Cap numbers for next season

[Ruzious]

Draftexpress.com has info from an NBA agents seminar. http://www.draftexpress.com/blog/Jonathan-Givony/

[bold]The most interesting thing to come out of the seminar might have been the insight that was revealed about next year

[LyricalRico]

^ Great find, Ruz. Here's the link to the salary cap discussion thread for last offseason. It contains lots of projections for this summer so we can see if this new information changes anything.

http://www.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic. ... 69&start=0

Hopefully these new numbers mean more breathing room for the Wiz.

[TheSecretWeapon]

I don't think it fundamentally changes anything. In my spreadsheet, I was projecting the cap at $58.4 million. If the Wiz can get Arenas and Jamison to sign for about $22.5 million between the two of them, they'll have some wiggle room under the luxury tax to add draft picks and maybe a veteran free agent. Or to add a little salary in a trade. But if Gil insists on a max deal (about $16.45 million with this projected salary cap), it would be very difficult to keep Jamison and stay under the lux tax.

[Chocolate City Jordanaire]

There is no way EG should offer Arenas a max deal until Gil's healthy or has reasonable assurance of remaining relatively injury-free over than next few seasons. Washington's leverage right now would be they can offer him more years, but to me that's not necessarily a good move for the Wizards. I think Gil's a huge injury risk now.

Not exericising the early termination option should be Gil's move IMO if he really wants the team to keep Jamison. He could also play his way to a bigger contract by coming back and producing on the court and most of all, staying healthy.

Gilbert could get the big money for sure next offseason.

[nate33]

Here's what I have for our committed salaries over the next few seasons:

Code: Select all

Player           08/09  09/10  10/11
Jamison,Antawn    0.00   0.00   0.00
Arenas,Gilbert    0.00   0.00   0.00
Butler,Caron      9.25  10.03  10.81
Thomas,Etan       6.86   7.35   0.00
Daniels,Antonio   6.20   6.60   0.00
Haywood,Brendan   5.50   6.00   0.00
Songaila,Darius   4.26   4.55   4.84
Blatche,Andray    2.74   3.00   3.26
Stevenson,Desha   3.62   3.89   4.15
Young,Nick        1.60   1.75   2.69
Pecherov,Olesky   1.45   1.55   2.38
McGuire,Dominic   0.71   0.83   0.00
Mason,Roger       0.00   0.00   0.00
2008 pick         1.06   1.14   1.22
2009 pick         0.00   1.18   1.26
2010 pick         0.00   0.00   1.13

Total Salary     43.25  47.87  31.76
Salary Cap       58.50  60.26  62.06
Luxury Tax       71.00  73.51  75.72

We have $27.75M in luxtax room for Arenas, Jamison plus any other free agents or second round picks. Next year, we have about the $25.6M available assuming a modest increase in the salary cap.

It doesn't appear that EG is going to have all that much difficulty. He can just set it up so that Arenas and Jamison take a 10.5% pay cut in the 2nd year of their contracts, and then have 10.5% increases thereafter.

Even if he starts Arenas at the MAX and gives Jamison 4-years $40M, he can still make it work:

Code: Select all

Player           08/09  09/10  10/11  11/12
Jamison,Antawn   10.00   8.95  10.00  11.05
Arenas,Gilbert   16.40  14.68  16.40  18.12
Butler,Caron      9.25  10.03  10.81   0.00
Thomas,Etan       6.86   7.35   0.00   0.00
Daniels,Antonio   6.20   6.60   0.00   0.00
Haywood,Brendan   5.50   6.00   0.00   0.00
Songaila,Darius   4.26   4.55   4.84   0.00
Blatche,Andray    2.74   3.00   3.26   3.52
Stevenson,Desha   3.62   3.89   4.15   0.00
Young,Nick        1.60   1.75   2.69   0.00
Pecherov,Olesky   1.45   1.55   2.38   0.00
McGuire,Dominic   0.71   0.83   0.00   0.00
Hall,Mike         0.00   0.00   0.00   0.00
Mason,Roger       0.00   0.00   0.00   0.00
2008 pick         1.06   1.14   1.22   0.00
2009 pick         0.00   1.18   1.26   0.00
2010 pick         0.00   0.00   1.13   0.00

Total Salary     69.65  71.50  58.16  32.69
Salary Cap       58.50  60.26  62.06  63.92
Luxury Tax       71.00  73.51  75.72  77.99

[Chocolate City Jordanaire]

Etan and AD making more than Haywood ... sheesh.

Team owes more to Darius over the next three than to Brendan over the next two ... yikes.

I'm not feeling Gil at the max, nate.

[nate33]

Etan and AD making more than Haywood ... sheesh.

Team owes more to Darius over the next three than to Brendan over the next two ... yikes.

I'm not feeling Gil at the max, nate.

I'm not either. I'm just saying there's enough luxtax room to make it happen if necessary.

I'd like to see Gil sign a contract for roughly 6-years, $90M. If we did my Pay Cut in Year 2 strategy, his contract would look like this:

$13,795,000
$12,346,525
$13,795,000
$15,243,475
$16,691,950
$18,140,425

That's pretty reasonable for the first several years though it might get a little painful in those last 2 years if Arenas loses a step. I think it's a fair deal for both Arenas and the Wizards.

Such a deal would leave the Wizards with about $4M in breathing room under the luxtax for the next 2 years. That's enough to sign a guy like Mason (or another vet) and still leave enough room for a mid-season signing.

I'd like to see Jamison sign a 4-year deal starting at $10M with a $1M decrease in each successive year. Chances are, by his 3rd year, he'll be a super sub off the bench rather than a starter. $8M and $7M a year would be about right for a 6th man of the year type of player.

[Ruzious]

There is no way EG should offer Arenas a max deal until Gil's healthy or has reasonable assurance of remaining relatively injury-free over than next few seasons. Washington's leverage right now would be they can offer him more years, but to me that's not necessarily a good move for the Wizards. I think Gil's a huge injury risk now.

Not exericising the early termination option should be Gil's move IMO if he really wants the team to keep Jamison. He could also play his way to a bigger contract by coming back and producing on the court and most of all, staying healthy.

Gilbert could get the big money for sure next offseason.

I agree on all points, and I'll say it again - Gil should hire an agent. CCJ, let's get ourselves agent licenses and talk some sense into him (and make us some spending money).