stevemcqueen1 wrote:Illmatic12 wrote:steve, I see some Kawhi also, on the defensive end.
Gotta be honest - I don't see Otto being significantly ahead of Oubre, tbh. KO can hit his threes, John constantly sets Otto up for the same shots and he bricks them. KO drives to the hole, whereas Otto settles for a lot of midrange shots because he can't explode all the way to the rim. And defensively, Oubre's athleticism and build is ahead of Otto's already - he was able to stick with guys like Kawhi whereas Otto got cooked mercilessly, lol.
If Otto keeps bricking threes when he gets back, it'd be hard to make a case to not give KO those minutes so he can develop- because it's beginning to look like Oubre could be our starting 3 next season.
I think benching players for missing good shots is one of the most counterproductive things a coach can do. Usually all that accomplishes is making your players timid and inducing slumps throughout the team. Otto's shot will come around eventually anyway.
Otto shoots a lot of mid range shots because he's got a fully formed mid range game. It's actually one of the most unique and valuable parts of his offensive arsenal--the part that gives him the potential to be a lot more than a standard three and D wing. But Otto is also a better and more skillful inside finisher than Oubre too. Oubre
can not finish with his right hand and Otto is an excellent inside finisher.
Otto is much more well rounded than Kelly. Better defender, smarter off ball player, better finisher at the rack, far better passer. Probably a little better rebounder too, although Oubre looks like a fantastic rebounder for his size. Comparing their rebounding, I would say Otto is better on the offensive glass and Oubre is better on the defensive. Oubre is learning, and I would say he's thriving despite being thrust into a big role the past few games. But he's got a ways to go before he's as reliable as Otto. And the more he plays a role he's not yet ready for, the more we're going to see some of those weaknesses in his game get exposed--the lack of the right hand, the sketchy range from deep, the tunnel vision when he's got the ball, the shaky team defense, etc.
I really like Oubre. Liked the pick on draft day and I love his potential. I'm definitely a fan. But if we allow ourselves to get carried away with him we're setting ourselves up for disappointment and then you'll get this harsh negative overreaction when he doesn't live up to unrealistic expectations. It's happened with every single one of our young players during the bumpy course of their development. Of course he's not ready to start for a playoff team. Otto barely is.
I agree with a lot of your points here. But I don't think the Wiz have to 'bench' Otto per se to give Oubre more PT, but I'll put it like this - the only player who is guaranteed to finish every game is John. He's the only guy who's earned it.
Everyone else on the team, including Porter, has had instances this season where they were on the bench to finish out a game because of matchups or performance. It's not like Porter has solidified the right to finish games with his play. Otto can retain his starting spot, sure. But imo, if Oubre continues to knock down his threes at a high clip and further shows that he can defend, I would prefer him to be closing games over Porter.
You say Oubre has sketchy range from deep, then what would you say about Porter? KO has hit two 3P in four consecutive games,
Porter hasn't done that all season. Otto is shooting a disappointing 27.4% on threes. It's a huge drag on the offense when we have an elite shot creating PG who is playing with guys who cannot consistently knock down wide open shots. I don't know how you can quite call Porter 'reliable', for much of the season he's been a letdown in a lot of games where we needed some aggression or at least a few open threes from him.
On top of that, I have to say that Otto has been disappointing defensively. Other than Derozan, what good scorer has he slowed down this year? Whenever he was tasked with defending Kawhi, Melo, Harden, Wade, George, if you remember, these guys all scored on him waay too easily due to his lack of footspeed and strength. And he's given up far too many open threes by falling asleep on the weakside. Otto has definitely been complicit in our awful perimeter defense this year.
I think what you said about "setting ourselves up for disappointment" is exactly what myself and a lot of others may have done with Porter. We thought he would come in and solidify himself as an above average two-way starter, but he has hardly run away with that role. I don't have a problem with him continuing to start, but in Oubre I'm seeing a more physically elite, talented, and aggressive wing player - who may soon be a better option to
close out games with than Porter.