RealGM

The Raptors sit at 41-16 (.719) as we enter the allstar break. They are on pace for 59 wins after last nights win. In order to win 60, they'd need to go 19-6 (.760), which is higher than their current win pace.

Of their remaining games, they have 13 at home, 12 on the road. 12 of their remaining 25 games are against teams currently in a playoff position. They play 20 games against the East, 5 games against the West.

According to 538's win probability, the Raps are currently favored in 24 of their remaining 25 games.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-nba-predictions/games/


Do they get to 60?

Yes, and then they lose in the first round

artsncrafts wrote:Yes, and then they lose in the first round

Dallas won 66 wins in 2007 and lost to warriors in first round lol

Nope, don't think so.

I think the Raptors finish 58-24. They are 41-16 right now so they would have to go 17-8 for the final 25 games to achieve that record.

Right now the chances and spreads are:

80% chance of winning on Feb 23 vs Bucks -8.5
90% chance of winning on Feb 26 vs Pistons -13.5
78% chance of winning on Feb 28 @ Magic -7.5
56% chance of winning on Mar 2 @ Wizards -1.5
84% chance of winning on Mar 4 vs Hornets -10

92% chance of winning on Mar 6 vs Hawks -15.5
64% chance of winning on Mar 7 @ Pistons -3.5
57% chance of winning on Mar 9 vs Rockets -2
75% chance of winning on Mar 11 @ Knicks -7
81% chance of winning on Mar 13 @ Nets -9

59% chance of winning on Mar 15 @ Pacers -2
86% chance of winning on Mar 16 vs Mavericks -11.5
76% chance of winning on Mar 18 vs Thunder -7
77% chance of winning on Mar 20 @ Magic -7.5
47% chance of winning on Mar 21 @ Cavaliers +0.5

93% chance of winning on Mar 23 vs Nets -15.5
78% chance of winning on Mar 25 vs Clippers -7.5
85% chance of winning on Mar 27 vs Nuggets -10.5
60% chance of winning on Mar 31 @ Celtics -2.5
54% chance of winning on Apr 3 @ Cavaliers -1

80% chance of winning on Apr 4 vs Celtics -8.5
85% chance of winning on Apr 6 vs Pacers -11
91% chance of winning on Apr 8 vs Magic -14.5
70% chance of winning on Apr 9 @ Pistons -5
64% chance of winning on Apr 11 @ Heat -3.5

Predictably, the only game Raptors are not favoured in is a 2nd night of a back to back at Cleveland with the previous night being at Orlando.

I think so, we're done trips to the west coast till next season

Weird that we're favoured in one of the road games against the cavs and not the other. I'll be happy if we pass our franchise high of 56, but 60 would be unreal

I'm thinking the 56-58 range, depends on what Casey does at the end of the season. I could see him potentially resting the starters a bit, but then again they've been playing fewer minutes anyway so maybe he won't see it as necessary.

I think 58 is the safe pick but, 60 is easily reachable if they continue to stay hot.

Who'd have thunk that a team with only 5 players with 5 or more years of experience and the rest of the roster with 3 years or less experience would be the best Raptors team in franchise history.

If we can make 200 pages in a GT then the Raps can get to 60 wins

kwajo wrote:I'm thinking the 56-58 range, depends on what Casey does at the end of the season. I could see him potentially resting the starters a bit, but then again they've been playing fewer minutes anyway so maybe he won't see it as necessary.

It really depends on if the 1st seed is in the balance or not. He has said that he wants us to get the 1st seed.

DeadHorse wrote:Weird that we're favoured in one of the road games against the cavs and not the other.

Because the first game is a b2b as the OP mentioned it too.

The team is due for the annual post-ASB slump, they will limp their way to the playoffs like they always do.

If Boston gets 59 we will get 60. I don’t think that will happen though so we will likely take the foot off the gas at end of season.

It kind of depends on how the Celtics fare from here. I think this team really wants to finish #1, so if the Celtics get close, the Raptors will keep gunning for 60 wins.

I think we finish at about 57-58 though. My guess is we secure the #1 spot with about 4 games left and rest Lowry/DD a couple games to end the year

We favored in both Away cavs games? That will most likely change.

Although I like the idea of 60 wins for the 6ix I'm more concerned about making 1st and playing a reasonably easy opponent in the first round.

DJ_RnC wrote:The team is due for the annual post-ASB slump, they will limp their way to the playoffs like they always do.

What's your rationale?

DeRozan and Lowry have played significantly fewer minutes and the offense is much less dependent on their scoring.

The roster is much deeper.

The second unit has taken on a much bigger load than ever before.

All of these are reasons why past performance is not a reliable indicator of what is likely to happen this year.

I'd love it if it happened but doubtful.

I think both Cav games LeBron is going to play his ass off to send a message for the post season so we'll be lucky to get one of those Ws (could be 2 there), another against Washington, then you know we can count on at least 2-3 games that we shouldn't lose but will and that's not even factoring we'll play HOU and OKC.

On that like others are saying it looks like we'll finish around 57-59Ws but it would be awesome to be wrong n get 60.

hankscorpioLA wrote:

DJ_RnC wrote:The team is due for the annual post-ASB slump, they will limp their way to the playoffs like they always do.

What's your rationale?

DeRozan and Lowry have played significantly fewer minutes and the offense is much less dependent on their scoring.

The roster is much deeper.

The second unit has taken on a much bigger load than ever before.

All of these are reasons why past performance is not a reliable indicator of what is likely to happen this year.

He's just team negative. We went 16-7 last year after the break so he's also lacking facts.