The grand design- same old or new?

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jambalaya
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Re: The grand design- same old or new? 

Post#161 » by jambalaya » Fri May 14, 2021 6:46 pm

Happened to notice Maledon's A/TO is tied for worst in league among PGs. Will need to improve. Among other things.
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1bigfan13
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Re: The grand design- same old or new? 

Post#162 » by 1bigfan13 » Sat May 15, 2021 4:01 pm

jambalaya wrote:Happened to notice Maledon's A/TO is tied for worst in league among PGs. Will need to improve. Among other things.


Given the circumstances of this season and the lack of experience and talent on the roster, I'm not too concerned about that.
jambalaya
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Re: The grand design- same old or new? 

Post#163 » by jambalaya » Sat May 15, 2021 10:58 pm

Here is a framework for evaluating / monitoring progress on team design:

Assuming a 10 man rotation / 2 for each position, how many of those slots are currently filled adequately and well?

Imo, right now based on performance to date, it is:

Adequate (around neutral impact or better)

PG 1 (Jerome), SG 1 (SGA), SF 1 (Williams), PF 1 (Deck) and Center 1 (Bradley). 5 slots not filled adequately.

How many are starters vs. subs? Right now these would be my starters if I wanted to win. Long-term it is probably 1-3 starters. Your ratings / slottings may of course vary.

By filled "well" (moderate positive impact or better)
it is SGA and nothing else.

Future quality guesses as of now would be different than current based on performance. I might do that later but this isn't that.

So, based on this, I'd say they are maybe about 50% of the way to demonstrated talent to play .500 or better, maybe 10-20% of way to being good and 5-10% of way to being very good or better.

This assumes the departure of Horford & Muscala and retention of Bradley.
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Re: The grand design- same old or new? 

Post#164 » by jambalaya » Fri May 28, 2021 4:05 pm

Take away SGA minutes with the departed Hill and Diallo, the likely to depart Horford and K Williams and the 200 plus minutes this season without them were a disaster at over -16 pts / 100 possessions. Even with K Williams was -4 pts / 100p without those other 3.

Give SGA the max or near max and build around him?
Need to massively reverse this year results with the rest of players and / or get lots of new players.

SGA played less than 20% of his minutes with K Williams. What will it be next season? By raw pair data, it probably be a lot higher. But it probably won't be very high due to all the options and prioritization of other guys.

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