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OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread

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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1501 » by jaymeister15 » Wed Nov 25, 2020 4:10 am

mtcan wrote:
You clearly don't think through your dumbass world views.


I’ve only been skimming the thread since it’s really blown up again the last few weeks, but between you, Yogi, Maddog, and a couple others, I’ve lost count of how many times anyone who disagrees with your viewpoint has been called a dumbass, moron, miserable etc.


There are plenty of much more intelligent and well educated people than you or I that feel the lockdowns have done and continue to do more damage than they are preventing, and that protecting the vulnerable while allowing others to continue working, socializing, and going to school is the correct strategy and overall more beneficial health wise to society.


https://gbdeclaration.org/

Adopting measures to protect the vulnerable should be the central aim of public health responses to COVID-19. By way of example, nursing homes should use staff with acquired immunity and perform frequent PCR testing of other staff and all visitors. Staff rotation should be minimized. Retired people living at home should have groceries and other essentials delivered to their home. When possible, they should meet family members outside rather than inside. A comprehensive and detailed list of measures, including approaches to multi-generational households, can be implemented, and is well within the scope and capability of public health professionals.

Those who are not vulnerable should immediately be allowed to resume life as normal. Simple hygiene measures, such as hand washing and staying home when sick should be practiced by everyone to reduce the herd immunity threshold. Schools and universities should be open for in-person teaching. Extracurricular activities, such as sports, should be resumed. Young low-risk adults should work normally, rather than from home. Restaurants and other businesses should open. Arts, music, sport and other cultural activities should resume. People who are more at risk may participate if they wish, while society as a whole enjoys the protection conferred upon the vulnerable by those who have built up herd immunity.



Whether or not you agree with them, and there are plenty of smart people on both sides, can we at least agree that some of these people probably aren’t dumbasses?

Dr. Martin Kulldorff, professor of medicine at Harvard University, a biostatistician, and epidemiologist with expertise in detecting and monitoring infectious disease outbreaks and vaccine safety evaluations.

Dr. Sunetra Gupta, professor at Oxford University, an epidemiologist with expertise in immunology, vaccine development, and mathematical modeling of infectious diseases.

Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, professor at Stanford University Medical School, a physician, epidemiologist, health economist, and public health policy expert focusing on infectious diseases and vulnerable populations.

Dr. Alexander Walker, principal at World Health Information Science Consultants, former Chair of Epidemiology, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, USA

Dr. Andrius Kavaliunas, epidemiologist and assistant professor at Karolinska Institute, Sweden

Dr. Angus Dalgleish, oncologist, infectious disease expert and professor, St. George’s Hospital Medical School, University of London, England

And several others that are most likely much more educated on the topic than most of us arguing back and forth on Real Gm

And just for some Canadian content, an example of a Canadian Doctor who changed his mind regarding the effect of lockdowns as we have learned more about COVID

https://edmontonjournal.com/opinion/columnists/david-staples-lockdowns-will-cause-10-times-more-harm-to-human-health-than-covid-19-itself-says-infectious-disease-expert


The harm caused by lockdowns is much worse than the disease of COVID-19. That’s the argument from numerous public health officials and economists around the world, including an Alberta expert in infectious disease and critical care, Dr. Ari Joffe of the Stollery Children’s Hospital and the University of Alberta.

“I’m truly worried the (lockdown) approach is going to devastate economies and the future for our children and our grandchildren,” says Joffe, who has practised at the Stollery for 25 years and has now written a review paper on the impacts of the lockdown.

The cost of lockdowns in Canada is at least 10 times higher than the benefit in terms of population health and well-being, he estimates, at least if you account for numerous variables such as economic recession, social isolation and impacts on life expectancy, education and the full gamut of health-care priorities.

If you look at the issue worldwide, lockdowns will cause at least five times and, more likely, as much as 50 times more harm than benefit.



In the early days of the pandemic, Joffe joined with 14 other leading Canadians with medical expertise in infectious disease and critical care to co-sign a National Post column pushing hard for public health measures, including stringent lockdowns of school, non-essential business and restaurants.

Canada and the rest of the world are now in the early phases of what will likely be the worst pandemic of acute respiratory infections in 100 years,” they wrote.

