WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | UTA 4-2

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Series Prediction

Thunder in 4
1
1%
Thunder in 5
6
8%
Thunder in 6
20
25%
Thunder in 7
6
8%
Jazz in 4
0
No votes
Jazz in 5
17
22%
Jazz in 6
25
32%
Jazz in 7
4
5%
 
Total votes: 79

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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#521 » by bondom34 » Fri Apr 20, 2018 4:24 pm

slick_watts wrote:
bondom34 wrote:
Kizz Fastfists wrote:
Utah, as a team, still shot below their regular season average from 3. Would you have felt better if Rubio had been 2-8, Mitchell had been 2-7 and Crowder had been 1-3?

So did okc game 2. Adams was also a non factor in a matchup he usually wins and Russ hasn't had a good game yet. Would you feel better if either of them played to their average once?


russ is going to have problems with ricky and gobert no matter what. it seems hopeless, the way he is playing.

I'd hope that at some point he has a good game. We haven't seen it yet offensively and you said it yourself last game, if Rubio is out playing him they're not going to win.
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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#522 » by Pillendreher » Fri Apr 20, 2018 4:29 pm

spearsy23 wrote:Schematically Russ is going over screens and the roll man is taking a deep drop specifically to force Rubio into mid-range shots. If he repeatedly hits them that's not on Russ or Adams, that's when you either concede it's not working or you live and die on the percentages. I can't watch Slick's link right now, but anecdotally there are definitely times when a mediocre or even bad shooter starts making shots at a high percentage and seems to make more difficult ones in addition. To me that means you need to adjust your defense, but that's a Donovan issue. I also hate the deep drop and Chase over picks look because it allows penetration which almost always results in scrambling defense at the very least.


Adams wasn't dropping back tho. They were semi-trapping those actions with Adams leaving Gobert and Russ lagging behind the play. And that's when Melo comes into play.
"I don't know of any player that, when the shot goes up, he doesn't want it to go in," Donovan said
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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#523 » by dakomish23 » Fri Apr 20, 2018 5:16 pm

Pillendreher wrote:
spearsy23 wrote:Schematically Russ is going over screens and the roll man is taking a deep drop specifically to force Rubio into mid-range shots. If he repeatedly hits them that's not on Russ or Adams, that's when you either concede it's not working or you live and die on the percentages. I can't watch Slick's link right now, but anecdotally there are definitely times when a mediocre or even bad shooter starts making shots at a high percentage and seems to make more difficult ones in addition. To me that means you need to adjust your defense, but that's a Donovan issue. I also hate the deep drop and Chase over picks look because it allows penetration which almost always results in scrambling defense at the very least.


Adams wasn't dropping back tho. They were semi-trapping those actions with Adams leaving Gobert and Russ lagging behind the play. And that's when Melo comes into play.


Is it on Russ to go to the man in the corner when that happens? Because when someone picked up the the roll guy, Rubio was sitting and waiting.
:lol: :lol: :lol:

Spoiler:
https://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?f=24&t=1592147&start=1720#p57345128

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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#524 » by dakomish23 » Fri Apr 20, 2018 5:23 pm

bondom34 wrote:
Pillendreher wrote:
bondom34 wrote:The scouting report is literally to let Rubio shoot. This was one of the games Westbrook was fine defensively. If Rubio shoots 5-8 for 3, you live with it.


No, he wasn't fine. Far from it. He was either too far away leaving him completely uncovered or much too close giving him the opportunity to drive by him, forcing Adams to help. The way Russ defended him this game was the main reason for our defensive struggles. Going over screens when he should be going under them. Giving him room to drive when he should have forced him to shoot. Giving him too much room to shoot. This was all evident in the 2nd quarter when he was trying to get back at Ricky Martin on both ends of the floor.

bondom34 wrote:You don't live with Melo being too immobile to defend basic actions.

Grant has to come in for him.


Melo literally had the best On/Off DRtG in this game by far.

Melo had that rating because of who he's on court with.

And yes, that was the plan. The literal plan was to let Rubio shoot. He did in game 1 and they won because of it. He did in 2 and they lost because of it. 1 game on/off stats are meaningless. Russ had the 3rd best D on/off. So where does that put it?


Would you easily dismiss it if he had a bad rating?

