In Defense of Hayward
Posted: Fri Jun 25, 2010 2:23 am
First off let me say that this is certainly not the pick that I was hoping for. I wanted the Jazz to either go for a scoring swing-man (George/Henry/Anderson) or a good low-post presence (Monroe, Davis, Sanders, Aldrich). Hayward could possibly be a good scorer but I see him being as more of a complimentary role player that can hit open shots and make a good extra pass. If you are looking for a similar player in the NBA Mike Dunleavy Jr might be your man. Dunleavy, when he is on the court, has been a decent player but never lived up to his status of being the third pick.
I think that Hayward is going to be a much better defender that Dunleavy ever was which will help keep him on the court more - but he will never be as good as a guy like Wes Mathews or even CJ Miles for that matter.
Hayward didn't shoot very well in his sophomore season for Butler, but he shot 44% in his Freshman season from 3. Part of the reason that his percentages dropped was because he suddenly became the focus of every defense he faced and was forced to take more shots at the end of the shot clock.
One of the advantages of this defensive attention was that Hayward was forced to take the ball into the lane. As the season wore on his ability to get into the heart of the defense grew and he was able to score effectively and create for teammates. One of the big questions of this ability translating into the NBA is if he has the foot-speed necessary to get past defenders. Surprisingly Hayward did really well in the agility test sprinting the entire court in 3.22 seconds (faster than Stanley Robinson, and Evan Turner). This put him into the upper quarter of all prospects in this year's draft.
Unfortunately he also was in the bottom quarter of all prospects in the agility test. This indicates that either his lateral quickness is very poor (which means he would be a bad defender) or that he doesn't drop all the way down into his defensive stance (which is very correctable). I can tell you from watching him in the NCAA tournament that the latter is the case. He is very bad about standing on defense, so even though he puts forth great effort opposing players can get around him relatively easily. I think that a season under Jerry Sloan will be enough to correct this and he will be a decent defender. He also has a no-step vertical of 31 inches, which is incredible (and this puts his no-step reach at 11 feet 3 inches) and a max vertical of 35 inches. That number alone suggests that he is not a bad athlete and will be a decent defender.
Offensively he will be a nice complimentary piece to Boozer and Williams to spread the floor and take some ball handling duties when Deron is double-teamed. He was a point guard in high school and has proven to have great court vision. Well, I guess the point guard thing isn't really relevant, almost every good player was a point guard in high school - but he was the main ball-handler for Butler and would be a nice option to have on offense. If you watch Hayward's shooting form, it is fantastic. His three point percentage dropped drastically from his freshman to sophomore hear (from 44% to 29%), but as I have said, a lot of that is due to the way defenses treated him. Hopefully on offense Deron will be able to do the same thing for Gordon Hayward that he did for Mehmet Okur and turn him into a great offensive option just due to how open he can get. And, with Hayward's speed he will be great coming off of screens (like Korver and Harpring) and hitting the patented curl shot and elbow three (again, see Memo and Korver).
Finally there is the loyalty factor. Hayward seems like a very down to earth kid (he is only 20) that would love to stay on the team that he is drafted by. He has expressed interest in playing for the Jazz and benefiting from their system - and I think that part of Utah's decision was whether or not the player they drafted would still be here 8 to 10 years down the line.
Hopefully this sets some of you at ease and helps you to know what your expectations should be for Hayward. I honestly was hoping for a more aggressive pick with better upside - but I think that ultimately Hayward will be a career player for the Jazz that helps our team significantly.
I think that Hayward is going to be a much better defender that Dunleavy ever was which will help keep him on the court more - but he will never be as good as a guy like Wes Mathews or even CJ Miles for that matter.
Hayward didn't shoot very well in his sophomore season for Butler, but he shot 44% in his Freshman season from 3. Part of the reason that his percentages dropped was because he suddenly became the focus of every defense he faced and was forced to take more shots at the end of the shot clock.
One of the advantages of this defensive attention was that Hayward was forced to take the ball into the lane. As the season wore on his ability to get into the heart of the defense grew and he was able to score effectively and create for teammates. One of the big questions of this ability translating into the NBA is if he has the foot-speed necessary to get past defenders. Surprisingly Hayward did really well in the agility test sprinting the entire court in 3.22 seconds (faster than Stanley Robinson, and Evan Turner). This put him into the upper quarter of all prospects in this year's draft.
Unfortunately he also was in the bottom quarter of all prospects in the agility test. This indicates that either his lateral quickness is very poor (which means he would be a bad defender) or that he doesn't drop all the way down into his defensive stance (which is very correctable). I can tell you from watching him in the NCAA tournament that the latter is the case. He is very bad about standing on defense, so even though he puts forth great effort opposing players can get around him relatively easily. I think that a season under Jerry Sloan will be enough to correct this and he will be a decent defender. He also has a no-step vertical of 31 inches, which is incredible (and this puts his no-step reach at 11 feet 3 inches) and a max vertical of 35 inches. That number alone suggests that he is not a bad athlete and will be a decent defender.
Offensively he will be a nice complimentary piece to Boozer and Williams to spread the floor and take some ball handling duties when Deron is double-teamed. He was a point guard in high school and has proven to have great court vision. Well, I guess the point guard thing isn't really relevant, almost every good player was a point guard in high school - but he was the main ball-handler for Butler and would be a nice option to have on offense. If you watch Hayward's shooting form, it is fantastic. His three point percentage dropped drastically from his freshman to sophomore hear (from 44% to 29%), but as I have said, a lot of that is due to the way defenses treated him. Hopefully on offense Deron will be able to do the same thing for Gordon Hayward that he did for Mehmet Okur and turn him into a great offensive option just due to how open he can get. And, with Hayward's speed he will be great coming off of screens (like Korver and Harpring) and hitting the patented curl shot and elbow three (again, see Memo and Korver).
Finally there is the loyalty factor. Hayward seems like a very down to earth kid (he is only 20) that would love to stay on the team that he is drafted by. He has expressed interest in playing for the Jazz and benefiting from their system - and I think that part of Utah's decision was whether or not the player they drafted would still be here 8 to 10 years down the line.
Hopefully this sets some of you at ease and helps you to know what your expectations should be for Hayward. I honestly was hoping for a more aggressive pick with better upside - but I think that ultimately Hayward will be a career player for the Jazz that helps our team significantly.