shooting 46.6% off of passes from FVV and 47.7% off of passes from Scottie.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#952 » by WuTang_CMB » Wed Mar 29, 2023 6:31 pm

Raps in 4 wrote:I said before that Scottie would work best in a Jokic-type role. I stand by that assessment after last night.

I'm also ready to let him run the offence next season.


Need more high post from him so he can QB to the wings (FVV, Trent, OG) or cuts inside (OG, Siakam, Achiuwa, Boucher) as he did last night. Plus high low action with him and Poeltl.

Barnes is the best surveyor on our team, it's not even a question. Nurse has to continue to trust and give him more reps. If FVV doesn't like it too bad, FVV is best when he's an off ball shot maker.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#953 » by Dalek » Wed Mar 29, 2023 8:31 pm

WuTang_OG wrote:
Raps in 4 wrote:I said before that Scottie would work best in a Jokic-type role. I stand by that assessment after last night.

I'm also ready to let him run the offence next season.


Need more high post from him so he can QB to the wings (FVV, Trent, OG) or cuts inside (OG, Siakam, Achiuwa, Boucher) as he did last night. Plus high low action with him and Poeltl.

Barnes is the best surveyor on our team, it's not even a question. Nurse has to continue to trust and give him more reps. If FVV doesn't like it too bad, FVV is best when he's an off ball shot maker.


My preference is to use Jak in the high-post/screen and rolls. Jak is a big body who takes up a lot of space and he can pass at a high level. He should be an offensive hub because it is what he has done for most of his career. He probably didn't have that role last night because he was matched up with Bam who is a load on defense.

Scottie is good if he keeps things simple. Against the Heat he had a mismatch and was fed the ball, and on the ensuing double he made the right interior pass. It is not like he has a ton of choice in those quick-react situations, but he played well. I think the meat of his ball-handling possessions should come off transition offense. He is best at making the right reads to get Toronto an easy bucket - especially his distance passing from halfcourt or just past the logo - he just knows how to find guys.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#954 » by Tha Cynic » Wed Mar 29, 2023 8:57 pm

Reeko wrote:Forgive me, because I am going to bring up Fred in this post but the intention is not to bash him so much as it is to highlight Scottie.

Other than Jak, who does Fred have great chemistry with? Pascal? I wouldn't even call it great, they know how to play off of each other to a certain extent just due to how long they've been together but it doesn't seem like they're totally in synch. I'm not saying that he's a bad point guard, he's not, but his general feel for the game and awareness are not elite.

Despite a few people's claims that he's not ready to be the lead ball handler and decision maker on the court, we're seeing that he is very clearly developing great chemistry with OG and Gary. We've also seen him get Achiuwa and Boucher great looks and it seems that they excel playing next to Scottie. He has a level of understanding, awareness and desire to get others involved that is sorely lacking on this team. From what I'm seeing is when Scottie has the ball other guys know that he is looking for them and will not hesitate to give them the ball in good spots, therefore guys make themselves available to shoot or cut or get to the dunkers spot.

Now does he make mistakes? Yes he does. He makes some high risk passes that at times make you wonder what he's doing out there and his handle is not the tightest. But he's still only 21, and projecting what he can do going forward I don't see why you wouldn't want the ball in his hands as much as possible in these early stages of his career.


At this point I just glaze over posts by anyone who pulls out TS% or TOV% and other current day efficiency stats to indicate he's not ready to take the ball as a main ball handler. Even Nurse disagrees with those takes because we saw Barnes control the ball a ton in the second half of last season and playoffs intiating play before getting injured.

Against Miami (a very important game) who was handling the ball and who had 11 assists? Nurse I think will turn to Barnes in the playoffs when the games matter because he knows that's our best chance to win. You need your high IQ guys like Barnes and Poeltl involved as much as possible. Barnes has shown he can run an offense without having the great handles. Anyone who disagrees with that at this point and keeps rehashing that he can't control the offense really doesn't understand the game.

I also have seen enough to know that his situation holds his stats back as well, and I'm pretty sure Barnes doesn't care about that. You will never see him chase a triple double because he's close for example. If he was given more importance in the offense like some of the other young players around the league, Barnes is the type of guy who will learn and adapt and find a way to succeed and make the entire team better while putting up better stats for those who need it to see who he is. Hopefully Masai makes the right decisions to allow this to happen.