There is a difference between the quality of the Rubio had in game one versus game two. How many wide open corner 3’s did he take in game 1 versus game 2?
:lol: :lol: :lol:

Spoiler:
https://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?f=24&t=1592147&start=1720#p57345128





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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#525 » by Pillendreher » Fri Apr 20, 2018 5:34 pm

dakomish23 wrote:
Pillendreher wrote:
spearsy23 wrote:Schematically Russ is going over screens and the roll man is taking a deep drop specifically to force Rubio into mid-range shots. If he repeatedly hits them that's not on Russ or Adams, that's when you either concede it's not working or you live and die on the percentages. I can't watch Slick's link right now, but anecdotally there are definitely times when a mediocre or even bad shooter starts making shots at a high percentage and seems to make more difficult ones in addition. To me that means you need to adjust your defense, but that's a Donovan issue. I also hate the deep drop and Chase over picks look because it allows penetration which almost always results in scrambling defense at the very least.


Adams wasn't dropping back tho. They were semi-trapping those actions with Adams leaving Gobert and Russ lagging behind the play. And that's when Melo comes into play.


Is it on Russ to go to the man in the corner when that happens? Because when someone picked up the the roll guy, Rubio was sitting and waiting.


If Russ leaves Rubio, he has to do something. The defensive strategy can't be 'You just take the possession off'.
"I don't know of any player that, when the shot goes up, he doesn't want it to go in," Donovan said
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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#526 » by bondom34 » Fri Apr 20, 2018 5:35 pm

dakomish23 wrote:
bondom34 wrote:
Pillendreher wrote:
No, he wasn't fine. Far from it. He was either too far away leaving him completely uncovered or much too close giving him the opportunity to drive by him, forcing Adams to help. The way Russ defended him this game was the main reason for our defensive struggles. Going over screens when he should be going under them. Giving him room to drive when he should have forced him to shoot. Giving him too much room to shoot. This was all evident in the 2nd quarter when he was trying to get back at Ricky Martin on both ends of the floor.



Melo literally had the best On/Off DRtG in this game by far.

Melo had that rating because of who he's on court with.

And yes, that was the plan. The literal plan was to let Rubio shoot. He did in game 1 and they won because of it. He did in 2 and they lost because of it. 1 game on/off stats are meaningless. Russ had the 3rd best D on/off. So where does that put it?


Would you easily dismiss it if he had a bad rating?

There is a difference between the quality of the Rubio had in game one versus game two. How many wide open corner 3’s did he take in game 1 versus game 2?

The ones he helped off because of a screen on Melo or Mitchell beating PG?

The whole Twitter thread posted is Melo getting beat
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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#527 » by dakomish23 » Fri Apr 20, 2018 5:45 pm

bondom34 wrote:
dakomish23 wrote:
bondom34 wrote:Melo had that rating because of who he's on court with.

And yes, that was the plan. The literal plan was to let Rubio shoot. He did in game 1 and they won because of it. He did in 2 and they lost because of it. 1 game on/off stats are meaningless. Russ had the 3rd best D on/off. So where does that put it?


Would you easily dismiss it if he had a bad rating?

There is a difference between the quality of the Rubio had in game one versus game two. How many wide open corner 3’s did he take in game 1 versus game 2?

The ones he helped off because of a screen on Melo or Mitchell beating PG?

The whole Twitter thread posted is Melo getting beat


They run a Favors PnR. Favors gets the ball at the FT line b/c OKC is trapping the ball handler. Favors kicks it to a wide open Rubio in the corner.

Was that the quality of fga Rubio was getting in game 1? Or was it contested off the dribble fadeaways.

I didn’t see anything the Twitter thread.

Would you dismiss the bad rating like you are the good?
:lol: :lol: :lol:

Spoiler:
https://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?f=24&t=1592147&start=1720#p57345128





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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#528 » by bondom34 » Fri Apr 20, 2018 5:49 pm

dakomish23 wrote:
bondom34 wrote:
dakomish23 wrote:
Would you easily dismiss it if he had a bad rating?

There is a difference between the quality of the Rubio had in game one versus game two. How many wide open corner 3’s did he take in game 1 versus game 2?

The ones he helped off because of a screen on Melo or Mitchell beating PG?

The whole Twitter thread posted is Melo getting beat


They run a Favors PnR. Favors gets the ball at the FT line b/c OKC is trapping the ball handler. Favors kicks it to a wide open Rubio in the corner.

Was that the quality of fga Rubio was getting in game 1? Or was it contested off the dribble fadeaways

Both.

Game 1 he shot 2 of 13 on uncontested shots. Game 2 he shot 5 of 11.
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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#529 » by bondom34 » Fri Apr 20, 2018 5:49 pm

dakomish23 wrote:
bondom34 wrote:
dakomish23 wrote:
Would you easily dismiss it if he had a bad rating?

There is a difference between the quality of the Rubio had in game one versus game two. How many wide open corner 3’s did he take in game 1 versus game 2?

The ones he helped off because of a screen on Melo or Mitchell beating PG?

