RealGM

RunOKC wrote:Remaining games:

@DEN
@POR
ATL
DET
PHO
POR
@UTA
@LAL
@LAC

We have to split with POR at worst while definitely losing to DET to have a good shot at top 3. Tough but looks doable. LAC/LAL may not care by that point of the season unfortunately and may be sitting starters. 4th isn't the end of the world with the odds being flattened though.

4th is like last year, no lotto and you be picking a giddey at 6

we need a mobley or a cade, not giddeys

if clips lose play in at least we had one more chance, 4,8% + 48.1% of the #4

pick 6 vs

2021 giddey
2020 okongwu, wtf this even play?
2019 Jarrett Culver, Texas Tech – Minnesota Timberwolves
2018 Mohamed Bamba, Texas – Orlando Magic
2017 Jonathan Isaac, Florida State – Orlando Magic
2016 Buddy Hield, Oklahoma – New Orleans Pelicans
2015 Willie Cauley-Stein, Kentucky – Sacramento Kings
2014 Marcus Smart, Oklahoma St. – Boston Celtics
2013 Nerlens Noel, Kentucky – New Orleans Pelicans
2012 Damian Lillard, Weber State – Portland Trail Blazers unique star
2011 Jan Vesely, Czech Republic – Washington Wizards
2010 Ekpe Udoh, Baylor – Golden State Warriors

2000’s

2009 Johnny Flynn, Syracuse – Minnesota Timberwolves
2008 Danilo Gallinari, Italy – New York Knicks
2007 Yi Jianlian, China – Milwaukee Bucks
2006 Brandon Roy, Washington – Minnesota Timberwolves injuries fcked him
2005 Martell Webster, Seattle Prep HS – Portland Trail Blazers
2004 Josh Childress, Stanford – Atlanta Hawks
2003 Chris Kaman, Central Michigan – L.A. Clippers
2002 Dajuan Wagner, Memphis – Cleveland Cavaliers
2001 Shane Battier, Duke – Memphis Grizzlies
2000 DerMarr Johnson, Cincinnati – Atlanta Hawks

2/20 players were stars, only one really

pick 3:

2021 mobley
2020 Ball
2019 RJ Barrett, Duke – New York Knicks
2018 Luka Doncic, Slovenia – Dallas Mavericks
2017 Jayson Tatum, Duke – Boston Celtics
2016 Jaylen Brown, California – Boston Celtics
2015 Jahlil Okafor, Duke – Philadelphia 76ers
2014 Joel Embiid, Kansas – Philadelphia 76ers
2013 Otto Porter, Georgetown – Washington Wizards
2012 Bradley Beal, Florida – Washington Wizards
2011 Enes Kanter, Kentucky – Utah Jazz
2010 Derrick Favors, Georgia Tech – New Jersey Nets

2000’s

2009 James Harden, Arizona State – Oklahoma City Thunder
2008 O.J. Mayo, USC – Minnesota Timberwolves
2007 Al Horford, Florida – Atlanta Hawks
2006 Adam Morrison, Gonzaga – Charlotte Bobcats
2005 Deron Williams, Illinois – Utah Jazz
2004 Ben Gordon, Connecticut – Chicago Bulls
2003 Carmelo Anthony, Syracuse – Denver Nuggets
2002 Mike Dunleavy, Duke – Golden State Warriors
2001 Pau Gasol, Spain – Atlanta Hawks
2000 Darius Miles, East St. Louis HS (Mo.) – L.A. Clippers

12 stars, 4-5 mvp level players

Dadouv47 wrote:

Big nick wrote:What I don't understand is that the LA clippers pick which we own,is just outside the lottery with a worst record than Atlanta and Orlando which is in the lottery. This is according to tankathon.

Well you can't be a playoff team and be in the lottery. Eastern teams have a better record so that's why.

We got unlucky LAC overperformed without their stars and the west is very weak this season.

Gonna need Clippers to lose against Wolves and LAL/Pels for the pick to be in the lottery. Wolves are playing very well right now but PG13 should come back before the end of the RS.[/quote
ok I get that but hawks and magic are in the playin just like lac I can get my head around that.

timO wrote:

RunOKC wrote:Remaining games:

@DEN
@POR
ATL
DET
PHO
POR
@UTA
@LAL
@LAC

We have to split with POR at worst while definitely losing to DET to have a good shot at top 3. Tough but looks doable. LAC/LAL may not care by that point of the season unfortunately and may be sitting starters. 4th isn't the end of the world with the odds being flattened though.

4th is like last year, no lotto and you be picking a giddey at 6

we need a mobley or a cade, not giddeys

if clips lose play in at least we had one more chance, 4,8% + 48.1% of the #4

You act like anyone wants to finish 4th vs. 1-3rd lol. You can still end up 6th if you're in the 2/3 spots btw. We are trying to tank as best we can, but so is everyone else. OKC is sending out worse lineups than ORL/DET/HOU the last few weeks.

Well it's done.

No SGA, no Giddey, Bazley with a fracture, Dort got surgery....damn tough end of the season.

A bit worried about SGA's health for the future of his career even if they are obviously being cautious.

I don’t think the injuries are fake but if we were a playoff team, I don’t think shai or Giddey would be getting shut down.

Shut down Isaiah Roby?