The Raptors made a great pick here. When he gets a consistent mid-range jumper, he instantly jumps into easy All-star status and probably approaches mid to top tier All-star. That's how good his game already is. One thing he needs to work on is his defense and anticipation there which will get better with more games.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#955 » by Tha Cynic » Wed Mar 29, 2023 9:27 pm

pingpongrac wrote:
Reeko wrote:
ATLTimekeeper wrote:Personally all I care about is results and not what it looks like. Chemistry factors in spacing/cutting/screening/leadership.

When I view ORatings with 2 man combos, they look like...

With Fred v. with Scottie

Pascal 116.8 v 115.6
Scottie 117.1 v. 117.1
OG 115.3 v. 114.7
Trent 114.2 v. 112.7
Boucher 111.9 v. 107.6
Achiuwa 117.1 v. 116.1
JP 122.1 v. 118.7
Koloko 109.5 v. 116

Only one advantage to Barnes. More to the point of chemistry, Poeltl in for Trent and no more isos to OG makes the offense look a lot smoother. This has nothing to do with Barnes or Fred, who are both really good Raptors that for weird fan reasons were put at odds. 2nd best offensive combo is Fred-Scottie! 117.1 would be the 3rd highest ORating in the league. That's good chemistry.

Ok, and I'll point to the stats that were posted before that show how damn near every player on this team shoots better when it's Scottie passing them the ball.


If you add all of the numbers up, teammates (excluding each other) are shooting 42.8% off of passes from Scottie while they're shooting 41.0% off of passes from FVV. Both players have registered assists on ~75% of FGM off of their passes, so it's not like you can see either one is finding teammates in their spots more often or effectively than the other. The biggest thing that skews things in Scottie's favour is his teammates take more 2FGA off of his passes (69% of attempts are 2FGA and 31% are 3FGA) whereas FVV's passes lead to more outside shots (65% of attempts are 2FGA and 35% are 3FGA) with the majority of those extra attempts coming from Siakam who hasn't been a very good shooter this season. We're talking about a marginal difference in the efficiency of the team as a whole (+/- 1.4 eFG%) while not taking into account volume, the extra FTA that may or may not be generated by either player's passes, turnover rate, etc.

Besides, I think we've started to see Scottie and FVV have a lot more chemistry together over the past few months. Scottie's FG% on the season is the highest off of passes from FVV (46.5%) with the next best being from Siakam (44.8%). FVV's FG% is much lower off of passes from Scottie (37.2%) because 2/3 of his attempts are coming from behind the arc, but they're getting good looks for each other. As another poster mentioned, their 117.1 ORTG in ~1600 minutes together is elite while it has been even better since the Poeltl acquisition (120.8 ORTG). In fact, if you look at their passing numbers since the Poeltl trade, they've both seen a huge boost in their teammates finishing; as a team we're shooting 46.6% off of passes from FVV and 47.7% off of passes from Scottie.


Maybe it's not surprising that FVV's numbers are better with the two smartest players on the team in Barnes and Poeltl playing with him. It means less decision making for Van Vleet and two guys who can control the wild that can sometimes be Van Vleet and better shots for Van Vleet. Barnes will always pass to Van Vleet when he's open, with zero hesitation and thus reducing the Westbrook antics from Van Vleet. :dontknow:

I will trust their chemistry more when I see Van Vleet consistently run a two man game with Barnes which is a no brainer as a good offense. It's always intriguing looking into the psyche of why he doesn't do this. It has to be a two way street like it is for Van Vleet with Poelt. There's zero reason not to run the pick and roll more with Barnes and actually give him the ball as the roller.

Barnes' field goal percentage is higher off Van Vleet because he's typically getting the ball off a roll or dunk (which is why it's absurd this is not our main offense), while Van Vleet's is lower because well he's been an inefficient shooter. :dontknow:

There are multiple ways to read stats and combination of stats and understanding how they all tie together.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#956 » by Tha Cynic » Wed Mar 29, 2023 9:35 pm

ATLTimekeeper wrote:
Reeko wrote:
ATLTimekeeper wrote:Personally all I care about is results and not what it looks like. Chemistry factors in spacing/cutting/screening/leadership.

When I view ORatings with 2 man combos, they look like...

