2013 Finals Box Score win-points

Moderator: Doctor MJ

Yi
Sophomore
Posts: 165
And1: 17
Joined: Jun 30, 2007

2013 Finals Box Score win-points 

Post#1 » by Yi » Tue Jan 14, 2014 1:01 pm

Game 1: Parker win 4.5 points for Spurs
Image

Game 2: Bosh win 8.4 points Heat
Image

Game 3: Green win 15.3 points for Spurs
Image

Game 4: Wade win 12.9 points Heat
Image

Game 5: Leonard win 5.9 points for Spurs
Image

Game 6: James win 4.8 points Heat
Image

Game 7: James win 17.5 points Heat
Image

WPTS means win-points. The last column "Final WPTS" is the sum of the 8 WPTS before. The sum of "Final WPTS" of all one team players is equal to the match points difference.

Instructions of the 8 WPTS before "Final WPTS" are as below:

"OFF WPTS" means offensive win-points. "OFF WPTS" is calculated by using PTS, FGA, FTA and TOV.
"OFF WPTS"=PTS-(shooting times +TOV)* “points per possession of the other players of two teams”
For example, one player shoots 9 times and scores 12 points with 1 turnover. The other players of two teams score 100 points using 100 possessions. This player "OFF WPTS" is 12-(9+1)*100/100=2.

In "RB WPTS":
One offensive rebound points= "points per possession" * "defensive rebound probability".
In above formula: "defensive rebound probability”=“two teams defensive rebounds"/ "two teams total rebounds”.
One defensive rebound points= "points per possession" * "offensive rebound probability".
In above formula: "offensive rebound probability"=“two teams offensive rebounds" /"two teams total rebounds".
For example in one match two teams get 30 offensive rebounds with 70 defensive rebounds and score 200 points with 200 offensive times. In this game:
One offensive rebound points= (200/200)*[70/ (30+70)] =0.7
One defensive rebound points= (200/200)*[30/ (30+70)] =0.3

"RB TIME" before "Shot WPTS" is to amplify the minutes played of centers and power forwards and reduce the minutes played of guards and small forwards. So the rebound performances are judged on the player position differently.

"STL WPTS"=STL*"points per possession"

"AST WPTS" and "BLK WPTS" are calculated by using AST, BLK and minutes played respectively.

"DEF WPTS" means defensive win-points. One team total "DEF WPTS" can only be distributed according to minutes played for lack of opponents' points and shooting times on each player's defense. The sum of team total "DEF WPTS" and "STL WPTS" reflects defensive performance and is close to "OFF WPTS".

Sum up AST, TOV and shooting times of every player. Punish the players who are under the average level of team by "ADJ WPTS". The penalty points "ADJ WPTS" are distributed to the players whose "PTS/MP" exceeds the average level of team.
"DEV WPTS" is to eliminate deviation. "DEV WPTS" is proportional to minutes played.

Table below shows each game "Final WPTS" and the sum of other WPTS:
Image
Tell the relation between statistics and match points difference.

Return to Statistical Analysis