Wimbeldon 2010

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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#41 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Jul 6, 2010 6:35 pm

Ong_dynasty wrote:Oh I agree, without Nadal and for a few years Federer was unstoppable and probably could have reached 20 majors. But I also believe that his era before Nadal came and when Nadal was still young was a pretty weak era. I mean the best players he had to beat was Hewitt and Roddick. Now you can give me the whole well they won a slam and the likes of Murray, djokovic, Soderling, Del Potro, Tsonga and so forth have not (or only one one). But you can see from watching them who has more to their game. The only player who actually had the game to beat Federer was Safin, but he was never really able to put it together consistently. and I have not looked, but to highlight my point I bet you the current group have better records against Federer than the likes of Hewitt and Roddick.
The reason I brought up the Wimbledon and French double is because everybody knows thats the hardest double to win. I mean if he did win it 5x in a row (hypothetically speaking). he would have topped Borg at the age of 24 and outside of Borg and Federer (who won it by default as Nadal was not fit) no one has ever to do the double.
At the age of 24, Nadal is already dominating 2 surfaces and has a slam in the other. i mean that is more than Federer did at his age. and you are going to say "everybody knows that federer was a late bloomer". which is true. but who is to say that Nadal is not a late bloomer in hard court?! (can you even say that considering he already won a grand slam in it?). You can even make an argument that the way the grand slams are done skew federer's record and discredits Nadal's record. I mean imagine if there was only 1 grand slam for each surface or 2 grand slams for clay how different the record would be. I just find it so "2005" when people say Nadal is a clay court specialist when he was won grand slams on all surfaces already and regularly in the semi finals in hard courts (which people consider he is weak at).

I also think this highlights the differences between how people from America / Canada view greats in tennis and here in Europe. your ranking's (i remember reading them awhile back) weight significantly on number of majors, while we tend to put greater emphasis on the wimbledon and french double.


I think perceptions of strong & weak eras in tennis tend to be quite overblown. Consider that the "new, superior generation of talent" arose in 2007, and if you take out Nadal, Federer's slam record from 2007 through the 2010 Australian looks almost identical to what it was in the "weaker" era. And consider who the guys who Nadal loses to -, in 2008, his best year, other than Djokovic and Murray, he also lost to:

Youzhny
Tsonga
Seppi
Roddick
Davydenko
Ferrero
Simon

Whereas Federer in 2006 lost only to Nadal and Murray.

Nadal's not falling short of 4 & 5 loss seasons because of incredible competition that wasn't there 3 years before. He's just not as solid as Federer was at his peak.

Re: "Channel Slam" as they're now calling the French-Wimbledon double. Certainly winning it 5 times would be impressive. I'm not trying to diminish Nadal here - unless injuries derail him, I fully expect he and Federer to be the consensus picks for 1 & 2 among open era players by the time he's through (I don't think we'll ever get Laver out of the all-time discussion because of how people have wrongly fixated on his 2 Grand Slams).

In many way, what Nadal has already done is more impressive of a run than any who came before - except Federer, who at this point is still clearly above him in peak, prime, and longevity.

Re: "late bloomer". Late bloomer, in tennis, pretty much always means a mental change. Nadal's mental toughness was perfect from the beginning. He deserves much praise for this, but his gradual improvement on all surfaces has been of a man climbing toward his peak in a deliberate manner.

Re: "Nadal clay court specialist". I certainly wouldn't say this. He's developed far beyond this - an overall player for the ages. However he's still not the dominant 3 surface guy that basically only Federer has ever been. Until he does that, Fed's going to have the peak edge.

Re: "skewing of surfaces". This is a great point for discussion generally, and it's huge. So huge in fact that trying to boil it down just for Federer vs Nadal is dangerous.

Re: Weight on Wimbledon & French. Hmm, well, there's some arbitrariness to things, but I don't see how anyone can dismiss the US Open. Not saying I count it more than the other two (I consider Wimbledon greatest of all), but it's very clearly got a grand tradition. Beyond that, hard court is now the dominant surface on which tennis is played world wide. To give the bulk of the weight to two tournaments, neither of which are on the dominant surface, is kind of crazy imho.
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#42 » by NADALbULLS » Wed Jul 7, 2010 7:59 am

Good to see Nadal is skipping Davis Cup vs France. Good shot at the US Open after semis the last 2 years while being physically less that 100%. If he wins the US then he can complete THE RAFA SLAM in Australia next year, that being 4 slams titles in a row. Then after that is Roland Garros and a likely 5th slam title in row (and 6th Roland Garros equalling Borg).

