Kizz Fastfists wrote:Galloisdaman wrote:You are saying things but your links do not match up. Please show me where Fauchi said 2.5 million American deaths. Not all experts have said that. Please show me 10 experts (not all) that have called for 2.5 million Americans dead. Not you doing what you think the math should be.
No one is saying the number on TV. They are all giving percentages because the education system in America has been systematically destroyed so the masses are incapable of understanding what they are being told if it isn't simple enough for a toddler to understand. You can find the percentages all over the place.
"Between 160 million and 214 million people in the United States could be infected over the course of the epidemic, according to a projection that encompasses the range of the four scenarios. That could last months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods, staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die."
"A report published March 13 in the journal Emerging Infectious Diseases adjusted for the potential time delay between hospitalization and death among cases in China. The authors estimated that, as of Feb. 11, the death rate from COVID-19 was as high as 12% in Wuhan, 4% in Hubei Province and 0.9% in the rest of China."
Before China started cooking the numbers to stop people from realizing how serious it was and that they needed to prepare the death rate reported was 12%. Then as it spread they lied about numbers and continue to. They are running cremations around the clock, but only reporting 5-10 deaths a day. If it is still in the 12% range then around the clock cremations make sense. If their deaths are back to normal it doesn't.
If you are incapable of understanding data then this will go over your head. If you actually understand the reality of this situation then you can put the numbers together. You can run your own extrapolation algorithm based on the data points and you'll know what is coming. I did my algorithms in January and as scary as they were they seem to have been optimistic as I didn't have us getting to this rate of infection and death for another 10 days or so. It is spreading faster then expected despite the attempts to slow it. We need to just tell everyone to return to normal and get it over with. All we are doing is delaying the inevitable.
With all due respect you are being intellectually dishonest. First of all it was you just earlier that said and I quote,
Now after I ask for proof of your claim you back track and say he never actually said it.Kizz Fastfists wrote:Which of Fauci's lies should I believe? That 2.5M will die or that less then 200K will die? He has said both in the last 5 days.
Now you say they only speak in percentages because Americans are incapable of understanding. That is ridiculous. In fact Fauci has used estimates of the number of deaths in worst case scenarios just this week.
Then even in your own link you cherry pick the worst you can find and leave out the title and headline.
Worst-Case Estimates for U.S. Coronavirus Deaths
Projections based on C.D.C. scenarios show a potentially vast toll. But those numbers don’t account for interventions now underway.
Hopefully I can do some basic math since I was a economics major who has been very successful in the securities field.
Your computations are often taking worst case scenarios while ignoring all possible positive variables.