The whole Twitter thread posted is Melo getting beat


They run a Favors PnR. Favors gets the ball at the FT line b/c OKC is trapping the ball handler. Favors kicks it to a wide open Rubio in the corner.

Was that the quality of fga Rubio was getting in game 1? Or was it contested off the dribble fadeaways

Both.

Game 1 he shot 2 of 13 on uncontested shots. Game 2 he shot 5 of 11.
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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#530 » by Andre Roberstan » Fri Apr 20, 2018 6:27 pm

dakomish23 wrote:
Pillendreher wrote:
spearsy23 wrote:Schematically Russ is going over screens and the roll man is taking a deep drop specifically to force Rubio into mid-range shots. If he repeatedly hits them that's not on Russ or Adams, that's when you either concede it's not working or you live and die on the percentages. I can't watch Slick's link right now, but anecdotally there are definitely times when a mediocre or even bad shooter starts making shots at a high percentage and seems to make more difficult ones in addition. To me that means you need to adjust your defense, but that's a Donovan issue. I also hate the deep drop and Chase over picks look because it allows penetration which almost always results in scrambling defense at the very least.


Adams wasn't dropping back tho. They were semi-trapping those actions with Adams leaving Gobert and Russ lagging behind the play. And that's when Melo comes into play.


Is it on Russ to go to the man in the corner when that happens? Because when someone picked up the the roll guy, Rubio was sitting and waiting.


Tagger is supposed to just tag and recover back to his guy, but some teams are moving away from even having a tagger at all because it opens up the corner 3. OKC is...apparently not one of them.

If the backside help has to go another direction or can't get back in time, someone has to rotate to help on the kickout, and then another guy has to help on the man who's left open. If the guy trapping the box or sinking and filling gets caught out, someone has to get out to cover the kickout, and then the other guy performs an X-out, where they cross paths to make sure no one gets left out.

It's a bit confusing to explain, but there's a great explanation from Dylan Murphy on the Basketball Dictionary:

https://medium.com/the-basketball-dictionary/x-out-78e01e2e4c9d
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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | OKC 1-0 

Post#531 » by AGE1207 » Fri Apr 20, 2018 6:40 pm

Knrstz wrote:
AGE1207 wrote:
bondom34 wrote:In shambles.

OKC has the better top talent.

Utah has the better team.


Correct summary.
Jazz probably with the better coach too. OKC fans are going to sell themselves short if they simply blame the refs.
Taking out Adams to open up the paint was a Snyder plan.

Along with the plans of the other 28 coaches that was used against us all year. Snyder is a great coach but having Adams chase people on the perimeter isn’t a new issue for okc


I was referring to taking Adams out of the game, not out of the paint.
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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#532 » by Pillendreher » Sat Apr 21, 2018 8:21 am

Gameday! Let's regain the lead! Go Thunder!
"I don't know of any player that, when the shot goes up, he doesn't want it to go in," Donovan said
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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#533 » by Pillendreher » Sat Apr 21, 2018 9:31 am

Read on Twitter


Patterson needs more minutes. And he needs to make a shot. And get shot opportunities: Only two FGA so far. And one of them was a random putback attempt last game.
"I don't know of any player that, when the shot goes up, he doesn't want it to go in," Donovan said
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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#534 » by ducler » Sat Apr 21, 2018 12:37 pm

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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#535 » by Pillendreher » Sat Apr 21, 2018 7:03 pm

Read on Twitter
"I don't know of any player that, when the shot goes up, he doesn't want it to go in," Donovan said
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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#536 » by Thunder Up » Sat Apr 21, 2018 9:48 pm

This game is in the bag tonight
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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#537 » by hardenASG13 » Sat Apr 21, 2018 11:26 pm

Thunder Up wrote:This game is in the bag tonight


Would be nice, have heard horror stories of Utah at home. Feels like a big Westbrook game coming, 35-40 points
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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#538 » by Osirus89 » Sun Apr 22, 2018 12:03 am

hardenASG13 wrote:
Thunder Up wrote:This game is in the bag tonight


Would be nice, have heard horror stories of Utah at home. Feels like a big Westbrook game coming, 35-40 points


I would hope so. I just watched Jrue and AD both drop 40+ points. If these players are as good as they think they are..they need to step it up. Either that or they can shut the hell up.
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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#539 » by ThunderBolt » Sun Apr 22, 2018 2:14 am

I hope these first two possessions don’t foreshadow the version of russ we get to see tonight.
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Re: WCQF | (4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz (5) | TIED 1-1 

Post#540 » by Pillendreher » Sun Apr 22, 2018 2:19 am

I like that they're collapsing on random guys to give up open corner 3s
"I don't know of any player that, when the shot goes up, he doesn't want it to go in," Donovan said

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