All comes down to the US Open.

Regardless of THE RAFA SLAM being completed or not, he has a big chance at quickly getting to 11 (or 12 with THE RAFA SLAM) slams by this time next year. Beyond that it is impossible to predict what threats may emerge on tour or how long Nadal's prime years last, but Roland Garros and Wimbledon at the very least will continue to be big chances for Nadal so long as he treats tendonitis when required and rests. Probably should skip those Florida events just after the Australian Open, because that has created tendonitis flare-ups in the past.

There are no teenagers in the top 100 of ATP.
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#43 » by Doctor MJ » Thu Jul 8, 2010 12:42 am

NADALbULLS wrote:There are no teenagers in the top 100 of ATP.


Wow, didn't realize that. That's just sad.
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#44 » by Ong_dynasty » Thu Jul 8, 2010 11:47 am

^good for Nadal though!
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#45 » by Doctor MJ » Fri Jul 9, 2010 12:50 am

I guess. My primary concern is the continued development of the sport though.
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#46 » by Ong_dynasty » Fri Jul 9, 2010 8:21 am

Doctor MJ wrote:I guess. My primary concern is the continued development of the sport though.


That will come. As I said, i do think the current group of players are better than they were say 7 years ago. (depth wise)..in 3 or 4 years, new talent will come. It will always do.

I was wondering this, do you think Nadal will change the new breed of upcoming talent? i mean Federer did so by changing the game to a more baseline orientated game / just cant rely on your serve and volley.
Do you think the new crop of youngsters will be physically imposing / have ridiculous top spin?
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#47 » by Doctor MJ » Sat Jul 10, 2010 1:08 am

Ong_dynasty wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:I guess. My primary concern is the continued development of the sport though.


That will come. As I said, i do think the current group of players are better than they were say 7 years ago. (depth wise)..in 3 or 4 years, new talent will come. It will always do.

I was wondering this, do you think Nadal will change the new breed of upcoming talent? i mean Federer did so by changing the game to a more baseline orientated game / just cant rely on your serve and volley.
Do you think the new crop of youngsters will be physically imposing / have ridiculous top spin?


Well, yes and no.

Yes, Nadal and the best players do influence youngsters, but for the most part this isn't about proving old strategy wrong as it is about changing circumstances.

For example, what was actually most astonishing about Nadal's game early on was not his strengths but his weaknesses - becoming a top 2 player in the world with a poor serve. In the previous era, serve was THE most important thing. So important that they changed the balls and the groundskeeping to minimize the impact. You mentioned Federer's baseline play - but early in his career, he was a SnV guy at Wimbledon. He changed that as the technology changed. Nadal of course didn't choose to have a poor serve - he was just incredibly lucky with the changes in this era, it didn't hurt him nearly as badly as it would have in the previous era. (And to be fair, his serve has gotten a lot better)

I think the reality is though that both Federer and Nadal are unique players, and while you can try to approximate them, you won't get the whole thing. Nadal for example is incredibly strong, incredibly agile, incredibly mentally tough, and incredibly docile while having the incredible luck of having an uncle who was a professional tennis player who decided to devote his entire life to shaping Rafa's game. That combination is just not something you're going to be able to get very often. In the previous generation, Agassi was the closest thing to that and he falls short in every single one of those categories (not as strong, not as agile, not as mentally tough, not as docile, and his father wasn't a professional) - even as it's clear that Agassi had a combination that was incredibly rare to have.
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#48 » by Ong_dynasty » Sat Jul 10, 2010 11:13 am

^^^
I was not talking about mirroring Nadal fully, but more in a sense of upcoming players will realise the importance of be physically fit.
And I do agree with Nadal in his early years. ( i have always supported him since he was 17, due to the fact he is spanish), but even I knew he lacked "weapons" at the time and to be honest I never thought he would be anywhere as good as he is now.(at that time Gasquet was suppose to be the next best thing). I guess its greater credit to the man since he was never really the top prospect during his era
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#49 » by NADALbULLS » Sat Jul 10, 2010 12:44 pm

Even if a player is as fit as Nadal it will be difficult to duplicate his forehand, and make the ball leap so viciously off the surface. No other player has this skill, and you'd think somebody would have at least developed a poor man's version of it by now.