Canada was ramping up health-care capacity, but the physicians warned our hospitals could soon be overwhelmed, as had been seen in China, Italy and Spain: “It is time for the provinces and federal government to use their authority to mandate an Italy/Spain-type shutdown.”

Joffe says he supported lockdowns because at first it was feared that the highly-infectious disease would hit everyone hard, killing two or three of every 100 people infected.

Joffe worried he might well be exposed to the disease at work and bring it home to his family.

But the expected surge of child and young adult COVID-19 patients at the Stollery never came, he says, nor was there any major wave of ICU cases in Alberta



The risk to children from influenza each year is greater than the risk of COVID-19, he says. If an individual is less than 65 and has no co-morbidities their COVID risk is also low. The focus should be on protecting people over the age of 65, he says, while also respecting their right to live as they choose.



Hopefully for everyone’s sake Canada is able to get access to enough vaccine to make the argument moot at some point soon, but at best that’s not going to be for several months. Until then, there is no real way to know for sure which is the best way to handle this thing and acting like its black and white either way is ridiculous. Being on one side of that fence vs the other doesn’t make someone a moron.

With all that being said, the disclaimer being I think it’s ok to believe anyone at the far extreme either way is kind of a moron (anything from the “virus doesn’t exist, Bill Gates is using it to control us” to “going outside is a death wish, everyone should be locked in their home for the next 6 months”
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1502 » by YelloC » Wed Nov 25, 2020 4:30 am

During a global pandemic, it is better to overreact than to underreact. That is all.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1503 » by jaymeister15 » Wed Nov 25, 2020 4:37 am

YogiStewart wrote:
GQStylin wrote:[
You're right there are many people who are at higher risk to the virus, BUT somehow after all this time 87% of all covid deaths in Canada are still 70 years of age and older. If you include 60-70 age group then 96% of all covid deaths are happening to seniors.

taking Manitoba's data, which didn't have a first wave and is getting hit now with one big wave:

MANITOBA COVID-19 UPDATE NOV. 24:
- 476 new
- 14,558 total
- 8,677 act
- 248 dead (M: 2-100s, 16-90s, 46-80s, 34-70s, 14-60s, 5-50s, 4-40s, 30s, 20s, W: 2-100s, 30-90s, 43-80s, 17-70s, 12-60s, 6-50s, 2-40s, 30s)

that's 44% under 80.
23% are under 70.

so for this mass euthanasia you're calling for, what's the age cut-off to make you happy?

and what you and the "others" fail to understand is the snowball effect once ICUs are overrun. death rates spike for covid and non-covid patients. once the system is overwhelmed, you're looking at poorer survival rates, and that's where we're always heading without lockdowns. plain and simple.


Why would you pick such a ridiculously small sample size to try and prove your point when there is so much other data out there?

And this post is the perfect example of acting like your view is gospel for some unknown reason. Would some healthcare systems be overwhelmed without a lockdown? Yes. Is that some sort of definite inevitability for every country, state, province, etc? No

Sweden has never locked down. They have made recommendations, limited mass gatherings, asked people to follow hand washing and social distance protocols. They haven’t closed schools, restaurants, businesses etc and have yet to have their healthcare system overrun 8 months later.

The vast majority of their deaths have been in long term care homes, which they have acknowledged weren’t protected as well as they should have been (just like here), but their death rate for the general population has been right in line with Ontario’s despite our various lockdowns.

You also used Sweden as an example as a country that is currently out of control in a different post for some reason, when in actuality, their 2nd wave has been much less severe than most other countries.

A few months ago their death rate was in the top 10, they’ve now dropped to 23rd and continue falling.

The highest deaths per day their 7 day rolling average has hit during their 2nd wave was 26 on Nov 13, and appears that may have been the peak as it is 14 as of today. Canada’s is at 76 today despite the different lockdowns, right in line with Sweden’s peak when adjusting for population, but Canada’s looks to be increasing for at least the next little while.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1504 » by mtcan » Wed Nov 25, 2020 4:41 am

jaymeister15 wrote:
mtcan wrote:
You clearly don't think through your dumbass world views.


I’ve only been skimming the thread since it’s really blown up again the last few weeks, but between you, Yogi, Maddog, and a couple others, I’ve lost count of how many times anyone who disagrees with your viewpoint has been called a dumbass, moron, miserable etc.


