Post#22 » by Kane2111 » Thu Jul 10, 2008 5:04 pm
Durant has the potential to be one of the greatest players of all time. What he did at age 19 was severely underrated. They were not even playing him at his natural position. After the allstar break the guy was averaging 20+ on like 50% shooting. If you want a hint at what kind of player Durant will end up, just look at his final game of the season: 42 points, 13 rebounds, 6 assists, 2 blocks 1 steal. It's not at all out of the question that he'll average 35+. I use to talk on some Sonics forums and say that Durant was very likely going to end up being the greatest athlete to EVER play in Seattle (better than Payton, Kemp, Griffey Jr, Arod, Randy Johnson, Ichiro, etc...) The guy is going to be a basketball god. Seriously. In some ways he was further along than either LeBron or Melo at the same age... and MUCH further along than Kobe was. Scary scary scary scary potential. He'll be on that LeBron/Kobe level. You Oklahoma fans probably don't even realize what you are getting yet. I don't blame you... the majority of Seattle fans had no clue either.
As for the comments about "he'll be gone after his rookie contract", don't be so sure. The way rookie contracts work has been changed. Durant will be here for the next 3 seasons under contract. The year after that he will be a restricted free agent. Any contract he gets offered in 2011/12 can be matched by Oklahoma. We're starting to see a lot of teams/rookies avoiding that situation by just extending the player prior to that year. So you'll likely see Durant get a max extension from Oklahoma in the 2010/11 season. I figure at the bare minimum Durant will be here for the next 6 or 7 years (like LeBron in Cleveland). The days of a rookies bolting after 4 years seem to be over. The rules favor the team and their ability to retain their own young stars. Durant will not be able to be an unrestricted free agent for several years. And at that point he will have been under contract for the past 7 (like LeBron) or 8 (like Melo) years... meaning that Oklahoma will have his bird rights on a contract where he'll probably already be making 17 or 18 million a year... so Oklahoma will have the capacity of extending him at massive amounts of money (starting at like 20+ a year) that other teams will not be able to match given the limits of free agent max contracts.
Teams expecting Durant to leave will have to hope that in 7 years Durant forces a sign-and-trade out of Oklahoma.