It's nice to see you guys feeling positive about the season. Howard will certainly help -- he has to be the biggest rent-a-player bargain in a long long time!
The guys gone from last year (Gortat, Scott, Frazier, Sessions & McCullough) played @4600 minutes. We've definitely replaced those minutes:
John Wall was down @ 1000 minutes due to injury, meaning that the @1100 minutes that went to Frazier/Sessions should go to him. An improvement, obviously!
Gortat played 2075 minutes. Howard will play those -- & maybe a couple hundred more, taking those minutes from Mahinmi. In all, definitely should be more productive.
Green is in for Scott's 1400 minutes. A wash.
I'm giving McCullough's 90 minutes to Thomas Bryant, ok?
We've also added Austin Rivers. Where do his minutes come from?
For starters, Brad played too many much last year -- 2977 minutes. That was 4th highest in the league & only 49 minutes less than LeBron who was first. That may account for some of his fall off from the previous year & for some non-stellar late-season performances as well. I'd rather see him play 400 fewer minutes. Meeks will be gone the first 25 games. It doesn't look like it'd be hard for Rivers to play 1500+ minutes on the season.
You have to hope that Rivers doesn't take minutes from Satoransky or Oubre.
Despite my dissatisfaction with the draft & the general failure to add enough guys with an upside who are actually going to be Wizards for a while, it does look like we haven't gotten worse for this season. With the addition of Howard, we'll be reasonably sure to make the playoffs.
Ernie has kicked the can down the road another year.