There are plenty of much more intelligent and well educated people than you or I that feel the lockdowns have done and continue to do more damage than they are preventing, and that protecting the vulnerable while allowing others to continue working, socializing, and going to school is the correct strategy and overall more beneficial health wise to society.


Protecting the vulnerable...that term gets used so often. By doing whatever we can do to keep case numbers low...we are protecting the vulnerable. Like I said...the vulnerable aren't just the seniors...so it's not as simple as just locking down retirement homes and long term care facilities.

The vulnerable are everywhere in the population. They also have to work and contribute to society. Who's protecting them?
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1505 » by jaymeister15 » Wed Nov 25, 2020 6:03 am

mtcan wrote:Protecting the vulnerable...that term gets used so often. By doing whatever we can do to keep case numbers low...we are protecting the vulnerable. Like I said...the vulnerable aren't just the seniors...so it's not as simple as just locking down retirement homes and long term care facilities.

The vulnerable are everywhere in the population. They also have to work and contribute to society. Who's protecting them?


I’m not against helpful and reasonable restrictions put in place to help stop the spread. I just think a blanket lockdown is lazy at this point given all we know, and likely does more harm than good. Hair salons for example. All the studies I have seen show that the risk of spreading it is minimal at best when both parties are wearing a mask, so why not allow them to continue operating with the safety protocols in place? Same with retail stores, how is allowing say 5 customers at a time wearing masks in a store any riskier than allowing curb side pickup? Outdoor dining has been deemed safe for months, why did that change?

When do the negative mental and physical health effects to the thousands of people that will either lose their business or be out of work for extended periods of time outweigh the minute risk of spreading COVID in those settings?

As far as the 2nd part, yes, there are vulnerable people outside retirement and long term care homes (although age is by far the primary risk factor, in a province of 13 million, 156 people under the age of 60 have passed away in the 8 months since this started). My response to that would be to allow those people to gauge their risk level, act accordingly, and receive the appropriate government support to do so. Back to the hair salon example, if you have a 55 year old cancer survivor hair salon owner that rightfully doesn’t want to take the risk of running his business right now, then allow him not to work and provide the appropriate benefits to support him instead of making all hair salons close. Or the 25 year old bartender that has diabetes and lives with his elderly grandparents, allow him to make the decision not to work and ensure benefits are in place instead of closing down all restaurants.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1506 » by TorontoRapsFan » Wed Nov 25, 2020 6:52 am

Maybe this will help some of you to re-evaluate how you think of COVID 19 infection vs the Flu. The flu kills cells that are mainly in the respiratory tract and lungs. COVID 19 kills cells all over the body, and so you get odd things like strokes, cardiovascular issues, organ damage, who knows even someone's Di*k might fall off if they're unlucky enough. The point being that minor infections and their long term damage seems to be very particular to each individual. Maybe drinkers get liver damage because of already stressed livers, smokers develop emphysima, people with weak heart muscles due to previous cardiac issues get heart attacks, migraine sufferers get strokes because their blood vessels are weaker than normal and the inflammation leads to minor or major ruptures, and so on and so on.
Fear tactics might be going on with the media and politicians because fear tactic is something they use for their own reasons. But, believe it or not, the real fearful facts of COVID 19 and how much closer to a major species wide catastrophe of a thing this could have been is not really pointed out.
The people in the gbdeclaration.org are idiots. There are idiots in all walks of life, and they can continue holding specialist positions in society in as long as they keep the semblance of competence and continued function going. That's because it takes gross mistakes for people to really look past titles, and roles, and realize a person who was smart at one time, is now acting an idiot. It's not hard to spot either if you know what to look for:
"As immunity builds in the population, the risk of infection to all – including the vulnerable – falls. We know that all populations will eventually reach herd immunity – i.e. the point at which the rate of new infections is stable – and that this can be assisted by (but is not dependent upon) a vaccine. Our goal should therefore be to minimize mortality and social harm until we reach herd immunity. "
First of all COVID mutates similarly to the Flu virus. If we don't have herd immunity to the flu yet, why the f would we get herd immunity to COVID. You can't be immune to something that can mutate at those levels. Give it time, and it can start to mutate every season making herd immunity a nonsense.
Also herd immunity is not when the rate of new infections is stable- it's when spreading of a virus becomes highly unlikely because it doesn't have enough people to survive in to spread to those who are not immune. They also don't take into consideration that hospitals don't get filled up by people who are in care homes and facilities. And when you have so many frontline workers getting sick, what are you going to do when you run short of these people, whether through general sickness or death. Sweden was the herd immunity experiment. How did that go? How long does it take to get such a large percentage of the public sick and then better? How many people will be unable to go to work when sick and how many people have to take care of them? How many people will only be sick for 2 weeks instead of 2 months? And the biggest issue, for how many people will COVID 19 act as a catalyst to developing other major ailments than respiratory problems?
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1507 » by God Squad » Wed Nov 25, 2020 9:52 am