Gonna end up with the 4th worst record and that's fine with the lottery odds. Almost a coin flip (48.1%), we deserve to win one after last season.

Fine with the Lotto yes like the past year, then Will be 5-7

So another giddey at best incoming

RunOKC wrote:

timO wrote:

RunOKC wrote:Remaining games:

@DEN
@POR
ATL
DET
PHO
POR
@UTA
@LAL
@LAC

We have to split with POR at worst while definitely losing to DET to have a good shot at top 3. Tough but looks doable. LAC/LAL may not care by that point of the season unfortunately and may be sitting starters. 4th isn't the end of the world with the odds being flattened though.

4th is like last year, no lotto and you be picking a giddey at 6

we need a mobley or a cade, not giddeys

if clips lose play in at least we had one more chance, 4,8% + 48.1% of the #4

You act like anyone wants to finish 4th vs. 1-3rd lol. You can still end up 6th if you're in the 2/3 spots btw. We are trying to tank as best we can, but so is everyone else. OKC is sending out worse lineups than ORL/DET/HOU the last few weeks.

There are people here being fine with the #4 like we win the Lotto hahahha, another wasted year this rebuildibg gonna take so long...

timO wrote:

RunOKC wrote:

timO wrote:
4th is like last year, no lotto and you be picking a giddey at 6

we need a mobley or a cade, not giddeys

if clips lose play in at least we had one more chance, 4,8% + 48.1% of the #4

You act like anyone wants to finish 4th vs. 1-3rd lol. You can still end up 6th if you're in the 2/3 spots btw. We are trying to tank as best we can, but so is everyone else. OKC is sending out worse lineups than ORL/DET/HOU the last few weeks.

There are people here being fine with the #4 like we win the Lotto hahahha, another wasted year this rebuildibg gonna take so long...

I'm sorry but u should look calmly at the new lottery odds. I would obviously prefer to have a bottom 3 record but the gap between bottom 3 and bottom 4 isn't that big. Math based we had almost 80% of a top 5 pick last season, we just got unlucky.

Houston is going to have only 52% at a 4 top pick once again, it's just over 4% more than us. Tanking always help but u need luck with those new lottery odds.

New lottery odds prevent a team from tanking to get Cade/Victor Wembanyama or the next Lebron. Gotta need to hit on your 14% odds at best.

Dadouv47 wrote:

timO wrote:

RunOKC wrote:You act like anyone wants to finish 4th vs. 1-3rd lol. You can still end up 6th if you're in the 2/3 spots btw. We are trying to tank as best we can, but so is everyone else. OKC is sending out worse lineups than ORL/DET/HOU the last few weeks.

There are people here being fine with the #4 like we win the Lotto hahahha, another wasted year this rebuildibg gonna take so long...

I'm sorry but u should look calmly at the new lottery odds. I would obviously prefer to have a bottom 3 record but the gap between bottom 3 and bottom 4 isn't that big. Math based we had almost 80% of a top 5 pick last season, we just got unlucky.

Houston is going to have only 52% at a 4 top pick once again, it's just over 4% more than us. Tanking always help but u need luck with those new lottery odds.

New lottery odds prevent a team from tanking to get Cade/Victor Wembanyama or the next Lebron. Gotta need to hit on your 14% odds at best.

if a team from 5-14 win the lottery, or if 2 or 3 teams do it

u pick at 5-6-7

the #1 worst position gonna be top 5 and the top4 is like 90% secure

with the pick 4 pre lotto, u are out of top 4 52%

im going to simulate 11 times on tankathon:

1-6-1-6-2-6-6-3-6-2-4

6 5 times
4 1

and orlando right now #1:

2-2-4-3-3-5-5-2-5-2-4

5 3 times
4 2

timO wrote:

Dadouv47 wrote:

timO wrote:
There are people here being fine with the #4 like we win the Lotto hahahha, another wasted year this rebuildibg gonna take so long...

I'm sorry but u should look calmly at the new lottery odds. I would obviously prefer to have a bottom 3 record but the gap between bottom 3 and bottom 4 isn't that big. Math based we had almost 80% of a top 5 pick last season, we just got unlucky.

Houston is going to have only 52% at a 4 top pick once again, it's just over 4% more than us. Tanking always help but u need luck with those new lottery odds.

New lottery odds prevent a team from tanking to get Cade/Victor Wembanyama or the next Lebron. Gotta need to hit on your 14% odds at best.

if a team from 5-14 win the lottery, or if 2 or 3 teams do it

u pick at 5-6-7

the #1 worst position gonna be top 5 and the top4 is like 90% secure

with the pick 4 pre lotto, u are out of top 4 52%

im going to simulate 11 times on tankathon:

1-6-1-6-2-6-6-3-6-2-4

6 5 times
4 1

and orlando right now #1:

2-2-4-3-3-5-5-2-5-2-4

5 3 times
4 2

the worst record has 48%+ of getting the 5th pick, so u wrong saying top 4 is 90% secured.

Think u should look at odds more than some simulator.

Road to pick #5, only Lotto can save this terrible season, or ruin it even more with a pick 7-8.

By looking at indys and our strength of remaining schedules it appears we will slip to at least 5. That's just great.

Finally 4 pre lotto.

I sign the #3 post lotto and Banchero.