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NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 5:27 pm
by OakleyDokely
The NBA's offseason activity has slowed down, allowing oddsmakers to post next season's NBA win totals on ESPN BET and theScore Bet.
Thunder 62.5
Cavaliers 55.5
Rockets 54.5
Knicks 53.5
Nuggets 53.5
Magic 51.5
Timberwolves 50.5
Lakers 48.5
Warriors 46.5
Hawks 46.5
Clippers 45.5
Pistons 45.5
Bucks 44.5
Spurs 43.5
76ers 43.5
Celtics 43.5
Grizzlies 40.5
Pacers 39.5
Mavericks 39.5
Heat 37.5
Kings 36.5
Raptors 34.5
Blazers 33.5
Bulls 32.5
Suns 31.5
Pelicans 31.5
Nets 21.5
Wizards 20.5
Jazz 18.5
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 5:27 pm
by douggood
easy over
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 5:35 pm
by OakleyDokely
I like:
Under on ORL, ATL, DET
Over on CLE, SA, TOR, NO
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 5:35 pm
by NinjaBro
I don't bet on sports but easy money, take the over
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 5:43 pm
by KRANG
Easy under on the Pistons
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 5:44 pm
by PushDaRock
The Over should be smashed but issue with bets like this are they take till the end of the season to pay out and your funds are locked up till then.
If we have reasonable health and don't pivot to a tank again though, this should be fairly close to a lock.
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 5:46 pm
by dhackett1565
Yeah, pretty easy over. I did some fiddling with win shares, BPM and EPM to try to project a team net rating and win total, and that's all based on last year's performances (which should be a floor for this year), and I kept getting results right around .500. So, 40 ish wins as a likely floor, and in my opinion a lot of upside from there.
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 5:55 pm
by kalel123
I'd like to think over but it's a fair number considering recent history and the injury risk. Basically, Brandon Ingram is a huge mystery and huge injury risk. Quickley's been in and out of lineups forever for whatever reason and Barnes probably doesn't play 65 games if he wasn't dead set on being in consideration for All-NBA and super max. Poeltl's probably in and out half due to injury and half due to tanking but there's huge impact whenever he's out due to team's lack of size. So that's 4 out of 5 in starting lineup with risk on a roster whose ceiling is probably not very high to begin with. So 34.5 is fair estimate.
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 6:03 pm
by WuTang_CMB
.500 is the floor for this team next season. But I'm expecting 45 wins. This gotta go over unless major injuries.
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 6:04 pm
by Zeno
I don't gamble but it always struck me as stupid that people bet on over/unders for 8 months down the line and just hand their money over interest free for that period. Anyway easy over.
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 6:16 pm
by DreamTeam09
Lakers is dumb high, lol
Mavs too low
Raptors too low
Pistons too high
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 6:21 pm
by bballsparkin
NinjaBro wrote:I don't bet on sports but easy money, take the over
Almost makes me want to bet.
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 6:22 pm
by niQ
When you finally win your Wins Total bet.
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 6:28 pm
by Kingsway_fan
OakleyDokely wrote: The NBA's offseason activity has slowed down, allowing oddsmakers to post next season's NBA win totals on ESPN BET and theScore Bet.
Thunder 62.5
Cavaliers 55.5
Rockets 54.5
Knicks 53.5
Nuggets 53.5
Magic 51.5
Timberwolves 50.5
Lakers 48.5
Warriors 46.5
Hawks 46.5
Clippers 45.5
Pistons 45.5
Bucks 44.5
Spurs 43.5
76ers 43.5
Celtics 43.5
Grizzlies 40.5
Pacers 39.5
Mavericks 39.5
Heat 37.5
Kings 36.5
Raptors 34.5
Blazers 33.5
Bulls 32.5
Suns 31.5
Pelicans 31.5
Nets 21.5
Wizards 20.5
Jazz 18.5
Pelicans with 4th worst, and they gifted their 1st pick, lol
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 6:45 pm
by OakleyDokely
Kingsway_fan wrote:OakleyDokely wrote: The NBA's offseason activity has slowed down, allowing oddsmakers to post next season's NBA win totals on ESPN BET and theScore Bet.
Thunder 62.5
Cavaliers 55.5
Rockets 54.5
Knicks 53.5
Nuggets 53.5
Magic 51.5
Timberwolves 50.5
Lakers 48.5
Warriors 46.5
Hawks 46.5
Clippers 45.5
Pistons 45.5
Bucks 44.5
Spurs 43.5
76ers 43.5
Celtics 43.5
Grizzlies 40.5
Pacers 39.5
Mavericks 39.5
Heat 37.5
Kings 36.5
Raptors 34.5
Blazers 33.5
Bulls 32.5
Suns 31.5
Pelicans 31.5
Nets 21.5
Wizards 20.5
Jazz 18.5
Pelicans with 4th worst, and they gifted their 1st pick, lol
Queen better be really really good.
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 7:17 pm
by Rapsalot
So much of this depends on health but is we get 85+% of starters starts outside of BI who I would rest one of back to backs. Maybe same for Jak some
I could see us 40-45 depending on matchups and schedules. Example a Texas road B to B vs say NO then Houston we have a better chance of going 500 vs Dallas & Spurs B to B.
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 7:27 pm
by Spida888
Smash that over button. We got 30 wins last year due to lots of injuries and deliberate tanking. I would be very surprised if are under.
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 7:29 pm
by Clutch0z24
We have a injury risk roster....So there are reasons to believe we under achieve again next season.....Even Barnes hasn't been the healthiest since his rookie season.....We are a Yak/Ingram injury away from having really bad few weeks without them to be back in the tanking ranges....
With a healthy and all things go well season....We will prolly be in that 40-44 win range....But its a big if with the injury history of a few guys....
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 7:33 pm
by Troubadour
Puts the Raptors at 11th in the Eastern Conference and about what I expect for this group.
Re: NBA Win Totals (Raptors at 34.5)
Posted: Wed Jul 9, 2025 7:38 pm
by SFour
the under is only possible with a heavy amount of injuries