Damn everyone's so sensitive in here and getting defensive. I can only speak for myself

But I have to work. I gotta a 1-year-old at home. So I've been working throughout covid (April-Now). I don't go out unless it's for work or necessities such as groceries or lately the mall for Christmas. We live in Markham and for the most part, everyone here makes sure to have masks and stay home if doable. My wife works as a PSW at Woodheaven retirement home and recently (last month) she took a leave of absence to stay home with our son and not risk getting Covid since her work has had outbreaks before.

Maybe three weeks ago during the stretch of nice weather, I personally saw a bunch of 19-26-year-olds going to the bars again. I'm not in control of what anyone does. If they don't care to protect their families, then I don't care about their outcome either.

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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1508 » by Fairview4Life » Wed Nov 25, 2020 11:09 am

There is no lockdown vs open and functioning economy dichotomy. That isn’t how any of this works. Most bars and restaurants, for example, will not survive with even 10% less business, let alone the huge losses they will experience if you let Covid spread uncontrolled.

The “lockdowns are more harmful” nonsense is only true if that’s all you do. If you just shut everything down for a year and don’t provide any economic assistance than sure, that’s going to be terrible. But “lockdowns” (which actually mean vastly different things depending on where you look) can be used as a last resort to get your case numbers under control and massive government spending can be used to keep everyone afloat while you do it. When cases are under control you test like crazy and quarantine to keep the numbers down. Without a “lockdown”. Just locking everything down forever was never anyone’s suggestion.

Nova Scotia hasn’t been “locked down” for months. But we just had a spike over the last week and are shutting down restaurants, bars, gyms etc again - places where crowds get together for long periods of time indoors - for the next two weeks to get community spread under control so we can go back to relative normalcy again. That isn’t “worse” than just letting the disease run rampant for a year.
9. Similarly, IF THOU HAST SPENT the entire offseason predicting that thy team will stink, thou shalt not gloat, nor even be happy, shouldst thou turn out to be correct. Realistic analysis is fine, but be a fan first, a smug smarty-pants second.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1509 » by Fairview4Life » Wed Nov 25, 2020 11:18 am

I also can’t believe anyone brought up Sweden as a success story again. Their whole plan of a lower second wave because of natural herd immunity has blown up in their faces and they have had to now limit gatherings to 8 people or lower.

Read on Twitter
9. Similarly, IF THOU HAST SPENT the entire offseason predicting that thy team will stink, thou shalt not gloat, nor even be happy, shouldst thou turn out to be correct. Realistic analysis is fine, but be a fan first, a smug smarty-pants second.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1510 » by Fairview4Life » Wed Nov 25, 2020 11:24 am

jaymeister15 wrote:
I’ve only been skimming the thread since it’s really blown up again the last few weeks, but between you, Yogi, Maddog, and a couple others, I’ve lost count of how many times anyone who disagrees with your viewpoint has been called a dumbass, moron, miserable etc.


Cool, you must have skimmed past the post where the people who don’t think allowing a highly infectious novel virus to spread out of control across a dense population were compared to Germans who supported nazis. Weird how you missed that or all the sneering derision about sheep and government stooges. But go off and pretend you’re just free thinking martyrs preaching to closed minded fools. FOH with that mewling pleading for special treatment.
9. Similarly, IF THOU HAST SPENT the entire offseason predicting that thy team will stink, thou shalt not gloat, nor even be happy, shouldst thou turn out to be correct. Realistic analysis is fine, but be a fan first, a smug smarty-pants second.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1511 » by GQStylin » Wed Nov 25, 2020 11:50 am

Fairview4Life wrote:I also can’t believe anyone brought up Sweden as a success story again. Their whole plan of a lower second wave because of natural herd immunity has blown up in their faces and they have had to now limit gatherings to 8 people or lower.