With Fred v. with Scottie

Pascal 116.8 v 115.6
Scottie 117.1 v. 117.1
OG 115.3 v. 114.7
Trent 114.2 v. 112.7
Boucher 111.9 v. 107.6
Achiuwa 117.1 v. 116.1
JP 122.1 v. 118.7
Koloko 109.5 v. 116

Only one advantage to Barnes. More to the point of chemistry, Poeltl in for Trent and no more isos to OG makes the offense look a lot smoother. This has nothing to do with Barnes or Fred, who are both really good Raptors that for weird fan reasons were put at odds. 2nd best offensive combo is Fred-Scottie! 117.1 would be the 3rd highest ORating in the league. That's good chemistry.

Ok, and I'll point to the stats that were posted before that show how damn near every player on this team shoots better when it's Scottie passing them the ball.


Aside from Gary I don't think there's any big difference that makes it meaningful. Pascal has a lower FG% off Fred, but at much higher volume that would likely drive it down. I'd say Scottie probably gets higher %s because his offense comes more from transition play, whereas Fred is more likely to be dictating in the half court. But again, does higher %s matter much more if the offense overall is worse? I'll take the higher number. I'm arguing that chemistry isn't just passing. I think that's a simplified version of it.


How do two man combination stats work to show chemistry of a 5 man rotation? Did the NBA suddenly go to 2 man units in overtime or something? Did you even attempt to at least look at whether the two players in the stats above even connected on those possessions? Since you want to show chemistry with stats, did you do any other analysis other than a basic stat pulls like this? Did you take any factors into account at all? My analytics teams would cringe at this type of statistical presentation. :hoop:

I guess you don't take eye test for any value at all either? We may as well just fire all scouts. Are you factoring in how having someone else consistently run the offense changes how a team in general plays in that offense. Are you factoring in that a new PG means you have to tweak everything in the offense and probably don't want that player to run it similar to how a guy who's more of a shooter would run it? Are you factoring in how players will now react as they grow with that passing style and expectation of high risk passes, and the ball in their favourite spots consistently, the expectation of the ball moving more for better 3 pointers?

I'm not sure if the above is an actual attempt to show how the team can get better or if it's a chance to use poor stat representation to flex muscles.

Also, Reeko made a very good point. You're making excuses for stats one way but refusing to do it the other way. This shows an ingenuous attempt to actually analyse and a focus more on trying to prove a preconceived notion.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#957 » by pingpongrac » Wed Mar 29, 2023 11:20 pm

Ahh, there's the classic "lol stats, FVV sucks and Scottie and Poeltl are the only reason why he's playing better and less like Westbrook" posts from Tha Cynic. I was wondering how much longer it would take.

Is FVV really doing less decision making with Scottie and Poeltl on the floor? He's still averaging 19.4 PTS (61 TS%) and 7.9 AST per36 (1.7 TOV) with a 21 USG% in those situations (300 minutes). For comparison, Scottie is averaging 16.9 PTS (53 TS%) and 5.6 AST per36 (2.0 TOV) with a 22 USG% in the same minutes while Poeltl is averaging 18.5 PTS (65 TS%) and 2.9 AST per36 (1.7 TOV) with a 21 USG%. They have all played very well together, but FVV has still been the engine of the offence in that 3-man lineup and he has been initiating the offence more often than not with the exception of last night. As the 4th/5th players rounding out the majority of the minutes we've seen with FVV+Scottie+Poeltl all on the floor together, Siakam (17.0 PTS on 50 TS% and 5.0 AST with a 23 USG%) and OG (20.7 PTS on 78 TS%) have seen varying results; Siakam has taken a step back both production-wise and usage-wise while OG has been shooting the lights out.

Now, why is OG shooting the lights out? It has been combination of things, but he has been found on the perimeter by both Scottie (9 assisted 3FGM) and FVV (6 assisted 3 FGM) a lot while Poeltl (9 assisted 2FGM) has found OG for a bunch of back-door cuts/lobs and Scottie has set OG up in transition a bit (3 of 7 assisted 2FGM). In addition to that, OG is playing within his role a lot more recently – especially when he's on the floor with at least 2 of Siakam/FVV/Scottie.

