Throwback24 wrote:
We essentially have no more small ball players on our team. Forget beating LBJ, are you guys really that confident this team could best the Bucks+Wiz or Celtics in a series? Really? Do you think we'd be the favorites in Vegas?
This team as constituted would not beat any of those teams in a series right now - nor would we be favored against any of those teams by Vegas right now if all 7 games were on a neutral court. We'd be tight to a pick'em vs the Bucks at least - though I doubt that'll still hold come mid-season. We'd be slight dogs with HCA for the series vs both the Wiz and Celts and decent size dogs without HCA for the series. Assuming average health for all, I do not expect to finish ahead of any of them in the regular season either.
What is unknown is who, if anyone, will take a step forward for us. We have more players in our rotation with a highly variable range of performance outcomes this year than some of the other good teams in the East. I expect 45-47 wins and a 5 seed or so. It's quite possible that most of our young rotation players flop and we're a little worse than that. It's also possible that at least some of those young rotation players flourish and we're better than I expect - back up over 50 wins and a top 3 seed. I certainly didn't see 56 wins coming 2 years ago - and Casey plays every regular season game like it's Game 7 of the Finals - so outperforming my regular season expectations is very much in play. A breakout or two from our younger players could mean we'd be competitive with those teams by the time the playoffs roll around.