http://www.nbastuffer.com/2010-2011_NBA_Schedule_Rest_Days_Analysis.html
http://www.nbastuffer.com/2009-2010_NBA_Regular_Season_Rest_Days_Stats.html
What I wanted to find out was the overall impact on efficiency differential expected for each team. I simply looked at the differential from the chart in the second link and applied it to each game in the upcoming season, for the team and for the team's opponents.
Here is the list of teams and the impact of their schedules' rest days:
Code: Select all
TEAM Team Opp Overall Average
Cleveland 0.02 -0.22 0.24
Chicago 0.04 -0.19 0.23
Milwaukee 0.05 -0.16 0.21
Minnesota -0.01 -0.21 0.20
Charlotte -0.07 -0.20 0.13
Oklahoma City 0.04 -0.07 0.12
Sacramento 0.09 -0.02 0.11
San Antonio 0.10 0.00 0.10
Dallas 0.00 -0.08 0.08
Memphis 0.05 0.00 0.06
Washington -0.04 -0.08 0.03
Boston 0.06 0.04 0.02
Phoenix 0.01 0.00 0.01
New Orleans -0.01 -0.01 0.01
Utah -0.05 -0.04 -0.01
Toronto 0.03 0.05 -0.02
New Jersey -0.06 -0.03 -0.03
Detroit -0.04 0.00 -0.04
Houston 0.00 0.04 -0.04
Portland -0.07 -0.02 -0.05
Atlanta -0.03 0.05 -0.07
Indiana -0.03 0.06 -0.09
LA Clippers 0.00 0.10 -0.10
Miami 0.02 0.13 -0.11
Denver -0.08 0.03 -0.11
Philadelphia 0.02 0.19 -0.17
Golden State -0.02 0.15 -0.17
Orlando -0.06 0.12 -0.18
LA Lakers 0.04 0.22 -0.18
New York -0.04 0.15 -0.19
This is listed in efficiency differential per game, from scheduled rest days. If I take those values and run the Pythagorean equation, Cleveland gains .65 wins and New York, at the other end, loses 0.5 wins purely based on the schedule.
Not a big effect, but notable.