RealGM

Hi,

I'm interested in team (and league) pace and possession estimates for seasons prior to 1974. Prior to that, key data for estimating pace (such as steals, blocks, turnovers, etc.) are missing. I think basketball-reference used to include estimates for missing stats for some ABA seasons, but also used a simple average PPG of teams and their opponents when more data was missing, but that seems to have changed.

Does anyone have the formulas?

TOV% and OREB% are basically treated as a constant (which increases the error of the pace estimate slightly). Otherwise, the FGA, FTA and opponent FGA/FTA information can be used as a proxy for pace.

http://www.sports-reference.com/blog/20 ... 1951-1973/

ElGee wrote:TOV% and OREB% are basically treated as a constant (which increases the error of the pace estimate slightly). Otherwise, the FGA, FTA and opponent FGA/FTA information can be used as a proxy for pace.

http://www.sports-reference.com/blog/20 ... 1951-1973/

Thanks a lot for the link! It wasn't showing up in any Google searches, frustratingly!