Again how has Sweden 'failed' when they've proven that despite taking a different path only a whopping 657 people under the age of 70 and 242 people under the age of 60 have died in their nation so far? How have they 'failed' when even among their 2+ million senior population who are the most at risk are still mostly unaffected by the virus? Can we try and get off the hyperbole and get some perspective here or is that too much to ask these days? :noway:

Oh noes the absolute most oldest and sick among their population took the hardest hit during the pandemic while everyone else is mostly fine. WHAT A DISASTER! They should've simply joined much of the rest of the world in diving head first into going full tilt with wreaking their economy. :roll:
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1512 » by YogiStewart » Wed Nov 25, 2020 11:52 am

jaymeister15 wrote:
Why would you pick such a ridiculously small sample size to try and prove your point when there is so much other data out there?

And this post is the perfect example of acting like your view is gospel for some unknown reason. Would some healthcare systems be overwhelmed without a lockdown? Yes. Is that some sort of definite inevitability for every country, state, province, etc? No

Sweden has never locked down. They have made recommendations, limited mass gatherings, asked people to follow hand washing and social distance protocols. They haven’t closed schools, restaurants, businesses etc and have yet to have their healthcare system overrun 8 months later.
You also used Sweden as an example as a country that is currently out of control in a different post for some reason, when in actuality, their 2nd wave has been much less severe than most other countries.

A few months ago their death rate was in the top 10, they’ve now dropped to 23rd and continue falling.

The highest deaths per day their 7 day rolling average has hit during their 2nd wave was 26 on Nov 13, and appears that may have been the peak as it is 14 as of today. Canada’s is at 76 today despite the different lockdowns, right in line with Sweden’s peak when adjusting for population, but Canada’s looks to be increasing for at least the next little while.


have you been paying attention to Sweden as of late?

https://www.google.com/search?q=sweden+hospitals&sxsrf=ALeKk02tRryuHsUePSglcDeWkEc6gc4TQw:1606304969869&source=lnms&tbm=nws&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwihzISp0J3tAhUsmuAKHfRsBRIQ_AUoAnoECAUQBA&biw=1440&bih=775&dpr=2

Sweden's admitted to policy failure. they're in their second wave.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/sweden/

deaths tend to follow 2-4 weeks after spikes. spikes started November 1.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1513 » by YogiStewart » Wed Nov 25, 2020 12:07 pm

jaymeister15 wrote:
mtcan wrote:Protecting the vulnerable...that term gets used so often. By doing whatever we can do to keep case numbers low...we are protecting the vulnerable. Like I said...the vulnerable aren't just the seniors...so it's not as simple as just locking down retirement homes and long term care facilities.

The vulnerable are everywhere in the population. They also have to work and contribute to society. Who's protecting them?


I’m not against helpful and reasonable restrictions put in place to help stop the spread. I just think a blanket lockdown is lazy at this point given all we know, and likely does more harm than good. Hair salons for example. All the studies I have seen show that the risk of spreading it is minimal at best when both parties are wearing a mask, so why not allow them to continue operating with the safety protocols in place? Same with retail stores, how is allowing say 5 customers at a time wearing masks in a store any riskier than allowing curb side pickup? Outdoor dining has been deemed safe for months, why did that change?

When do the negative mental and physical health effects to the thousands of people that will either lose their business or be out of work for extended periods of time outweigh the minute risk of spreading COVID in those settings?

