spearsy23 wrote:Pillendreher wrote:spearsy23 wrote:I think it's something you have to strongly consider at this point.
I agree. The question is: Are they going to? They just traded two second round picks for Holiday, so it looks like they want to fight for a Playoff spot. On the other hand, they've been a bottom 5 team in NetRtG for two full months now. Right now they're 5.5 games behind the 8th spot, 538 gives them an 8 % chance of making the Playoffs and basketball-reference has them at 1 %. This is their schedule until the trade deadline:
Pelicans
Hornets
Kings
Pacers
Nuggets
Timberwolves
Hornets
Knicks
Timberwolves
They've lost 11 of their last 12. Could they go 2-7 till the deadline, putting them at 13 games below .500? Seems like a reasonable scenario.
Regarding Conley: That contract next to our already in place contracts combined with Conley's injury history scares me. And I honestly can't tell you how good he is right now. His boxscore looks kinda putrid, but the impact stats say he's still very good.
Conley's putting up 20/6/3 on 55% true shooting, that's certainly not putrid. His contract is the only reason we'd have a shot at him, assuming ownership will spend infinite dollars.
I guess I'm just weary of big trades like that because I fear that no matter what happens, it will be worse than expected.
Money wise, trading him for Roberson and Schröder would impact us as follows (Ferguson and Patterson option picked up, Noel and TLC option not picked up, Nader waived, no other signings next season):
Tax pre trade: $ 34 million 2019/2020, $ 0 million 2020/2021
Tax post trade: $ 58 million 2019/2020, $ 51 million 2020/2021
From what I could find, he has an ETO for 2020/2021 and the contract becomes fully guaranteed if he plays at least 55 games this year or next year, so I guess you have to account for that last season. That would mean Westbrook-Conley-George-Adams would combine for $ 138 million that season.