Most people assume Nadal is a gym-rat, but Nadal said he never goes to the gym by choice, and he only goes once or twice per month and it's because Uncle Toni literally forces him to go. His only exercise outside of tennis is swimming.

Also, he is right-handed but Uncle Toni made him play tennis left-handed so he could end up having a powerful backhand. His backhand passing shot has become the most powerful on tour.
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#50 » by Slava » Mon Jul 12, 2010 4:33 am

^Pretty interesting that because I've read a fitness magazine where Nadal basically gives out his conditioning regimen which includes hitting the gym for 4 days a week during the off season.
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#51 » by Slava » Mon Jul 12, 2010 4:36 am

Here you go.

http://www.mensfitness.com/sports_and_r ... hletes/154

What is a your weekly workout regimen when you're not playing in a tournament?
It all depends at what period of the season we are talking about. If we are in the pre-season, the gym work is higher. During the season I don't do much, I prefer to play tennis.
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#52 » by NADALbULLS » Wed Jul 14, 2010 8:04 am

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/moslive ... s-gym.html

I hate the gym.
I don’t spend much time in there and I never have done – I just don’t see why. I only ever run when there’s some point to it – say, if it’s in a game of tennis. I do a lot of aerobics in the pre-season period, but after that I keep fit by playing in tournaments. I also love playing football – my preferred position is striker. I can’t play as often as I’d like because of the injury risks.

- Rafael Nadal
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#53 » by Doctor MJ » Wed Jul 14, 2010 7:21 pm

Interesting. Those two quotes don't necessarily contradict each other.

I do think what's clear to me is that Nadal - like most players - is really helped by someone force him to work harder. And I'll admit, part of why I enjoy Federer in particular is because of how independent he is.
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#54 » by NADALbULLS » Thu Jul 15, 2010 2:05 am

Federer dropped off badly over the years, and without any good reason but perhaps the lack of a coach to push him into working on his game. He's an unforced-error machine off both wings (but hits enough winners to beat most players) and he rarely comes to the net and when he does his volleys don't look sharp against a decent pass. In the slams it doesn't matter so much, because nearly everyone is mentally incapable of finishing him off over 5 sets. It shows up more in best-of-3 where he rarely wins now.

As today's best players are gaining confidence though it makes it harder for him to comeback in slams when he's down a set. And interestingly he's shown a tendency to hand the match to his opponent in the 5th set with 6-2 losses at the US Open to Del Potro and Australian Open to Nadal despite neither player doing anything special to win the 5th set.
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#55 » by Doctor MJ » Fri Jul 16, 2010 8:39 pm

NADALbULLS wrote:Federer dropped off badly over the years, and without any good reason but perhaps the lack of a coach to push him into working on his game. He's an unforced-error machine off both wings (but hits enough winners to beat most players) and he rarely comes to the net and when he does his volleys don't look sharp against a decent pass. In the slams it doesn't matter so much, because nearly everyone is mentally incapable of finishing him off over 5 sets. It shows up more in best-of-3 where he rarely wins now.

As today's best players are gaining confidence though it makes it harder for him to comeback in slams when he's down a set. And interestingly he's shown a tendency to hand the match to his opponent in the 5th set with 6-2 losses at the US Open to Del Potro and Australian Open to Nadal despite neither player doing anything special to win the 5th set.


I think you're both overstating the recent dropoff and not considering the normal arch of a player's career. It's pretty typical for a player to have his peak at the age of 25 or earlier. That's what Federer did, after which conserved his focus and still with every slam either won it, or lost to the champ, until this year's French. Now he really looks like he's leaving his prime - at age 29, a perfectly reasonable age.