As far as the 2nd part, yes, there are vulnerable people outside retirement and long term care homes (although age is by far the primary risk factor, in a province of 13 million, 156 people under the age of 60 have passed away in the 8 months since this started). My response to that would be to allow those people to gauge their risk level, act accordingly, and receive the appropriate government support to do so. Back to the hair salon example, if you have a 55 year old cancer survivor hair salon owner that rightfully doesn’t want to take the risk of running his business right now, then allow him not to work and provide the appropriate benefits to support him instead of making all hair salons close. Or the 25 year old bartender that has diabetes and lives with his elderly grandparents, allow him to make the decision not to work and ensure benefits are in place instead of closing down all restaurants.


first of all, to be fair, i've called some people dumbasses because they've said some pretty ridiculous things. having an opinion is one thing (and, for example, your post above is contradictory to what i believe, but i think you make some solid points. points that i'm happy to reply to, but not posts where you're quoting youtube conspiracy videos or making blatantly false claims). is it cool that we'll call people dumb? no. but they've said some seriously dumb things. not things that i disagree with, but full-out incorrect, dumb posts that they continue to stand by.

blanket lockdowns do more good than harm WHEN DONE PROPERLY. think we'd argue and agree on a few things but we'd see it from a different angle. the Ontario half-assed lockdown won't accomplish what it needs to accomplish. you either do all or nothing. this is us being half-pregnant. so numbers may go down a bit, but not enough to allow us to comfortably re-open. i'd rather see 4-6 weeks of a proper lockdown (close churches, severely limit people inside big box stores, close schools) and, assuming the numbers drop by 75%, then do a slight re-opening. we're just dragging the pain on.

last week, a report came out that stated that the negative mental health aspect of lockdowns and covid has been overstated i.e. not as much suicide as hypothesized.

you make a chicken vs egg point. people point to the low fatality rate and say "why are we locking down?" we have a low death rate because we've locked down (partially or fully). numbers would be worse if we did nothing.

in north dakota, 1 out of every 900 residents has died. that's insane.
in the US, close to 300K people have died. actual number's likely 350000. so far, that's 0.1% of their population, which doesn't seem like a lot, but that's 167 9/11s happening.
canada's death count is 0.03% of our population. so, with what we've done, we've cut our mortality rate by 67% of what the US's death count is, with the worst to come in both countries. the US's death count peaked in April when nothing was done. now, it's November. Arguably, nothing's been done. they're at 75% the death rate of April and it's climbing.

lockdown: Ontario and Alberta and poor examples of how lockdowns should be done. nothing makes sense. should stores be open and having a customer limit? i think so. but one can argue that stores being closed will decrease the counts (in 2 weeks). should walmarts be allowed to remain open if small stores are closed? no. it doesn't make sense. but, in my time going out, i've seen such poor mask compliance across toronto that i understand why stores are being closed. go anywhere along the danforth and there's such crappy compliance.

and, finally, you argue for people having the right to make their own health choices. the problem is that the 25 year old who refuses to wear a mask also shops where everyone else shops. if they have COVID, they'll spread it to those that are being cautious. since some people can spread covid quite readily, it's the poor health choices by the few that can infect the many. it's the same with speeding laws. no different. you do it to protect everyone.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1514 » by Chevy Chase » Wed Nov 25, 2020 12:14 pm

https://www.queensu.ca/gazette/stories/5-failings-great-barrington-declaration


I knew I smelled BS when there was no mention of COVID related symptoms. They only discuss mortality which has dropped since the medical community has developed better treatments for hard hit patients. I'm less worried about the statistically low chance of death, and more about the possible long term effects.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1515 » by Local_NG_Idiot » Wed Nov 25, 2020 12:55 pm

jaymeister15 wrote:When do the negative mental and physical health effects to the thousands of people that will either lose their business or be out of work for extended periods of time outweigh the minute risk of spreading COVID in those settings?


Minute risk?

So, right now in Peel the rolling 7 day average Rt is 1.13 with weekly incidence rate per 100,000 at 180 with a 10.6% positivity rate.

The statistical analysis of those numbers means if you encounter 48 different people in the next month, you have a 50% chance of exposure to Covid. As well, there is a 78% chance that 1 in 100 people who gather can transmit Covid.

how many people do you see here:



minute risk my ass.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1516 » by Fairview4Life » Wed Nov 25, 2020 1:05 pm

GQStylin wrote:
Fairview4Life wrote:I also can’t believe anyone brought up Sweden as a success story again. Their whole plan of a lower second wave because of natural herd immunity has blown up in their faces and they have had to now limit gatherings to 8 people or lower.