And you say you want evidence that FVV and Scottie are developing more chemistry with FVV finding Scottie more? In the last 15 games they've played together (since the Poeltl acquisition which includes a game where Scottie barely played due to an injury, so it's more like 14 games), Scottie is 36/72 on passes from FVV for 27 assists. That's 2.4 makes and 1.8 assists per game from FVV to Scottie which is up from 2.1 makes and 1.4 assists per game from FVV over the first ~50 games where they also shared a bit more time on the court together (27.5 MPG pre-trade vs 27.1 MPG post-trade). And just for a little more proof that you're so hell-bent on finding the negatives around FVV that you're speaking in extremes and hypotheticals, in the same span FVV is 16/33 on passes from Scottie for a whopping 6 assists – or 1.1 makes and 0.4 assists per game. But yeah, Scottie will always pass to FVV when he's open yet he'll never get the ball in good positions from FVV...
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#958 » by HiJiNX » Thu Mar 30, 2023 1:33 am

Tha Cynic wrote:
ATLTimekeeper wrote:
Reeko wrote:Ok, and I'll point to the stats that were posted before that show how damn near every player on this team shoots better when it's Scottie passing them the ball.


Aside from Gary I don't think there's any big difference that makes it meaningful. Pascal has a lower FG% off Fred, but at much higher volume that would likely drive it down. I'd say Scottie probably gets higher %s because his offense comes more from transition play, whereas Fred is more likely to be dictating in the half court. But again, does higher %s matter much more if the offense overall is worse? I'll take the higher number. I'm arguing that chemistry isn't just passing. I think that's a simplified version of it.


How do two man combination stats work to show chemistry of a 5 man rotation? Did the NBA suddenly go to 2 man units in overtime or something? Did you even attempt to at least look at whether the two players in the stats above even connected on those possessions? Since you want to show chemistry with stats, did you do any other analysis other than a basic stat pulls like this? Did you take any factors into account at all? My analytics teams would cringe at this type of statistical presentation. :hoop:

I guess you don't take eye test for any value at all either? We may as well just fire all scouts. Are you factoring in how having someone else consistently run the offense changes how a team in general plays in that offense. Are you factoring in that a new PG means you have to tweak everything in the offense and probably don't want that player to run it similar to how a guy who's more of a shooter would run it? Are you factoring in how players will now react as they grow with that passing style and expectation of high risk passes, and the ball in their favourite spots consistently, the expectation of the ball moving more for better 3 pointers?

I'm not sure if the above is an actual attempt to show how the team can get better or if it's a chance to use poor stat representation to flex muscles.

Also, Reeko made a very good point. You're making excuses for stats one way but refusing to do it the other way. This shows an ingenuous attempt to actually analyse and a focus more on trying to prove a preconceived notion.

My guy, I’ve given up on debating with certain individuals regarding Barnes. Your last sentence nailed it, and it’s something I said many pages ago in this thread—some folks are more motivated to defend their previously held notions on this player than they are willing to acknowledge the evidence right in front of them that maybe disproves those previously held notions.

But let’s continue comparing the results of a second year player, whose role in the offence is limited (but expanding), to a veteran who the offence is built around. Let’s continue believing Barnes isn’t good enough to run the offence through because he’s not a lights out midrange shooter or paint finisher yet. It’s like, why are we making up these rather arbitrary prerequisites to give our most talented and smartest player the damn ball? What purpose does it serve except to win an argument on the internet?

And the logic behind this notion is poor. Of course Barnes isn’t as good as f*cking Jokic yet, or FVV or Siakam or whoever—he’s a second year player! He’s not supposed to be better than those guys. The point is that Barnes has a higher ceiling than anyone else on this team (and it’s not close) and he has reached a point in his development where involving him in the offence in a more significant way is not a detriment but beneficial to the team right now and also prepares him to arrive at his immense ceiling quicker, maximizing the window he has to play with Siakam and Fred (two really good players) while they’re still in their respective primes. But let’s keep pulling stats, that do more to reflect where Barnes currently is on his developmental path than where he’s going to be in a few years as evidence that he won’t ever get there.