Still, I agree his stubbornness gets in the way at time. He's not mentally perfect, but the independence is huge because he didn't have people close to him running his life around tennis at a young age. I mean, Andre Agassi raised in Federer's environment doesn't come close to the ATP tour. For Federer to become arguably the GOAT without having that kind of help is astounding.
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#56 » by NADALbULLS » Sun Jul 18, 2010 10:38 am

Well I have no complaints about his demise. About time Nadal has some easy GS Finals after playing Federer in all but one of his first 8 GS Finals (and he met Federer in the semis of that one exception). Murray vs Nadal may be the new rivalry at Wimbledon, and that would be a lot like Federer vs Roddick, given that Nadal has won 6 sets in a row against Murray at Wimbledon.
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#57 » by Doctor MJ » Sun Jul 18, 2010 7:44 pm

NADALbULLS wrote:Well I have no complaints about his demise. About time Nadal has some easy GS Finals after playing Federer in all but one of his first 8 GS Finals (and he met Federer in the semis of that one exception). Murray vs Nadal may be the new rivalry at Wimbledon, and that would be a lot like Federer vs Roddick, given that Nadal has won 6 sets in a row against Murray at Wimbledon.


Hehe, well your feelings are fine. It's every fan's right.

Re: some easy finals. Y'know meeting Federer in the finals hasn't really been a big problem for Rafa, right? Both a good and a bad thing. That he's done so well against Federer is of course legendary. Because of it, if he accomplished no more after today, people would still talk about him for as long as they talk about Federer. The other side of the coin though is that that means what is keeping Nadal from having truly epic seasons is that he keeps losing to guys who are not anything like all-time great level players. When Nadal gets over the hump, it will be about consistently beating the B-listers, not about Federer.
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#58 » by NADALbULLS » Mon Jul 19, 2010 3:49 am

Doctor MJ wrote:
NADALbULLS wrote:Well I have no complaints about his demise. About time Nadal has some easy GS Finals after playing Federer in all but one of his first 8 GS Finals (and he met Federer in the semis of that one exception). Murray vs Nadal may be the new rivalry at Wimbledon, and that would be a lot like Federer vs Roddick, given that Nadal has won 6 sets in a row against Murray at Wimbledon.


Hehe, well your feelings are fine. It's every fan's right.

Re: some easy finals. Y'know meeting Federer in the finals hasn't really been a big problem for Rafa, right? Both a good and a bad thing. That he's done so well against Federer is of course legendary. Because of it, if he accomplished no more after today, people would still talk about him for as long as they talk about Federer. The other side of the coin though is that that means what is keeping Nadal from having truly epic seasons is that he keeps losing to guys who are not anything like all-time great level players. When Nadal gets over the hump, it will be about consistently beating the B-listers, not about Federer.


Well I still think Federer is the toughest Finals opponent, given that Nadal just beat Berdych in straight sets at Wimbledon in the boringest Final ever.

Well he hasn't lost to any B-graders at Wimbledon, and he hasn't lost to any B-graders at Roland Garros. The only B-graders are at Aust Open and Us Open, but to Nadal I don't think they are b-graders since Nadal has never been as good on hardcourts.

By b-graders though you mean Murray (beat Nadal 2008 USO and 2010 AO) and Del Potro (beat Nadal at 2009 USO) and Tsonga (beat Nadal at 2008 AO). Tsonga is a debatable b-grader because when he's playing well (very rare) he's able to beat anyone, although Nadal has won 4 in a row over Tsonga (all on hardcourt) and Tsonga hasn't won a slam, so he could be a b-grader. So that may just point to Nadal's improvement on hardcourt.

Nadal already got 8 slams at age 24, so the b-graders haven't got in the way of his slam dominance anyway. The main aim for Nadal to complete his legacy is:

- Keep winning Roland Garros (be the first man to win 8 of a slam, and maybe a lot more)
- Win as many Wimbledons as possible while Murray and Federer are the only rivals
- Win the US Open to complete the Career Grand Slam
- Set himself apart from everyone in history by winning 4 slams in a row
- Rack up more weeks at number one (current rankings- Nadal 10745, Djokovic 6905)
- And of course the final frontier is reaching Federer's total slams record, which may or may not be required if the other achievements are completed
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#59 » by Doctor MJ » Mon Jul 19, 2010 8:12 am

NADALbULLS wrote:Well I still think Federer is the toughest Finals opponent, given that Nadal just beat Berdych in straight sets at Wimbledon in the boringest Final ever.


Well certainly. Federer's the greatest player in history, so yes, he's the toughest opponent.

