Worst Case Scenario - no 1st round pick

[anotherhomer]

Hear me out, but here's the worst case Scenario for Raptors:

Indiana Pacers gets bumped down to play-in, lose the play-in and end-up in lottery.
Because the lottery only determines who gets into the top 4, then the rest gets bumped down accordingly

say indiana pacers jump 10 spots into top 3, then Raps will automatically drop to 7

Since Indiana pick is top 3 protected, then raps have no 1st round picks to account for this crappy season

talk about really crappy

[Duffman100]

Yes that would be terrible.

But.. Raps pick gets bumped to #1. Indiana pick goes #4. We end up with two top 5 picks. WIN!

[Fairview4Life]

I can think of a number of worse things.

Drinking spoiled milk.
Getting hit by a truck.
Reading another thread like this.

[DelAbbot]

holy smokes, not even I dreamed of that scenario

bravo!

[DutchCanuck]

I don't get this logic, it's like me planning to get into a car crash today and then get home and get hit by a bus on my evening jog. Stop the doom and gloom and just wait for the lottery. We could also win Pick #1 and hold the pacers pick.

[Anticon]

I can think of a number of worse things.

Drinking spoiled milk.
Getting hit by a truck.
Reading another thread like this.

Have you ever eaten spoiled cooked carrots? Worse than spoiled milk in my opinion.

[Psubs]

Yes that would be terrible.

But.. Raps pick gets bumped to #1. Indiana pick goes #4. We end up with two top 5 picks. WIN!

I like the cut of your jib.

Who to draft if that happens? Sarr and Risacher...... FCUK French Connections Ultimate Kickass!

[YogurtProducer]

Yes that would be terrible.

But.. Raps pick gets bumped to #1. Indiana pick goes #4. We end up with two top 5 picks. WIN!

After all the complaining all season, this result would be hilarious.

[ArthurVandelay]

Yes that would be terrible.

But.. Raps pick gets bumped to #1. Indiana pick goes #4. We end up with two top 5 picks. WIN!

After all the complaining all season, this result would be hilarious.

“But but But it’s the worst draft ever!”

I can I read/hear it now

[Fairview4Life]

Yes that would be terrible.

But.. Raps pick gets bumped to #1. Indiana pick goes #4. We end up with two top 5 picks. WIN!

The 3 blocks of time on this board would turn into the worst modding day in RealGM History:
1 - Pacers move up (OH NO, RAPS PROBABLY MOVE DOWN AND WE ALSO ONLY HAVE A 25% CHANCE OF KEEPING THE PACERS PICK)
2 - Raptors not called at 7th pick (HOLY **** WE HAVE A TOP 4 PICK BUT MAYBE ALSO LOSE THE PACERS PICK)
3 - Pacers called at 4 (HOLY CRAP THIS IS THE GREATEST DRAFT LUCK OF ALL TIME)

Basically, Andy's 500 yards of **** smelling foulness to get to freedom.

[Raptorfan2012]

Nice doomer thread - this place reeks of needless negativity.

[TheGeneral99]

So with Memphis winning again yesterday, we will very likely finish 6th last.

Interestingly, Portland is not far ahead us...and maybe (unlikely) we can finish with the same record as them and they would have the tiebreaker beating us twice this year.

[dkb964]

I have to imagine there is less then a 5% chance of the Pacers jumping from the end of the lottery into the top 3.

[Duffman100]

So with Memphis winning again yesterday, we will very likely finish 6th last.

Interestingly, Portland is not far ahead us...and maybe (unlikely) we can finish with the same record as them and they would have the tiebreaker beating us twice this year.

Look at Portland's schedule. The only real winnable game is against the Wizards.

[Psubs]

I have to imagine there is less then a 5% chance of the Pacers jumping from the end of the lottery into the top 3.

Ya, more like 1%.

https://www.nba.com/news/nba-draft-lottery-explainer

So 0.5% for 14th worst and 1% for the 13th worst team. Oh wait that's for #1 only. I guess have to add probability of getting #2 and probability of getting #3. There is likely a matrix somewhere out there, but ya, total is less than 5%.

[TheGeneral99]

So with Memphis winning again yesterday, we will very likely finish 6th last.

Interestingly, Portland is not far ahead us...and maybe (unlikely) we can finish with the same record as them and they would have the tiebreaker beating us twice this year.

Look at Portland's schedule. The only real winnable game is against the Wizards.

Yeah for sure, it's very unlikely but who knows, especially if a team like Boston starts resting players for the playoffs, Houston is out of the play-in picture or Sacramento has a meaningless game.

[Lord_Zedd]

So with Memphis winning again yesterday, we will very likely finish 6th last.

Interestingly, Portland is not far ahead us...and maybe (unlikely) we can finish with the same record as them and they would have the tiebreaker beating us twice this year.

That would just be a coin flip. Regular season head to head record doesn't mean anything in the tank standings

[Psubs]

So with Memphis winning again yesterday, we will very likely finish 6th last.

Interestingly, Portland is not far ahead us...and maybe (unlikely) we can finish with the same record as them and they would have the tiebreaker beating us twice this year.

Look at Portland's schedule. The only real winnable game is against the Wizards.

Yeah for sure, it's very unlikely but who knows, especially if a team like Boston starts resting players for the playoffs, Houston is out of the play-in picture or Sacramento has a meaningless game.

Ah ya, Boston has a 7 game lead on the West top teams and 14 over any east team so they should start resting.

[Mr. Perfect]

Yes that would be terrible.

But.. Raps pick gets bumped to #1. Indiana pick goes #4. We end up with two top 5 picks. WIN!

The only time I've ever seen a team get that kind of luck was the freaking Cavs in 2011 where the Clippers unprotected pick went from low-lottery to #1 and their own pick went to #4. They got Kyrie and Tristan.

[pbernardi]

Having no pick in this year, means we have all the picks for the next years. It is a win in my book, specially if this is really a crappy draft class as sold.