Again how has Sweden 'failed' when they've proven that despite taking a different path only a whopping 657 people under the age of 70 and 242 people under the age of 60 have died in their nation so far? How have they 'failed' when even among their 2+ million senior population who are the most at risk are still mostly unaffected by the virus? Can we try and get off the hyperbole and get some perspective here or is that too much to ask these days? :noway:

Oh noes the absolute most oldest and sick among their population took the hardest hit during the pandemic while everyone else is mostly fine. WHAT A DISASTER! They should've simply joined much of the rest of the world in diving head first into going full tilt with wreaking their economy. :roll:


More people dead. More people sick. No economic benefit, and worse results in Q2 than any of it's nordic neighbours. What is success supposed to look like? We were told it would mean herd immunity and a non existent second wave, or at least one much smaller than it's neighbours who would have to lockdown again, unlike Sweden who would reap the economic benefits of their foresight. That has blown up spectacularly and Sweden is now doing significantly worse to the point where they are also now limiting gathering to 8 or fewer people.
9. Similarly, IF THOU HAST SPENT the entire offseason predicting that thy team will stink, thou shalt not gloat, nor even be happy, shouldst thou turn out to be correct. Realistic analysis is fine, but be a fan first, a smug smarty-pants second.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1517 » by YogiStewart » Wed Nov 25, 2020 2:15 pm

Local_NG_Idiot wrote:
jaymeister15 wrote:When do the negative mental and physical health effects to the thousands of people that will either lose their business or be out of work for extended periods of time outweigh the minute risk of spreading COVID in those settings?


Minute risk?

So, right now in Peel the rolling 7 day average Rt is 1.13 with weekly incidence rate per 100,000 at 180 with a 10.6% positivity rate.

The statistical analysis of those numbers means if you encounter 48 different people in the next month, you have a 50% chance of exposure to Covid. As well, there is a 78% chance that 1 in 100 people who gather can transmit Covid.

how many people do you see here:



minute risk my ass.


and making this real:
the owner (Adam Skelley) lives 1 block from me. literally, a stone's throw. goes to work at his Etobicoke location (which was apparently operating without a business license lol), gets COVID, comes home, chats with a neighbour and that's how it starts to spread in our community.

people say "let people make their own choices." he's basically a huge bringing a virus into our community and for it to spread.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1518 » by Johnny Bball » Wed Nov 25, 2020 2:37 pm

Local_NG_Idiot wrote:
jaymeister15 wrote:When do the negative mental and physical health effects to the thousands of people that will either lose their business or be out of work for extended periods of time outweigh the minute risk of spreading COVID in those settings?


Minute risk?

So, right now in Peel the rolling 7 day average Rt is 1.13 with weekly incidence rate per 100,000 at 180 with a 10.6% positivity rate.

The statistical analysis of those numbers means if you encounter 48 different people in the next month, you have a 50% chance of exposure to Covid. As well, there is a 78% chance that 1 in 100 people who gather can transmit Covid.

how many people do you see here:



minute risk my ass.


Way to risk setting everyone else back. It’s just a pile of right wing **** in one place just because they can’t ever follow even the simplest of rules. This is how the GTA ended up in lockdown in the first place. These behaviours right here. Not following the simplest of rules. Then they complain it’s a lockdown.

Oh please, someone tell me all about these like minded and highly educated people again. :roll:

On another note... I trust the owner realizes that there are people that now won’t go to his restaurant...ever. And it’s not a small number. Not bright.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1519 » by Kevin Willis » Wed Nov 25, 2020 2:43 pm

Ska needs to make a comeback.
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Re: OT: COVID-19 Ontario 2nd Wave Thread 

Post#1520 » by Raptaz » Wed Nov 25, 2020 3:05 pm

i understand small/medium sized businesses are being impacted- but creating opportunities to spread it could hurt businesses in the long run- what if the ones who believed not locking down and wearing masks shop primarily at small/medium sized business - to only spread the virus to that business and their employees and their potential customers- if there is long term health or death involved these businesses wont see their repeat customers coming back.

I work with a lot of small/medium sized business across all industries who all have followed the government mandate -opposed trying to justify why should stay open or operate pre-covid


if these business owners who are being impacted follow the guidelines what makes any other business owner any more different/special to state they are being impacted when others like them are doing what they have to protect society and the health of the people who do spend money with their businesses .

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