NADALbULLS wrote:Well he hasn't lost to any B-graders at Wimbledon, and he hasn't lost to any B-graders at Roland Garros. The only B-graders are at Aust Open and Us Open, but to Nadal I don't think they are b-graders since Nadal has never been as good on hardcourts.


Oh, is that all? Well shoot, what does "hard court" mean anyway, I say we just count the French & Wimbledon for double and forget about those pesky colonies! :wink:

NADALbULLS wrote:By b-graders though you mean Murray (beat Nadal 2008 USO and 2010 AO) and Del Potro (beat Nadal at 2009 USO) and Tsonga (beat Nadal at 2008 AO). Tsonga is a debatable b-grader because when he's playing well (very rare) he's able to beat anyone, although Nadal has won 4 in a row over Tsonga (all on hardcourt) and Tsonga hasn't won a slam, so he could be a b-grader. So that may just point to Nadal's improvement on hardcourt.


Rafa's made 1 hard court grand slam final total, and every single year he has double digit losses. This is completely unacceptable for a guy being in the running for best peak ever. He's got to do better.

(To be clear, Nadal can become the career GOAT without improving at all, but it will be due to longevity)

NADALbULLS wrote:Nadal already got 8 slams at age 24, so the b-graders haven't got in the way of his slam dominance anyway.


Sure they have. He loses, he doesn't win the slam, he's thus less dominant. He has 8 slams at age 24 because he's been winning slams for so long. Now, 8 slams are 8 slams from a career perspective, but using longevity to argue for dominance is backward.

NADALbULLS wrote:The main aim for Nadal to complete his legacy is:

- Keep winning Roland Garros (be the first man to win 8 of a slam, and maybe a lot more)
- Win as many Wimbledons as possible while Murray and Federer are the only rivals
- Win the US Open to complete the Career Grand Slam
- Set himself apart from everyone in history by winning 4 slams in a row
- Rack up more weeks at number one (current rankings- Nadal 10745, Djokovic 6905)
- And of course the final frontier is reaching Federer's total slams record, which may or may not be required if the other achievements are completed


Mostly agree, things I disagree with:

-Wimbledon. More at Wimbledon is nice, but he's already proven himself there. More wins there just add to the overall cume unless he gets into grass-GOAT striking distance, which if that happens then overall-GOAT is probably a lock.

-Weeks at #1. No one really cares. It's math designed to promote lesser tournaments.

I'll add to the list:

-7+ years as the consensus tour champion (6 for Sampras, 5 for Federer)

-Get to the point where he doesn't just win the US, but is truly dominant on hard court

-Really start have all-time great level yearly records. We're talking 75-5 at the least. Try to get up to Federer level losing to only losing two guys in a year. The Gold Standard: '84 McEnroe 71-2.

-Go beyond 4 slams in a row. Realistically if you can do 4, doesn't seem problematic to do 5 in a row - but historically players have trouble doing this. 4 in a row would be big, but if he were to go well beyond that, he could clinch GOAT status quickly.
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Re: Wimbeldon 2010 

Post#60 » by NADALbULLS » Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:15 am

Wimbledon is the most important event for Nadal, because he gets more free points off his serve than he does on clay and hardcourt. As he moves toward age 30 the shorter points at Wimbledon (and lack of grasscourt depth on tour) will make Wimbledon the greatest source of slam accumulation.

Best peak ever? If it's about peak then Nadal already has that crown with his 2008-09 form (French Open crown, Wimbledon crown, US Open semis, Australian Open crown. That covers all 3 surfaces (assuming we call Australian Open and US Open the same surface, which I always have and especially since 2009 as there was no Rebound Ace). Federer's prime whereas didn't include a clay crown. And Federer's "peak years" most say are 2004-06 yet that was before Nadal had become an all-round player, so it could be argued Federer's opposition wasn't legit.

Anyway, I don't hear much talk of "best prime ever", I more so here talk of "Greatest of All-Time" and that is based on an entire career.

Just as Federer's career only has ONE French Open and several Finals, Nadal's career may only have ONE US Open and ONE Australian Open. Same deal. Plus Nadal has a Singles Gold Medal on a hardcourt faster than the US Open. It will simply be told that Federer's weakest surface was clay, while Nadal's weakest surface was hardcourt. That rules neither player out of GOAThood though.

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