Game Thread - Wizards at Boston (11/17/10)

[Nivek]

Nick is the 2nd coming of Trent Tucker. Good shooter who doesn't do much else.

I don't agree with dobro that he's been consistent going back to last season. This season's numbers are markedly different than his preceding three years. For example, his rebound rate is up a bit, but but I'm not seeing a fundamental change in the way he's playing. The ball's just bouncing his way a bit more in the early going. His usage is the same as always, but his efg is WAY up -- .561 this season vs. .481 for his career.

I don't think the improvement is sustainable. So far, he's taking 8.2 FGA (up from 5.9 per 40 previously) per 40 minutes from 16-23 feet -- the **** shot range. He's making an incredible 58% of them, which is great. But, here are his percentages from that range in his 3 previous seasons: .400, .400, .410. That's a pretty tight grouping. My prediction is that he's not going to shoot 58% from this range for the full season -- he won't even shoot 50% or 48%. Pretty soon, he'll have some of those 2-9 games, his shooting percentage will drop, and he won't look as much like a solid role player.

[dobrojim]

Nick is the 2nd coming of Trent Tucker. Good shooter who doesn't do much else.

I don't agree with dobro that he's been consistent going back to last season. This season's numbers are markedly different than his preceding three years. For example, his rebound rate is up a bit, but but I'm not seeing a fundamental change in the way he's playing. The ball's just bouncing his way a bit more in the early going. His usage is the same as always, but his efg is WAY up -- .561 this season vs. .481 for his career.

I don't think the improvement is sustainable. So far, he's taking 8.2 FGA (up from 5.9 per 40 previously) per 40 minutes from 16-23 feet -- the **** shot range. He's making an incredible 58% of them, which is great. But, here are his percentages from that range in his 3 previous seasons: .400, .400, .410. That's a pretty tight grouping. My prediction is that he's not going to shoot 58% from this range for the full season -- he won't even shoot 50% or 48%. Pretty soon, he'll have some of those 2-9 games, his shooting percentage will drop, and he won't look as much like a solid role player.

to the END of last season when he played as a starter and got
fairly consistent minutes. Seems to me he had a pretty solid
run on 10 games or so over that time span.

the rest of what you (and MT31) is completely fair.

just for grins though, curious what the slope of his production
was in college (3 years).

[willbcocks]

I feel like accepting Nick Young for what he is just makes me even more uninterested in keeping him on. If he had some potential left, I could justify giving him minutes on a rebuilding team, but if his ceiling is as a role player who understands his limits--which he does not yet--what's the point?

He doesn't seem like a bad guy, but I imagine in the lockerroom he is only bringing down the maturity level. He eats up minutes that could be used for D league all stars. And his contract doesn't last much longer.