Severn Hoos wrote:I'm still glad the Wiz didn't lock him up (read: overpay) by signing him to a long-term deal this year, even if they end up spending a few more dollars to do so next summer, for several reasons:
1. Flexibility for the upcoming offseason, especially the Draft. If Lamb is the BPA (and we all know we HAVE to takethe BPA), would they change the strategy because Young is locked up? (For the record, I think Lamb will be better long term than Nick, but Nick is definitely growing on me.)
2. For all the talk that the 2012 FA market will be better, and Nick's opinion that it will be better for him as a "seller", I'm not so sure. Maybe someone does give him $9M per year. But he's already been, in effect, turned down once at that price by the entire league. If he finds a similar reaction next summer, it might bring his asking price down a bit.*
3. By puting him into a second consecutive Contract Year, it makes him prove that he "gets it", that he understands his role and has to exand his game while not trying to do things that he can't do. 2 games in, the signs are encouraging, but there are 64 more games to see how he handles it.
4. I'm still behind on the new CBA - what would be his cap figure (and McGee) if the Wiz choose to retain rights on him? Or could they even do that? If for example, they wait to finalize those two deals while pursuing a big-name FA, could they sign the other FA, then go over the cap to re-sign Nick and/or JaVale? Not sure if this is a net plus or minus in evaluating whether they should have locked him up already, think it might have been a plus under the old CBA.
* I understand that the Restricted part makes all the difference, with the Wiz now losing leverage, and other teams more willing to make an offer. So it may turn out that another team does offer $9M or $10M per year. If so, well, it's been nice knowin' ya.
Bottom line, the way Nick has played for most of last year and beginning this year, we'd probably all like to see him retained on a reasonable deal. But what qualifies as "reasonable"?
5 years, $30M (or less)? Sure thing
5 years, $35M? Well, probably
5 years, $40M? Uh, let me get back to you
4 years, $45M? Don't think so.
I tend to hope that they can keep him at something less than $7M per year, but don't know if that's possible. I do know that they can't keep the Nick/Dray/ale triumverate around, so hopefully they find a taker for Blatche, add some high BBIQ guys to the frontcourt (if they're going to keep McGee), and re-sign Nick, while keeping his role weel-defined and simplified.
Wall/Young/Singleton/Sullinger/McGee is probably a playoff team, with potential cap space in 2012 or 2013 to make a run at a big-time FA as the "final piece"?
Very good post and about where I am on the NY debate.
















