Raptors Are Desperate for Offense + Initiator: The Case for a sleeper who may slip to 9#
Posted: Wed May 14, 2025 5:11 am
The Raptors need an offensive initiator and the 2025 Draft might be our last real shot at landing one for this core.
There seems to be a clear top tier forming around:
Flagg, Harper, Bailey, Edgecombe, Topic, Johnson, Fears, Queen, Maluach, Kon
And based on how the board may fall, it’s looking realistic that the player left at #9 could be the most polished offensive sleeper in the class: Kon Knueppel.
Kon is widely undervalued due to perceived limitations in foot speed and defense—but his total package is elite. Let’s break it down:
Why Kon Might Be a Sleeper Star
Do you believe in Kon’s upside if given a real opportunity? I do.
- Elite basketball IQ—arguably the highest of any freshman in recent drafts.
- Legit 6'6" frame with solid build (not skinny like Gradey).
- Not a top-tier athlete but consistently competes, reads the floor well, and stays in position.
- Surprisingly solid defender—strong base, quick feet, and high discipline.
- Per-possession defensive stats:
• 27% FG allowed on drives (95 total)
• 30% FG allowed on jumpers (26% off the dribble)
• 33% FG at the rim
• 27% FG in pick-and-roll (70 possessions)
- Offensive stats: 14.4 PPG, 63.8% TS, 2:1 AST:TO ratio over 38 games.
- Shooting splits: 40% from 3, 90% from FT line, with elite creation and passing flashes.
Mini Luka Doncic Comparison?
We watched Luka Doncic carry his team to the NBA finals one year ago. I believe Doncic is a great comp in understanding Kon’s sleeper potential.
why can't Kon be a comp for a mini Doncic? Here's some supporting factors:
- Doncic might be the worst NBA defender who plays heavy usage/mins, Kon is very likely already a better defender.
-Kon shows similar craft and manipulation as a creator, and he's a better shooter.
- He has high-level feel, footwork, poise, and passing flashes—very Luka-like in the half court.
How He Fits on the Raptors
If the pick is Kon, give him runway to develop as a semi-hub, or plug him in as an elite off-ball shooter. In either case, the fit works.
I think you immediately explore moving RJ and/or consolidation trades (which is already needed)
Hypothetical: RJ + 2025 2nd round pick + Gradey + Shead to net another 1st or help move up on our 2nd rounder.
Hypothetical: Draft some combination of intriguing well rounded prospects---ex. Fleming + Bryant
Hypothetical Roster moving forward:
2025-26
STARTERS
PG- Quickley
SG- Kon
SF- Ingram
PF - Barnes
C- Poeltl
BENCH
PG- Walter
SG- Obaji
SF- Bryant
PF-Mogbo
C-fleeming
How would we feel with this type of outcome moving forward? Could we transition to winning with hope? Do you believe in Kon?
Additional Elite Skill Indicators
Here are some standout metrics that support Kon’s offensive profile:
If this is the board at #9… do you believe in Kon?
Because there’s a very real chance he becomes one of the biggest steals of the draft—the most NBA-ready offensive initiator left standing for a team that needs offence +shooting.
There seems to be a clear top tier forming around:
Flagg, Harper, Bailey, Edgecombe, Topic, Johnson, Fears, Queen, Maluach, Kon
And based on how the board may fall, it’s looking realistic that the player left at #9 could be the most polished offensive sleeper in the class: Kon Knueppel.
Kon is widely undervalued due to perceived limitations in foot speed and defense—but his total package is elite. Let’s break it down:
Why Kon Might Be a Sleeper Star
Do you believe in Kon’s upside if given a real opportunity? I do.
- Elite basketball IQ—arguably the highest of any freshman in recent drafts.
- Legit 6'6" frame with solid build (not skinny like Gradey).
- Not a top-tier athlete but consistently competes, reads the floor well, and stays in position.
- Surprisingly solid defender—strong base, quick feet, and high discipline.
- Per-possession defensive stats:
• 27% FG allowed on drives (95 total)
• 30% FG allowed on jumpers (26% off the dribble)
• 33% FG at the rim
• 27% FG in pick-and-roll (70 possessions)
- Offensive stats: 14.4 PPG, 63.8% TS, 2:1 AST:TO ratio over 38 games.
- Shooting splits: 40% from 3, 90% from FT line, with elite creation and passing flashes.
Mini Luka Doncic Comparison?
We watched Luka Doncic carry his team to the NBA finals one year ago. I believe Doncic is a great comp in understanding Kon’s sleeper potential.
why can't Kon be a comp for a mini Doncic? Here's some supporting factors:
- Doncic might be the worst NBA defender who plays heavy usage/mins, Kon is very likely already a better defender.
-Kon shows similar craft and manipulation as a creator, and he's a better shooter.
- He has high-level feel, footwork, poise, and passing flashes—very Luka-like in the half court.
How He Fits on the Raptors
If the pick is Kon, give him runway to develop as a semi-hub, or plug him in as an elite off-ball shooter. In either case, the fit works.
I think you immediately explore moving RJ and/or consolidation trades (which is already needed)
Hypothetical: RJ + 2025 2nd round pick + Gradey + Shead to net another 1st or help move up on our 2nd rounder.
Hypothetical: Draft some combination of intriguing well rounded prospects---ex. Fleming + Bryant
Hypothetical Roster moving forward:
2025-26
STARTERS
PG- Quickley
SG- Kon
SF- Ingram
PF - Barnes
C- Poeltl
BENCH
PG- Walter
SG- Obaji
SF- Bryant
PF-Mogbo
C-fleeming
How would we feel with this type of outcome moving forward? Could we transition to winning with hope? Do you believe in Kon?
Additional Elite Skill Indicators
Here are some standout metrics that support Kon’s offensive profile:
- - 1.169 PPP off screens (50th percentile) — smooth, balanced, quick release.
- 1.226 PPP as a cutter and 1.119 PPP in transition (95th percentile).
- 2.6 APG with a low turnover rate as a secondary creator.
- 1.114 PPP in pick-and-rolls (91st percentile as a ball handler).
- Quick, compact release with advanced shot prep mechanics.
- Draws fouls and hits nearly 90% of FTs.
- Physical defender — boxes out, bumps cutters, contests shots inside the arc.
- Strong help defender — allows just 0.782 PPP on defense (80th percentile).
If this is the board at #9… do you believe in Kon?
Because there’s a very real chance he becomes one of the biggest steals of the draft—the most NBA-ready offensive initiator left standing for a team that needs offence +shooting.