Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:The Consiglieri wrote:W?
Consiglieri, this is HOF thread-worthy, IMO.
Ted Leonsis and Ernie Grunfeld achieved what they wanted to do in getting a tougher, more athletic team. The Wizards really did draft with the 2-3 year window. Seraphim makes sense with the long haul in mind, but I'm just not as patient as you with that kind of pick.
I have a bit of a philosophical difference on role player guys. My philosophy is that great role players can get it done in the right system. In one the books he authored, (title escapes me right now), Bill Russell explained the secret of the great Celtic teams of the past was that everybody had a role and they were each great at it. He protected the paint, intimidated, grabbed the rebounds, blocked the shots. Cousy was ball handler and distributor. KC Jones was a defender. Sam Jones a scorer. Same with Heinsohn, Nelson, Havlicek. They knew their roles and everybody stayed within his area of expertise. Even in the current NBA, I see two are three studs surrounded by a bunch of good role players. I'd rather have seen the Wizards draft a skilled shooter like James Anderson next to John Wall than to wait on Seraphim. I like the here and now. Admittedly, the ceiling might be low and I might be settling for some level of mediocrity athletically. Regardless, I see players like Rip Hamilton have rings, so I think Anderson might be that kind of guy down the line. Time will tell. SA is gonna be tough if they get Splitter to come over.
Consiglieri, I also thought trading up to get Booker at 23 was just not a solid move at all. However, Booker did some really nice work for four years at Clemson. He actually does fit the role of intimidator, energy player, athlete fairly well. I am really looking forward to him and Wall on the fastbreak.
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Thank you for the kind thoughts CCJ. I disagree a bit about the value of going after role players. I do think it's a bit different if we're a legit contender, legit contenders tend to add lil pieces here and there to fill little roles, and smart teams, like the spurs, also add the high celing guys, like yours and everybodys favorite 2nd rounder last year that we were far too stupid to see the value in (granted the knees rightly scared people, but the risk of using a 2nd rounder on a guy with bad knees is zero. 2nd rounders flop 90+% of the time in terms of becoming starters in this league, so just simply landing anything resembling talent in the 2nd round should be the objective, and we passed 2 drafts in a row because we were satisfied w/having a team w/a ceiling of 40-45 wins).
However, when you stink, or are at best mediocre, the objective should be landing talent, pure and simple. When you try to force things, you end up w/busts. Draft after draft in all sports shows this. The biggest risk you can make in any draft in any sport is to pass on talent and upset to try to froce a need that fits a role. The objective should always be, add the talent, because talent ALWAYTS has value, and if it's duplicates value you have, when its ready to help you, you trade the talent for someone elses proven talent. This is what you do. If you force picks to fill needs, you amplify the risk potential of your pick enormously, and lower its ceiling as well. The chances of landing busts in these scenarios go up and up and up. Get the talent, because talent is ALWAYS an asset, role players who wont cut it for you, wont be wanted by anyone else either.
Granted this is a bit harder to do in the NBA where working trades and matching salary can be difficult, but teams will always want players who are good. If we have too many players who are good at a given position or role because we havent paid enough attention to roles, and needs, we'll still be able to do something about it, even if its hard, but if we land an outright crap bust (which happens far more often when you push the need angle instead of the value/talent angle), he'll be worthless to us and worthless to everyone else too.
That's my philosophy, and why i loved the Seraphin pick, hated the Booker trade/pick, and love that an owern that has a very similar philosophy is in charge. I feel your pain about waiting a long time. It sucks, especially considering we've been waiting for the Redskins to not suck for 18 years, the Nats to not suck their entire history in DC, the Boulez to accomplish something worthy of note since Carter was president, and the Caps to not choke for once the once in their history (record 8 playoff 2 game leads choked in a playoff history that only includes about 18 or so playoff appearances, an astonishing and infamous record of chokes and surrenders that the French would envy-incidentally the caps just had an absolutely awesome 1st round steal in their draft on friday)). It sucks to have to wait when your sports fill in this town (i'' grant its easier for me since i live outside in Lake Tahoe and so am distant from it) is an unholy triumvirate of failure, unwarranted hubris, and choking, but success in sports may have many different templates, but building genuine long term success will require one thing across all sports and templates. Patience. The Redskins failurs were a product of ownerships refusal to patientialy rebuild from scratch. The Caps failures will require a '04 Red Sox like juju/mojo like miracle, probably lead by a fearless Schilling type, or Ovy developing into that character, Nats ownership appears too cheap to build a winner, but the GM and scouting deparmtnet is building something, we'll see if the tune changes as the team grows into a .500 caliber team in '11, and beyond.
Now the Boulez, well, they spent the last 30 years being run into the ground by an owner that rewarded and loved loyalty more than excellence, and was according to some, too cheap to ever truly be dedicated to build a winner here. Well, he's gone now, and the man in charge believes in funding scouting to build (he and GMGM spent oodles of cash rebuilding the caps scouting department after th Jagr Fiasco, to build from the bottom up and it paid off, the team still cant seem to draft outside of round 1, but their success rate w/first rounders, at any stage of the first round, has been New Jersey Like, landing stud after stud, contributor after contributor after an entire decade of busts (the whole 90's were a drafting disaster in round 1, particularly after the Scott Stevens trade that netted us 5 first round picks across five years, all busts). This will take time CCJ, but take heart. Just as GMGM and Leonsis won the Ovy lottery in the midsts of the begining of their total rebuild of the Caps, they've now won the Wall Lottery in year 1 of the massive rebuild of the Boulez. It could have been a total disaster and it probably should have been. We blew, and flushed the '09 draft for a playoff pipe dream , and after shipping out all of our supposed studs and starting the kids, the Boulez actually appeared to play better down the stretch (w/the exception of that disastrous stretch in march), screwed themselves in the lottery slotting, and nearly ended up landing their choice of Greg Monroe, Aminu or Hayward. Instead we get Wall, yes you're gonna have to wait a little, but we freaking got Wall, and even better, we're finally, actually rebuilding the right way. Instead of watching what you know will fail (Snyder, Pollin type enterprises), we can see that this team is dedicated to doing it the right way. This is the solace that we can have in all of this. The only cautionary note I'll add is that Leonsis was and is loyal to a GM in GMGM, that he probably shouldn't be this loyal too. GMGM's drafts have been uninspiring after ound 1 throughout his term w/the team. The team has also won little of note since they began working together. Should he still be in charge? Im not so sure. I will say that he rebuilt the team and its now a very, competitive team, and in terms of talent and expectations, one of the 4 best teams in the league w/a still deep farm system, and he's also won nearly every trade he's made, and he just had yet another great first round pick. Still. Should he be this loyal? Not so sure. So what does this mean about Grunfeld? Well based on evidence available (not enough to be predictive), Grunfeld might also be safe despite not deserving to be so safe. We'll just have to wait and see. The one solace i have in that, is that although i really really don't like what Grunfeld does in terms of contracts and free agents, I do like his drafting (except when he sells picks), so if he was kept to just run this draft, well, im fine w/this as he's one of the few GM's around that consistently lands some talent outside of the blue chip zone, and in drafting Seraphin, a guy who sounds like a great value pick, and a guy drooled at by some of the best GM's in the league. I just think he should be s-canned now for a GM who believes in the modern statitstical approaches to scouting and evaluation. I'm just not anticipating that happening unfortunately.