And ATLTimekeeper, I simply feel your opinion on this particular situation is biased and not rooted in what’s actually happening on the court. And frankly, it’s pretty disappointing because you’re generally a smart person and a good poster. But on this particular issue, it just seems like you’re drawing at straws at this point. You’re better than this.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#959 » by Tha Cynic » Thu Mar 30, 2023 4:46 am

pingpongrac wrote:Ahh, there's the classic "lol stats, FVV sucks and Scottie and Poeltl are the only reason why he's playing better and less like Westbrook" posts from Tha Cynic. I was wondering how much longer it would take.


All I did above was give you an example of how you can make assumptions of your own stats in a different way. I wasn't actually making any reads into your stats because you didn't actually pull anything that says anything useful.

You typically have a plan in place with a notion you want to prove before you go and pull your stats. I do believe you think you're being unbiased but you are inherently biased. If you want to do an analysis, go into it with no bias and simply look at every angle from all sides rather than trying to make it positive one way and negative another. A guy who controls the ball as much as Van Vleet does for example will typically put up stats in his sleep because he's initiating everything and he is a good player in his prime. But that doesn't mean the best thing for this team is him running the team as much as he does.

Anyway, at this stage we're also at two different levels right now. You're hellbent on today's efficiency stats and I'm looking more at modeling for future projections. I don't care about today because it's clear this team needs to move on from this core and we have seen enough of this team to know this by now. Some of us have also tried to explain to you numerous times why we don't care about current day stats, but it's like you don't care or are just completely missing the point like you just did above. What is actually important is that in an important game like yesterday's, FVV took an obvious step back to let Barnes run the offense. That's by design. Anyone can watch this game and see when the Raptors are a good TEAM and how they have to play to be a good TEAM and a team that gets better for next season.

I expect turnovers and some dumb plays from Barnes when he has the ball. That's the nature of a young player who's learning. But, I also expect a bigger ceiling being realized whereas Van Vleet is capped and what he can do for this team is capped. I didn't say he's a bad player..I never thought he was. I do think he has some bad personality traits that interfere with the way he plays and I do think he has a conflicting style and is given too much power in this organization. I think he would thrive on a different team who will hold him more accountable. For example a good coach would have held him accountable for not playing the style of game he has been playing since Poeltl joined the team. That is a choice he made. A good coach would have tried to bring this game out of him more rather than let him do Westbrook impersonations like he did for the majority of the season. But again, he has too much power here.
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Re: Official Scottie Barnes Thread - Part 5 

Post#960 » by Tha Cynic » Thu Mar 30, 2023 4:53 am

HiJiNX wrote:My guy, I’ve given up on debating with certain individuals regarding Barnes. Your last sentence nailed it, and it’s something I said many pages ago in this thread—some folks are more motivated to defend their previously held notions on this player than they are willing to acknowledge the evidence right in front of them that maybe disproves those previously held notions.

But let’s continue comparing the results of a second year player, whose role in the offence is limited (but expanding), to a veteran who the offence is built around. Let’s continue believing Barnes isn’t good enough to run the offence through because he’s not a lights out midrange shooter or paint finisher yet. It’s like, why are we making up these rather arbitrary prerequisites to give our most talented and smartest player the damn ball? What purpose does it serve except to win an argument on the internet?

And the logic behind this notion is poor. Of course Barnes isn’t as good as f*cking Jokic yet, or FVV or Siakam or whoever—he’s a second year player! He’s not supposed to be better than those guys. The point is that Barnes has a higher ceiling than anyone else on this team (and it’s not close) and he has reached a point in his development where involving him in the offence in a more significant way is not a detriment but beneficial to the team right now and also prepares him to arrive at his immense ceiling quicker, maximizing the window he has to play with Siakam and Fred (two really good players) while they’re still in their respective primes. But let’s keep pulling stats, that do more to reflect where Barnes currently is on his developmental path than where he’s going to be in a few years as evidence that he won’t ever get there.


You laid out exactly how I feel on this topic, and yeah you're right all of these debates are kind of pointless especially considering the states being discussed are at two different states. One is arguing for today's game and the others are talking about how to make the team better while accepting growing pains along the way.

At the end of the day I come here for fun because I like basketball and I'm talking to others who like basketball. I have never gotten upset at any poster here and never will because we all have a similar love for the game and this is all for entertainment. I'm sure there are media members here who this is actually a livelihood for and maybe it takes on a different meaning that's beyond entertainment.
Kobe Bryant:You asked for my hustle - I gave you my heart, because it came with so much more."~Kobe #MambaOut

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